TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Pelicans vs. Bucks

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Bucksof Pelicans, Bucks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,782,106
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,966,060

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,782,106 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,191 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4bd7…373ebacked Pelicans65c153,845$100,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99,999.529350.5%47 W · 46 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d16…d24dbacked Pelicans64c125,081$80,052 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80,0528961.8%55 W · 34 L+0.4wins0.00per pick61cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked Bucks35c119,435$41,802 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77,632.4687144.7%389 W · 482 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1bc0…4429backed Bucks36c100,000$36,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64,00048343.7%211 W · 272 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbddf…c684backed Bucks37c85,000$31,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53,549.7672648.3%351 W · 375 L+30.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Pelicans64c68,453$43,810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43,809.821,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Pelicans63c43,009$27,018 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,017.731,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Pelicans27c42,217$11,446 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,446.421,04549%512 W · 533 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93ab…9723backed Bucks36c40,000$14,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,60060351.4%310 W · 293 L+16.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x07b8…8e25backed Bucks37c33,185$12,279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,906.7823257.8%134 W · 98 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb57a…b8c3backed Pelicans62c30,000$18,611 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,610.6319653.6%105 W · 91 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2219…e243backed Bucks38c30,000$11,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,599.945646.4%26 W · 30 L-4.3wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-15.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x11db…841fbacked Pelicans0c25,000$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252270%0 W · 227 L-0.2wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf11…8399backed Bucks38c24,273$9,224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,049.5637539.5%148 W · 227 L-1.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa996…8aacbacked Bucks36c19,999$7,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,799.3314243%61 W · 81 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf9e…a250backed Pelicans64c19,999$12,799 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,799.3115247.4%72 W · 80 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Pelicans48c19,581$9,415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,415.3483039.4%327 W · 503 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Pelicans10c19,220$1,957 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,956.981,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Pelicans64c18,694$11,894 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,893.782,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d58…9a15backed Pelicans31c17,800$5,476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,475.759336.6%34 W · 59 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-13.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7df6…b212backed Bucks37c16,474$6,095 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,378.381844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Bucks59c16,046$9,536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,509.421,19032%381 W · 809 L-58.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-34.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5227…f9bdbacked Pelicans63c15,873$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,00010252.9%54 W · 48 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f2f…be86backed Pelicans64c13,609$8,710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,709.613357.9%77 W · 56 L+6.1wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Bucks46c12,791$5,835 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,955.512,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26f8…3452backed Bucks48c12,191$5,847 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,343.489938.4%38 W · 61 L-8.4wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-26%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Pelicans46c11,954$5,552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,551.889444.4%397 W · 497 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe258…2330backed Pelicans64c10,975$7,024 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,024.323245.3%105 W · 127 L+0.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid+4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x938f…f13fbacked Bucks36c10,970$3,949 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,020.85349.1%26 W · 27 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa051…54ebbacked Bucks38c10,549$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,549.4515435.7%55 W · 99 L+0.1wins0.00per pick36cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Pelicans73c10,461$7,675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,674.814,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7635…63f6backed Pelicans62c10,312$6,342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,341.8721440.7%87 W · 127 L-16.2wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-23.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x18c0…3969backed Bucks70c10,059$7,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,058.654100%4 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+93.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe734…8f6abacked Bucks35c10,022$3,538 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,484.6419150.8%97 W · 94 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Bucks35c10,000$3,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,50059653.4%318 W · 278 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba41…5f4fbacked Pelicans65c10,000$6,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,50031445.2%142 W · 172 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xedc8…cca9backed Pelicans65c10,000$6,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,50020551.2%105 W · 100 L+8.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfce1…9ce7backed Bucks38c10,000$3,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,20035450.8%180 W · 174 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Pelicans32c9,028$2,887 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,887.091,40940.2%567 W · 842 L-40.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc3ea…bb01backed Bucks36c9,000$3,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,7605648.2%27 W · 29 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Pelicans8c8,773$702 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701.8356646.5%263 W · 303 L+16.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Pelicans59c8,277$4,895 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,895.285,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Pelicans62c7,935$4,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,919.759646.1%275 W · 321 L-16.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Bucks50c7,897$3,952 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,944.451,00334.7%348 W · 655 L-44.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-35.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3f5e…e7dbbacked Pelicans63c7,805$4,917 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,917.1828649.7%142 W · 144 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Bucks64c7,570$4,833 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,737.082,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Pelicans62c7,529$4,668 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,667.982,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Pelicans41c7,226$2,948 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,948.023,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Pelicans63c7,140$4,498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,498.26,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Pelicans55c7,013$3,846 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,846.478,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Pelicans64c6,666$4,267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,267.4585344%375 W · 478 L+1.