TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x8feb…b36a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
66
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Music, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Music at 56 out of 100; worst NBA at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST3542.9%15 W · 20 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-23.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Thunder vs. Raptorsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+35.1%+$8.78
Rockets vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+78.6%+$44
Pistons vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$20
76ers vs. Pelicansbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$70
Nuggets vs. Trail Blazersbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$520Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+92.3%+$480
Cavaliers vs. Hornetsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+42.9%+$6
Nuggets vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$514Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+191.4%+$984.19
Will Kawhi Leonard win the 2026 NBA All-Star Game MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Spurs vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$118
Heat vs. Pelicansbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+33.3%+$100
Bucks vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Thunder vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$91.1
Pacers vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$263Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+33.3%+$87.5
Nuggets vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$44.94
Clippers vs. Kingsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+42.9%+$90
Knicks vs. Pistonsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$100
76ers vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$188Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+112.8%+$212
Jazz vs. Hawksbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$63
Bulls vs. Raptorsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$127.5
Wizards vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$49
Pelicans vs. Bucksbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$76
Nuggets vs. Knicksbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$120
Celtics vs. Rocketsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+108.3%+$52
Timberwolves vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$313Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$313
76ers vs. Warriorsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+96.1%+$189.27
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.29per pick37cpaid+110.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Music — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-41.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick39cpaid+31.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Olympics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+31.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AC Milan win on 2026-02-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+163.2%+$163.06
Bologna FC 1909 vs. AC Milan: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$212Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$212
All 2 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-36.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Adelaide United FC win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$474Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+26.6%+$126
Will Sydney FC win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$560Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$560
All 2 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Feb 4, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-37.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maple Leafs vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$300
Kraken vs. Golden Knightsbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+25%+$22
All 2 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+32.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,135Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+32.2%+$365
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$13
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Astralis (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$83.95
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.