NHL · resolved market
Maple Leafs vs. Oilers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf397afae575d38a6e7ac1edd1238b4205fe6485550b60be839f30a57ee8b65b0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Maple Leafsof Maple Leafs, Oilers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,272,066
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,345,293
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,272,066 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 567 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9976…67dabacked Maple Leafs | 39c | 347,845$135,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212,185.49 | 198 | 48.5%96 W · 102 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Oilers | 61c | 335,000$204,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204,850.14 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Maple Leafs | 38c | 299,999$114,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185,999.44 | 108 | 40.7%44 W · 64 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Maple Leafs | 39c | 130,000$50,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79,299.98 | 485 | 45.4%220 W · 265 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d16…d24dbacked Oilers | 62c | 96,766$59,995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59,994.75 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Oilers | 61c | 95,554$58,288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58,288.2 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Oilers | 62c | 69,106$42,814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42,813.61 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Oilers | 36c | 51,197$18,232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,232.14 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Maple Leafs | 37c | 40,950$15,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,798.34 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Oilers | 61c | 37,341$22,941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,940.89 | 619 | 50.1%310 W · 309 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Oilers | 62c | 30,000$18,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,599.97 | 329 | 46.8%154 W · 175 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Maple Leafs | 64c | 27,967$17,959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,007.88 | 117 | 45.3%53 W · 64 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…8bfabacked Maple Leafs | 65c | 22,800$14,721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,079.05 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed Oilers | 61c | 22,150$13,512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,511.5 | 135 | 53.3%72 W · 63 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x163e…dc5bbacked Oilers | 62c | 19,355$12,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,000 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…a240backed Maple Leafs | 36c | 15,532$5,592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,940.51 | 500 | 49.6%248 W · 252 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Oilers | 57c | 15,000$8,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,520 | 617 | 48.5%299 W · 318 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Oilers | 62c | 15,000$9,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,299.98 | 139 | 48.2%67 W · 72 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12ec…41aebacked Maple Leafs | 64c | 14,250$9,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,130 | 48 | 66.7%32 W · 16 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9e…a250backed Oilers | 62c | 14,000$8,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,640 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa996…8aacbacked Maple Leafs | 38c | 13,997$5,359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,638.13 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Oilers | 63c | 13,946$8,738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,738 | 186 | 41.9%78 W · 108 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Oilers | 62c | 13,189$8,177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,177.18 | 619 | 53.8%333 W · 286 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3189…b449backed Oilers | 56c | 11,884$6,666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,666.11 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.29per pick | 40cpaid | -81.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdefe…5432backed Oilers | 62c | 11,700$7,254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,254 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | -6.2wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed Maple Leafs | 65c | 11,020$7,163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,856.99 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Maple Leafs | 68c | 10,113$6,854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,258.16 | 854 | 64.2%548 W · 306 L | +64.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Oilers | 63c | 10,000$6,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,300 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | +7.9wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Oilers | 61c | 9,722$5,931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,930.71 | 282 | 51.8%146 W · 136 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Oilers | 63c | 8,838$5,607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,607.32 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Maple Leafs | 38c | 8,800$3,344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,455.99 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +16.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Oilers | 64c | 7,545$4,829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,828.9 | 332 | 43.7%145 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x498c…42bfbacked Oilers | 35c | 7,500$2,625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,625 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Oilers | 62c | 6,599$4,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,091.31 | 217 | 55.3%120 W · 97 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Maple Leafs | 37c | 6,500$2,405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,094.97 | 1,087 | 45.1%490 W · 597 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7a5…7c26backed Maple Leafs | 64c | 5,700$3,648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,052 | 43 | 65.1%28 W · 15 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Oilers | 36c | 5,560$2,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,001.6 | 151 | 45%68 W · 83 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17f1…af18backed Oilers | 5c | 5,331$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.66 | 49 | 12.2%6 W · 43 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 7cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4b7…3c8bbacked Oilers | 63c | 5,000$3,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,150 | 73 | 47.9%35 W · 38 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x201c…58bfbacked Oilers | 61c | 5,000$3,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,049.95 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | -7.5wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -21%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Oilers | 29c | 4,628$1,356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,356.17 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Oilers | 42c | 4,560$1,901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,901.34 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Oilers | 38c | 4,518$1,725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,725.23 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x467c…8c89backed Maple Leafs | 76c | 4,513$3,421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,092.4 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…d142backed Oilers | 62c | 4,500$2,790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,790 | 97 | 52.6%51 W · 46 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9f…e125backed Oilers | 35c | 4,380$1,533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,532.83 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Maple Leafs | 58c | 4,225$2,432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,792.69 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbe…b84fbacked Oilers | 62c | 