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed Pelicans63c6,444$4,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,049.7237557.6%216 W · 159 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Pelicans25c6,231$1,558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,557.7514533.1%48 W · 97 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-23%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Bucks37c5,995$2,194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,801.034,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Bucks44c5,823$2,548 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,275.381529.4%240 W · 575 L-37.0wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-43%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x724b…e780backed Pelicans63c5,799$3,653 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,653.372259.1%13 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ab3…12b2backed Pelicans65c5,446$3,540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,539.65242.3%22 W · 30 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-18.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf403…e176backed Bucks36c5,446$1,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,485.155156.9%29 W · 22 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x685d…22d6backed Pelicans62c5,300$3,290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,290.430157.1%172 W · 129 L+14.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb177…1914backed Pelicans62c5,281$3,274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,27424847.6%118 W · 130 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Bucks61c5,189$3,166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,023.011,05549.9%526 W · 529 L+29.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xca3f…8078backed Bucks38c5,104$1,939 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,165.0255346.8%259 W · 294 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Bucks38c5,100$1,938 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,1621,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked Pelicans71c5,000$3,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,55034456.7%195 W · 149 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Bucks37c5,000$1,830 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,17087750.2%440 W · 437 L-19.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7960…b94fbacked Bucks38c5,000$1,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,10019751.8%102 W · 95 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5798…ab44backed Bucks38c5,000$1,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,10015740.8%64 W · 93 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3fa…a26cbacked Bucks38c5,000$1,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,10024549%120 W · 125 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35ac…92a7backed Bucks35c5,000$1,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,25012144.6%54 W · 67 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x816b…d69dbacked Pelicans59c4,996$2,969 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,968.6824752.6%130 W · 117 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd547…6d26backed Pelicans62c4,950$3,069 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,068.881428.6%4 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-26.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Bucks35c4,799$1,687 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,111.52,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked Pelicans47c4,721$2,206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,206.448956.4%276 W · 213 L+31.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+5.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe5df…382dbacked Pelicans32c4,656$1,503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,502.8516335.6%58 W · 105 L-12.2wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-17.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed Bucks70c4,609$3,238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,371.8613464.2%86 W · 48 L+6.3wins+0.05per pick59cpaid-2.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed Bucks35c4,444$1,555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,888.645850.4%231 W · 227 L+11.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Pelicans1c4,389$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.6864517.1%110 W · 535 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-44.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ddc…85bcbacked Bucks38c4,358$1,662 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,695.673100%3 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+177.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x46d1…b851backed Bucks38c4,333$1,647 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,686.451566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+34.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbd1e…ff14backed Pelicans63c4,330$2,728 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,727.8516370.6%115 W · 48 L+7.0wins+0.04per pick66cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa2fa…ceb7backed Pelicans62c4,327$2,683 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,682.741752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed Pelicans1c4,200$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.740133.4%134 W · 267 L+27.0wins+0.07per pick27cpaid+20.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x03ac…4f55backed Pelicans62c4,000$2,480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,48036741.4%152 W · 215 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Pelicans64c4,000$2,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5601,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a58…61f0backed Pelicans61c3,972$2,423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,422.82475%3 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick72cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb31b…d703backed Pelicans31c3,571$1,112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,112.317940.5%32 W · 47 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-20.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d2f…ef1abacked Pelicans62c3,533$2,190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,190.4618553%98 W · 87 L+0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Bucks37c3,500$1,295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,204.9943348.5%210 W · 223 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe5cf…7b4cbacked Pelicans3c3,333$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004161%25 W · 16 L+4.0wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+46.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Bucks36c3,241$1,167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,074.21,31650.5%664 W · 652 L+42.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Bucks35c3,214$1,125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,089.262,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Bucks24c3,189$765 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,423.3377348.5%375 W · 398 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Pelicans63c3,161$1,991 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,991.063,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Pelicans32c3,154$1,012 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,011.811,22637.4%458 W · 768 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2935…96f7backed Pelicans9c3,109$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.181225%3 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick24cpaid+14.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe6bb…9f00backed Bucks38c3,000$1,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,8601346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e29…9e66backed Pelicans65c2,984$1,940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,939.7650241.2%207 W · 295 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x027b…019cbacked Bucks58c2,811$1,630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,181.072774.1%20 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick69cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x19ee…a073backed Bucks71c2,521$1,794 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$727.563661.1%22 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick61cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41b4…de82backed Bucks35c2,500$875 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,62558740%235 W · 352 L+24.3wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.