TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Australian A League · resolved market

Will Sydney FC win on 2026-02-14?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$71,526
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$72,383

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $71,526 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 107 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Australian A League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xda3a…381fbacked No46c9,010$4,144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,865.16875%6 W · 2 L+2.5wins+0.32per pick43cpaid+87%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes57c6,275$3,565 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,564.5843748.3%211 W · 226 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked No42c5,635$2,367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,268.312055%66 W · 54 L+12.6wins+0.11per pick44cpaid+29.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Yes55c3,987$2,178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,177.6540%0 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No47c3,699$1,734 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,964.2846644.8%209 W · 257 L-23.0wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-18.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9dea…3792backed Yes73c3,200$2,334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,333.883452.9%18 W · 16 L-4.5wins-0.13per pick66cpaid-16.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd120…19fcbacked Yes52c3,174$1,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,650.31922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.6wins-0.29per pick51cpaid-62.9%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No51c2,098$1,075 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,022.8347850.8%243 W · 235 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes54c1,830$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$989.6698844.4%439 W · 549 L-11.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Yes57c1,545$888 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$887.64032.5%13 W · 27 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked No41c1,500$615 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8854025%10 W · 30 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-29.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed No40c1,066$427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$639.289431.9%30 W · 64 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+0.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8e5a…154cbacked Yes47c1,064$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5006946.4%32 W · 37 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x23c8…f293backed No41c1,001$411 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$590.861100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x94d8…8835backed Yes58c1,000$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5803259.4%19 W · 13 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbffe…e4efbacked No52c1,000$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8feb…b36abacked Yes56c1,000$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$560250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-36.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes54c896.82$484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$484.2819345.1%87 W · 106 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc8f3…9576backed Yes59c847.46$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001540%6 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-18.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x16b2…aa5abacked Yes76c845.21$641 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$640.86471.9%46 W · 18 L+9.9wins+0.15per pick56cpaid+36.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xb197…91c6backed Yes58c834.08$484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$483.59650%3 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x75bd…0288backed Yes47c772.86$365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365.354553.3%24 W · 21 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes54c552.49$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.1230055.3%166 W · 134 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x06a0…5804backed Yes50c501.18$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ae3…8753backed Yes56c482.14$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2701735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.6wins-0.15per pick50cpaid-33.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Yes51c462$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.644247.6%20 W · 22 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8052…1124backed No44c400$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.371145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+10.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e32…18e6backed Yes11c377$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.4710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f6d…bfc5backed Yes53c370.36$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1962334.8%8 W · 15 L-4.0wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-39.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x993a…1e2fbacked No27c357.1$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.681735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-14.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x22cc…8aeabacked No44c301.63$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.922560%15 W · 10 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No75c241.56$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.3923551.5%121 W · 114 L+13.4wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8c46…be29backed Yes55c240$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1321637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0438…9d98backed No43c232.56$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.568139.5%32 W · 49 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc0c8…090cbacked Yes45c222.84$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10070%0 W · 7 L-2.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No26c207.5$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.1310633%35 W · 71 L-5.4wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-30.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes62c206.2$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.0614843.9%65 W · 83 L-0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4300…5c69backed Yes57c200$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1146746.3%31 W · 36 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f6b…075fbacked Yes55c200$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1102646.2%12 W · 14 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a05…754abacked Yes59c200$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1182832.1%9 W · 19 L-5.0wins-0.18per pick50cpaid-40%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5fc3…c012backed Yes41c200$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+16.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x95d9…ab03backed Yes17c197.29$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.3210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No31c188.09$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.4730536.1%110 W · 195 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37c4…359ebacked No28c178.5$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.372445.8%11 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c78…aad1backed Yes58c172.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005250%26 W · 26 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+27.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e41…36f2backed Yes59c170$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.311457.9%66 W · 48 L+6.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+11.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2583…30d5backed Yes59c169.49$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001050%5 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-18.