4,065$2,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,520.32 | 182 | 58.2%106 W · 76 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35ac…92a7backed Maple Leafs | 39c | 4,000$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,440 | 275 | 48.7%134 W · 141 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb66…2f53backed Oilers | 62c | 3,532$2,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,190 | 88 | 48.9%43 W · 45 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc62b…625dbacked Oilers | 63c | 3,443$2,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,155 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb2f…936abacked Oilers | 62c | 3,252$2,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,016.26 | 86 | 64%55 W · 31 L | +7.9wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Oilers | 46c | 3,179$1,469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,469.18 | 183 | 44.8%82 W · 101 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Maple Leafs | 52c | 3,042$1,581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,460.65 | 950 | 49.1%466 W · 484 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Maple Leafs | 40c | 3,030$1,203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,827.31 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4738…df78backed Maple Leafs | 76c | 3,013$2,291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$722.26 | 57 | 35.1%20 W · 37 L | -13.5wins | -0.24per pick | 59cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x7234…1d85backed Oilers | 36c | 3,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Maple Leafs | 39c | 3,000$1,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,830 | 684 | 49.9%341 W · 343 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Oilers | 41c | 2,981$1,217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,217.19 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Oilers | 62c | 2,844$1,776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,775.51 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Oilers | 61c | 2,758$1,682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,682.33 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Maple Leafs | 38c | 2,562$974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,588.44 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Maple Leafs | 60c | 2,526$1,524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,002.15 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Maple Leafs | 77c | 2,506$1,919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.32 | 521 | 72.6%378 W · 143 L | +36.7wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Oilers | 62c | 2,500$1,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,550 | 272 | 43.4%118 W · 154 L | -16.8wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…5176backed Oilers | 61c | 2,461$1,501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,501 | 112 | 43.8%49 W · 63 L | -8.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d98…4d2dbacked Oilers | 61c | 2,459$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +4.8wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Maple Leafs | 37c | 2,441$895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,545.37 | 603 | 37.5%226 W · 377 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Oilers | 62c | 2,419$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 315 | 50.8%160 W · 155 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15fe…c871backed Oilers | 40c | 2,095$828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$828 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Oilers | 61c | 2,000$1,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,220 | 623 | 46.9%292 W · 331 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf93f…f94bbacked Maple Leafs | 64c | 2,000$1,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce4d…a7fabacked Oilers | 61c | 2,000$1,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,220 | 255 | 55.3%141 W · 114 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9405…c071backed Oilers | 61c | 2,000$1,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,220 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Maple Leafs | 36c | 2,000$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,279.99 | 210 | 48.1%101 W · 109 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Oilers | 62c | 1,912$1,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,185.39 | 367 | 48%176 W · 191 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82b7…cc32backed Oilers | 62c | 1,900$1,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,178 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Oilers | 62c | 1,851$1,143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,143 | 459 | 55.1%253 W · 206 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56c2…17bfbacked Maple Leafs | 36c | 1,809$651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,157.82 | 254 | 47.2%120 W · 134 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Maple Leafs | 38c | 1,800$684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,116 | 248 | 45.2%112 W · 136 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…898fbacked Oilers | 63c | 1,712$1,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,071.13 | 119 | 50.4%60 W · 59 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Oilers | 62c | 1,710$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060 | 247 | 49.8%123 W · 124 L | -10.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8333…eb93backed Oilers | 61c | 1,616$986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$985.76 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf62b…844abacked Oilers | 64c | 1,563$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 146 | 54.1%79 W · 67 L | -7.9wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e05…1b97backed Oilers | 64c | 1,545$988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$988 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -6.5wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Oilers | 40c | 1,536$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610.44 | 393 | 44.8%176 W · 217 L | +23.3wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x019e…af1dbacked Oilers | 64c | 1,500$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Oilers | 61c | 1,500$922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$922.46 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f72…0841backed Oilers | 62c | 1,456$903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$902.6 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Oilers | 63c | 1,431$901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$901.45 | 622 | 49.4%307 W · 315 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Maple Leafs | 39c | 1,410$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860.26 | 281 | 52%146 W · 135 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5413backed Oilers | 53c | 1,372$725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Oilers | 63c | 1,349$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9719…6ffabacked Maple Leafs | 39c | 1,282$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$782.05 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -5.5wins | -0.20per pick | 42cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Oilers | 61c | 1,254$767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$767.01 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc88b…af8bbacked Oilers | 63c | 1,230$775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$774.9 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04eb…36a7backed Oilers | 63c | 1,190$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb58d…1f46backed Oilers | 63c | 1,180$743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$743.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81e9…1812backed Maple Leafs | 65c | 1,133$732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.53 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 63cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee7e…61bbbacked Oilers | 38c | 1,118$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426 | 412 | 48.3%199 W · 213 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Maple Leafs vs. Oilersthis page
- Maple Leafs vs. Oilers: O/U 6.5Over won
- Maple Leafs vs. Oilers: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Oilers (-1.5)Maple Leafs won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.