TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Bologna FC 1909 vs. AC Milan: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$59,373
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$67,849

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $59,373 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 125 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x08c5…43edbacked Under56c11,129$6,233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,232.692748.1%13 W · 14 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over49c6,463$3,167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,296.012,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Under56c2,669$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5002860.7%17 W · 11 L+3.4wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+20.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8f12…70d4backed Under57c2,325$1,325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,325650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over44c2,324$1,028 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,295.2598544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21e8…b85ebacked Over46c2,174$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,173.913167.7%21 W · 10 L+5.0wins+0.16per pick52cpaid+28.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7f29…f03dbacked Over48c2,096$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,095.699054.4%49 W · 41 L+7.6wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+17.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed Under55c2,000$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,099.9414249.3%70 W · 72 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Under57c1,930$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,10010650%53 W · 53 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Over44c1,500$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84036630.9%113 W · 253 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+15.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb77e…e668backed Under50c1,395$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7002123.8%5 W · 16 L-4.0wins-0.19per pick43cpaid-50%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x33a7…e607backed Over45c1,289$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$708.894242.9%18 W · 24 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-14.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3242…0e0bbacked Over44c1,173$516 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$656.73955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.14per pick41cpaid+23.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8b2f…7241backed Over46c1,087$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$586.961100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Under56c1,019$567 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$567.0116046.3%74 W · 86 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb0d7…f9fabacked Under54c1,000$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5404953.1%26 W · 23 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+20.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed Over46c947.08$436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$511.424242.9%18 W · 24 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc44…e036backed Over79c759.49$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.49250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-36.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf788…6f86backed Over79c632.91$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.917661.8%47 W · 29 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick67cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x351e…de8abacked Over46c608.57$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$328.632161.9%13 W · 8 L+2.6wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+23.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9030…4a23backed Under56c571.43$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3201764.7%11 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+16.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x20ad…307dbacked Over79c556.32$439 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.832171.4%15 W · 6 L+2.6wins+0.12per pick59cpaid+15.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x67a7…86cebacked Under55c500$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2752245.5%10 W · 12 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick41cpaid-20.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed Under52c500$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26031441.4%130 W · 184 L-11.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb6b…b0b9backed Over79c499.99$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1052290.9%20 W · 2 L+5.3wins+0.24per pick67cpaid+39.4%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x4ecb…514cbacked Under56c499.74$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.85966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+18.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x434d…bed3backed Under56c357.14$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-32.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under42c344.51$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.691043.3%394 W · 516 L-14.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc6a9…bc59backed Over45c340$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.47250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+11.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Over45c336.65$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.168251.2%42 W · 40 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ebb…061abacked Under55c327.27$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18010259.8%61 W · 41 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2dad…a040backed Over79c317.82$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.8211268.8%77 W · 35 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick65cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe1f1…3a05backed Under23c315.53$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.576535.4%23 W · 42 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xefe4…8f49backed Under54c305.56$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1651275%9 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick69cpaid+12%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ec4…defabacked Over44c300$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1682646.2%12 W · 14 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+25.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x86f8…1655backed Over45c299.99$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.992657.7%15 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over79c270.3$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.8149850.6%252 W · 246 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x16b2…aa5abacked Over77c254$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.425967.8%40 W · 19 L+4.3wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+13%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over74c250.3$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.81,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa0b1…f219backed Over42c230.95$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.95933.3%3 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid-23.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x826c…b26fbacked Over45c222.22$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.22475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+41.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7f89…f3eabacked Over45c222.22$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.22955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+20.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed Under55c200$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1103951.3%20 W · 19 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab90…5793backed Over77c194.99$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.854271.4%30 W · 12 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick66cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8415…dfe1backed Under54c194$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.761942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Over45c183.99$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.1916851.2%86 W · 82 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under50c181.5$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.759652.1%50 W · 46 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x939d…3b3cbacked Over45c166.65$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.663259.4%19 W · 13 L+4.3wins+0.13per pick46cpaid+29.