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed Yes59c169.49$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002552%13 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Yes59c169.49$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003658.3%21 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed No41c165.61$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.716453.1%34 W · 30 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f3f…959bbacked Yes44c156.82$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$695933.9%20 W · 39 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e52…2320backed No28c155$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.63878.9%30 W · 8 L+8.8wins+0.23per pick56cpaid+94.8%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x7eef…e982backed Yes56c155$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed No45c133.49$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.917549.3%37 W · 38 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d0d…7435backed Yes57c125.11$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.31520%1 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick31cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe1c3…a583backed No30c117.86$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.94988.9%8 W · 1 L+3.3wins+0.37per pick52cpaid+127%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x553b…2aa7backed No45c111.12$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.121100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa7f…3223backed Yes55c109.09$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602356.5%13 W · 10 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+9.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4781…336dbacked Yes59c108.47$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$649065.6%59 W · 31 L+0.2wins0.00per pick65cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5865…696abacked No50c102.02$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.01771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick65cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x03c7…22f2backed Yes51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$511060%6 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.18per pick42cpaid+89.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc61a…c00cbacked Yes50c89.34$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.671855.6%10 W · 8 L+3.4wins+0.19per pick37cpaid+84.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xcfe6…49f8backed Yes57c87.89$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010357.3%59 W · 44 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked No78c87.1$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.3612156.2%68 W · 53 L+9.4wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5e8d…e22dbacked Yes56c80.9$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.931741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc2d9…f193backed Yes44c79.17$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick34cpaid-53.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Yes66c75.94$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.864940.8%20 W · 29 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-21.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3d5f…7e6fbacked No43c69.77$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.7711351.3%58 W · 55 L+11.6wins+0.10per pick41cpaid+25.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4c9b…e74abacked Yes49c61.22$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308050%40 W · 40 L+6.1wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+14.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x77b5…9170backed No44c61$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.162070%14 W · 6 L+2.3wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+20.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x313c…61d9backed Yes56c60.26$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.51633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.26per pick59cpaid-48.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd346…4c48backed Yes42c55$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.9520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x44b8…a2d7backed Yes57c52.63$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308247.6%39 W · 43 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+22.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb5b9…948abacked Yes59c51.07$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.912250%11 W · 11 L+3.2wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+68.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb48c…ab11backed Yes51c50.98$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x88ee…13d8backed Yes30c50.48$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.24per pick40cpaid-74.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe579…ba5ebacked No28c50$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361080%8 W · 2 L+2.6wins+0.26per pick54cpaid+84%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x33af…288abacked Yes32c50$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169446.8%44 W · 50 L+6.8wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+20.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5b64…c94cbacked Yes54c49.5$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.94580%4 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.33per pick47cpaid+79.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Yes55c49.28$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.987048.6%34 W · 36 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf60b…ff5fbacked No51c49.02$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.021050%5 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed No43c46.74$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.744447.7%21 W · 23 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c1d…d05ebacked Yes47c42.55$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201050%5 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+36.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes55c40$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225945.8%27 W · 32 L-6.2wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-17.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb597…2949backed Yes48c40$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.2250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+212.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1346…0448backed No49c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.413540.7%55 W · 80 L-8.0wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-21.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0d75…1af0backed Yes59c40$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.6250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-29.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9140…a914backed Yes39c38.46$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+75.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8650…58fdbacked Yes54c36.84$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9320%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe4d8…19c5backed Yes59c36.42$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.493458.8%20 W · 14 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick66cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf497…5ce0backed Yes48c35.42$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1710839.8%43 W · 65 L-6.5wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-16%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x69ee…6e35backed No45c35.29$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.436162.3%38 W · 23 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4512…5d41backed Yes59c33.9$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204637%17 W · 29 L+3.1wins+0.07per pick30cpaid+34.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd9e0…3214backed Yes55c33.02$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.1610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe9cd…1e2bbacked No46c31.89$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.22757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick40cpaid+24.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcdaa…eb5cbacked Yes52c29.04$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15520%1 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick42cpaid-59.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed No47c29$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.33540%2 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.27per pick67cpaid-30.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Yes72c27.62$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.893754.1%20 W · 17 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No43c27$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.4828659.4%170 W · 116 L+12.9wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes59c26$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.2516858.3%98 W · 70 L+7.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.