Serie A · resolved market
Bologna FC 1909 vs. AC Milan: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x10efc76572ddb821a342b3ef17e5a2c8e3e9cd50a09f78998605afd3aee58c68
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $59,373
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $67,849
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $59,373 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 125 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked Under | 56c | 11,129$6,233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,232.69 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 49c | 6,463$3,167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,296.01 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Under | 56c | 2,669$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +3.4wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f12…70d4backed Under | 57c | 2,325$1,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,325 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 44c | 2,324$1,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,295.25 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21e8…b85ebacked Over | 46c | 2,174$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,173.91 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +5.0wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…f03dbacked Over | 48c | 2,096$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,095.69 | 90 | 54.4%49 W · 41 L | +7.6wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Under | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,099.94 | 142 | 49.3%70 W · 72 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 57c | 1,930$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 106 | 50%53 W · 53 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Over | 44c | 1,500$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 366 | 30.9%113 W · 253 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb77e…e668backed Under | 50c | 1,395$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -4.0wins | -0.19per pick | 43cpaid | -50%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed Over | 45c | 1,289$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$708.89 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3242…0e0bbacked Over | 44c | 1,173$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$656.73 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b2f…7241backed Over | 46c | 1,087$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Under | 56c | 1,019$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.01 | 160 | 46.3%74 W · 86 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d7…f9fabacked Under | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Over | 46c | 947.08$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.42 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc44…e036backed Over | 79c | 759.49$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf788…6f86backed Over | 79c | 632.91$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.91 | 76 | 61.8%47 W · 29 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x351e…de8abacked Over | 46c | 608.57$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.63 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9030…4a23backed Under | 56c | 571.43$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…307dbacked Over | 79c | 556.32$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.83 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67a7…86cebacked Under | 55c | 500$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Under | 52c | 500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 314 | 41.4%130 W · 184 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb6b…b0b9backed Over | 79c | 499.99$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 22 | 90.9%20 W · 2 L | +5.3wins | +0.24per pick | 67cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4ecb…514cbacked Under | 56c | 499.74$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.85 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x434d…bed3backed Under | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 42c | 344.51$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.6 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6a9…bc59backed Over | 45c | 340$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Over | 45c | 336.65$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.16 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Under | 55c | 327.27$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 102 | 59.8%61 W · 41 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dad…a040backed Over | 79c | 317.82$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.82 | 112 | 68.8%77 W · 35 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Under | 23c | 315.53$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.57 | 65 | 35.4%23 W · 42 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefe4…8f49backed Under | 54c | 305.56$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Over | 44c | 300$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86f8…1655backed Over | 45c | 299.99$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.99 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 79c | 270.3$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.81 | 498 | 50.6%252 W · 246 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Over | 77c | 254$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.42 | 59 | 67.8%40 W · 19 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 74c | 250.3$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.8 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b1…f219backed Over | 42c | 230.95$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.95 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x826c…b26fbacked Over | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f89…f3eabacked Over | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Under | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab90…5793backed Over | 77c | 194.99$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.85 | 42 | 71.4%30 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8415…dfe1backed Under | 54c | 194$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.76 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Over | 45c | 183.99$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.19 | 168 | 51.2%86 W · 82 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 50c | 181.5$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.75 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x939d…3b3cbacked Over | 45c | 166.65$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.66 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +4.3wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…19e9backed Over | 46c | 163.04$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.04 | 122 | 32%39 W · 83 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd18b…1e04backed Over | 44c | 157.2$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.03 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 39cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…edcabacked Under | 56c | 151.19$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | -5.1wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6827…26fdbacked Over | 44c | 150$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +62.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc869…bc8dbacked Over | 41c | 146.34$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.34 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +57.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…219ebacked Over | 46c | 141.3$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.3 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc558…b8ffbacked Over | 79c | 137.91$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.96 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2057…0629backed Over | 45c | 133.33$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.33 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.27per pick | 59cpaid | +56.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbc4f…f1e0backed Over | 65c | 117.63$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.45 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +70.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa521…4599backed Over | 44c | 113$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.28 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Over | 45c | 111.22$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.22 | 156 | 48.7%76 W · 80 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa163…ce0abacked Over | 78c | 111.19$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.19 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Over | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 194 | 36.1%70 W · 124 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cee…5a4fbacked Over | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Over | 44c | 99.99$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.99 | 179 | 55.3%99 W · 80 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed Under | 54c | 96$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.84 | 124 | 53.2%66 W · 58 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…0d67backed Under | 54c | 92.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.21 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -17%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeeab…276fbacked Under | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…1b9cbacked Under | 57c | 89.47$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3212…29eabacked Under | 57c | 88.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 180 | 55%99 W · 81 L | +15.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 179 | 58.7%105 W · 74 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2683…2be7backed Under | 57c | 73.8$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed Under | 52c | 70$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.4 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x555f…7782backed Over | 67c | 69$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.77 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +3.1wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 45c | 66.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.67 | 387 | 39.8%154 W · 233 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e52…2320backed Over | 77c | 65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.95 | 40 | 70%28 W · 12 L | +4.4wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +16%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa3…ea8dbacked Over | 46c | 60.87$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.87 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +5.8wins | +0.19per pick | 51cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb166…3105backed Over | 46c | 60$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 86 | 51.2%44 W · 42 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79fd…78cebacked Under | 45c | 60$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -3.7wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc92…6564backed Over | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.35 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 68cpaid | +13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 45c | 53.33$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.33 | 345 | 53.9%186 W · 159 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2eae…a25fbacked Under | 57c | 52.74$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 127 | 44.1%56 W · 71 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecdf…b641backed Under | 23c | 50.18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed Over | 44c | 50.01$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.87 | 212 | 51.9%110 W · 102 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd11…79a5backed Over | 77c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x239b…f8bfbacked Under | 51c | 49$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | -10.6wins | -0.21per pick | 51cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xcb56…efa6backed Under | 24c | 48.25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.58 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 37cpaid | -76%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x44c9…2bd8backed Over | 59c | 46.96$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.41 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Under | 42c | 45$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 88 | 61.4%54 W · 34 L | +9.6wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Over | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 123 | 47.2%58 W · 65 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0095…42c1backed Over | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02b0…7930backed Over | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff6b…8a9ebacked Over | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7e…c230backed Over | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 113 | 48.7%55 W · 58 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6b9…b487backed Under | 55c | 43.64$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e3…05e1backed Over | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecb9…d7ddbacked Over | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5f…b453backed Under | 56c | 41.07$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…36f2backed Over | 44c | 41$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.96 | 70 | 64.3%45 W · 25 L | +6.6wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x480e…a98bbacked Over | 37c | 40.54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.54 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +4.7wins | +0.23per pick | 47cpaid | +53.9%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2b34…b202backed Over | 44c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 92 | 40.2%37 W · 55 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bologna FC 1909 vs. AC Milan: O/U 2.5this page
- Bologna FC 1909 vs. AC Milan: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Bologna FC 1909 vs. AC Milan: O/U 1.5Over won
- Bologna FC 1909 vs. AC Milan: O/U 3.5Under won
- Bologna FC 1909 vs. AC Milan: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: AC Milan (-1.5)AC Milan won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.