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf009…19e9backed Over46c163.04$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.0412232%39 W · 83 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick34cpaid+7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd18b…1e04backed Over44c157.2$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.03366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick39cpaid+51.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb31b…edcabacked Under56c151.19$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$854932.7%16 W · 33 L-5.1wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-21.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6827…26fdbacked Over44c150$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+62.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc869…bc8dbacked Over41c146.34$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.341060%6 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+57.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfe1d…219ebacked Over46c141.3$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.31957.9%11 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc558…b8ffbacked Over79c137.91$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.961346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2057…0629backed Over45c133.33$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.33785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.27per pick59cpaid+56.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbc4f…f1e0backed Over65c117.63$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.453100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+70.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa521…4599backed Over44c113$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.281435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-18.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe48c…163abacked Over45c111.22$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.2215648.7%76 W · 80 L-0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa163…ce0abacked Over78c111.19$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.19650%3 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d73…be4fbacked Over45c111.11$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.1119436.1%70 W · 124 L+8.8wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+14.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3cee…5a4fbacked Over45c100$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Over44c99.99$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.9917955.3%99 W · 80 L+7.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed Under54c96$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.8412453.2%66 W · 58 L+0.5wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7216…0d67backed Under54c92.99$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.213638.9%14 W · 22 L-3.6wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-17%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xeeab…276fbacked Under55c90.91$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb581…1b9cbacked Under57c89.47$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$515554.5%30 W · 25 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3212…29eabacked Under57c88.1$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Over59c84.75$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.7518055%99 W · 81 L+15.9wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+20.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x418b…a741backed Over60c83.33$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.3317958.7%105 W · 74 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-8.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2683…2be7backed Under57c73.8$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$423336.4%12 W · 21 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick40cpaid+8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1889…0714backed Under52c70$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.46355.6%35 W · 28 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x555f…7782backed Over67c69$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.772568%17 W · 8 L+3.1wins+0.13per pick55cpaid+22.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over45c66.67$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.6738739.8%154 W · 233 L-1.9wins0.00per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8e52…2320backed Over77c65$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.954070%28 W · 12 L+4.4wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+16%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5fa3…ea8dbacked Over46c60.87$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.873070%21 W · 9 L+5.8wins+0.19per pick51cpaid+40.9%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xb166…3105backed Over46c60$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.48651.2%44 W · 42 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x79fd…78cebacked Under45c60$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272737%10 W · 17 L-3.7wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-31.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdc92…6564backed Over46c54.35$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.352972.4%21 W · 8 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick68cpaid+13%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over45c53.33$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.3334553.9%186 W · 159 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2eae…a25fbacked Under57c52.74$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3012744.1%56 W · 71 L-0.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecdf…b641backed Under23c50.18$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.5410%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x69ee…6e35backed Over44c50.01$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.8721251.9%110 W · 102 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd11…79a5backed Over77c50$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.53148.4%15 W · 16 L-2.9wins-0.09per pick58cpaid-13.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x239b…f8bfbacked Under51c49$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.995030%15 W · 35 L-10.6wins-0.21per pick51cpaid-50.6%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0xcb56…efa6backed Under24c48.25$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.58812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.25per pick37cpaid-76%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x44c9…2bd8backed Over59c46.96$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.411560%9 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1346…0448backed Under42c45$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.98861.4%54 W · 34 L+9.6wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+37.1%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x1e9b…829ebacked Over45c44.44$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.4412347.2%58 W · 65 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0095…42c1backed Over45c44.44$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.446155.7%34 W · 27 L+3.8wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+17.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x02b0…7930backed Over45c44.44$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.44366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+23.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff6b…8a9ebacked Over45c44.44$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.443447.1%16 W · 18 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f7e…c230backed Over45c44.44$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.4411348.7%55 W · 58 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+12.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb6b9…b487backed Under55c43.64$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8e3…05e1backed Over46c43.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.484551.1%23 W · 22 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecb9…d7ddbacked Over46c43.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.48580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.26per pick54cpaid+46.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1b5f…b453backed Under56c41.07$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e41…36f2backed Over44c41$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.967064.3%45 W · 25 L+6.6wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+17.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x480e…a98bbacked Over37c40.54$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.542070%14 W · 6 L+4.7wins+0.23per pick47cpaid+53.9%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x2b34…b202backed Over44c40$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.49240.2%37 W · 55 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.