NHL · resolved market
Maple Leafs vs. Oilers: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x612e3a65429523d005d8d9cccc3c3f035d5ae362d6c5ba66316d94011987a8eb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $143,048
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $146,305
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $143,048 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Under | 42c | 99,736$41,870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41,869.82 | 224 | 43.8%98 W · 126 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Over | 58c | 40,000$23,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,800 | 104 | 51.9%54 W · 50 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 58c | 29,898$17,276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,621.85 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 58c | 15,488$8,983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,504.94 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 57c | 14,967$8,524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,442.85 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 1c | 7,333$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.33 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Under | 68c | 5,074$3,427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,427.28 | 154 | 31.8%49 W · 105 L | -12.4wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Under | 46c | 4,921$2,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,270.38 | 332 | 43.7%145 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Over | 58c | 4,231$2,454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,777.03 | 186 | 41.9%78 W · 108 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Under | 44c | 3,320$1,477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,477.12 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4b7…3c8bbacked Under | 44c | 2,799$1,227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,227 | 73 | 47.9%35 W · 38 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Over | 58c | 1,360$788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.22 | 868 | 52.4%455 W · 413 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 56c | 1,324$737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.55 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Over | 56c | 1,184$663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.89 | 530 | 50.6%268 W · 262 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf104…d34cbacked Under | 46c | 1,173$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.38 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 58c | 1,132$657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.44 | 1,024 | 48.4%496 W · 528 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce4d…a7fabacked Over | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 255 | 55.3%141 W · 114 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd52…df69backed Over | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Under | 42c | 997.5$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.95 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -17.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa70b…7a8abacked Over | 58c | 953.45$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.45 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde8c…6307backed Under | 52c | 771.19$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Under | 42c | 624.36$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.67 | 105 | 40%42 W · 63 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 45c | 619$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.88 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Over | 30c | 600$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.08 | 172 | 47.7%82 W · 90 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Over | 39c | 599.86$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.38 | 295 | 53.6%158 W · 137 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 54c | 575.06$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.53 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9030…4a23backed Over | 57c | 561.4$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.4 | 31 | 74.2%23 W · 8 L | +5.9wins | +0.19per pick | 55cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa632…4c96backed Over | 58c | 517.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.24 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 40c | 511.53$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.42 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 42c | 506.67$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.75 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 35c | 500$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8aba…4961backed Over | 40c | 500$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Under | 42c | 499.99$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 237 | 51.5%122 W · 115 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8415…dfe1backed Under | 42c | 467$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.14 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed Over | 6c | 435.11$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409 | 72 | 30.6%22 W · 50 L | +14.5wins | +0.20per pick | 10cpaid | +218.9%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…4f9cbacked Over | 58c | 431.03$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.03 | 160 | 56.3%90 W · 70 L | +11.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Over | 56c | 400$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176 | 764 | 50.4%385 W · 379 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Under | 7c | 391$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.54 | 1,054 | 42.5%448 W · 606 L | -25.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 42c | 388$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.96 | 849 | 53.8%457 W · 392 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01b4…372ebacked Under | 3c | 378.49$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.35 | 217 | 4.1%9 W · 208 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked Over | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.83 | 485 | 52.2%253 W · 232 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 30c | 308$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.6 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Under | 43c | 271.97$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.48 | 262 | 43.5%114 W · 148 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…348abacked Under | 6c | 215.04$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.52 | 153 | 54.9%84 W · 69 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Over | 25c | 200$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 218 | 56.4%123 W · 95 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a4…5780backed Under | 48c | 186.06$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94d8…8835backed Over | 59c | 176.95$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.55 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Over | 59c | 170$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.7 | 624 | 47.3%295 W · 329 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4371…4fd9backed Under | 70c | 151.17$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 47c | 150.61$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.82 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 11c | 150.44$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.28 | 920 | 49.7%457 W · 463 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe025…102fbacked Over | 55c | 148.17$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.68 | 127 | 56.7%72 W · 55 L | +11.4wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa924…b1b9backed Under | 19c | 125.62$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.36 | 337 | 35%118 W · 219 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ce…6b46backed Over | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Over | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 303 | 49.5%150 W · 153 L | -13.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Under | 43c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.5 | 432 | 50.9%220 W · 212 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Under | 42c | 99.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 480 | 46.9%225 W · 255 L | -13.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Under | 45c | 93.31$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.99 | 607 | 41%249 W · 358 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Over | 55c | 89.08$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.08 | 202 | 45%91 W · 111 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 30c | 84.29$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.96 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x392c…0bb4backed Over | 56c | 80.89$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.59 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe624…2928backed Over | 52c | 70$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 226 | 55.3%125 W · 101 L | +17.7wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Over | 58c | 68.03$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.57 | 196 | 51.5%101 W · 95 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8d…e22dbacked Over | 54c | 66.97$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.48 | 78 | 55.1%43 W · 35 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0562…c7eabacked Over | 61c | 65.57$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.57 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +79.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…fe46backed Over | 31c | 63.8$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.97 | 111 | 53.2%59 W · 52 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x602d…3534backed Over | 59c | 59.32$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.32 | 432 | 56.5%244 W · 188 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf54b…8a63backed Under | 42c | 50.96$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.4 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab52…5487backed Over | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +84.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x808d…f5debacked Over | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb3d…58f5backed Under | 44c | 48.2$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.39 | 157 | 51.6%81 W · 76 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Over | 59c | 48$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.92 | 550 | 48.2%265 W · 285 L | -11.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…b8cabacked Over | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed Over | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.64 | 196 | 51.5%101 W · 95 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Under | 43c | 44.6$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.13 | 451 | 51.2%231 W · 220 L | +16.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1466…3bfbbacked Under | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30ad…6a69backed Over | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 231 | 58%134 W · 97 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d1…5557backed Under | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 101 | 67.3%68 W · 33 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d21…8648backed Under | 45c | 35.47$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.83 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480e…a98bbacked Under | 43c | 34.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1137…d2d3backed Over | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b72…5b75backed Under | 44c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcbc…93a8backed Under | 42c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a4b…9f51backed Under | 42c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab4…50acbacked Under | 42c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +17%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d19…e2fdbacked Under | 44c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa68d…e03bbacked Under | 44c | 29.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe315…3911backed Over | 59c | 25.93$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.7 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +5.1wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Over | 59c | 24.39$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 425 | 58.6%249 W · 176 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa73…c2c4backed Over | 59c | 23.73$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.73 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5abb…061bbacked Under | 48c | 23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 181 | 48.6%88 W · 93 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cea…5013backed Under | 46c | 21.74$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf19…976bbacked Over | 58c | 20.69$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.69 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb858…7dc3backed Over | 59c | 20.34$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.34 | 128 | 55.5%71 W · 57 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x587f…1d4abacked Over | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Maple Leafs vs. Oilers: O/U 6.5this page
- Maple Leafs vs. OilersMaple Leafs won
- Maple Leafs vs. Oilers: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Oilers (-1.5)Maple Leafs won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.