NBA · resolved market
Spread: Pelicans (-4.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc1740660c0278c08b2b74a717751b7871d2b04d58b1f65b24db27f669755b27e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bucksof Pelicans, Bucks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $246,394
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $247,761
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $246,394 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 180 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Pelicans | 52c | 103,317$53,725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53,725.06 | 200 | 55%110 W · 90 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5227…f9bdbacked Pelicans | 53c | 40,853$21,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,800 | 102 | 52.9%54 W · 48 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2219…e243backed Bucks | 48c | 30,908$14,836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,072.03 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Bucks | 47c | 19,606$9,252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,354 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c9…617dbacked Bucks | 48c | 18,958$9,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,858.33 | 113 | 51.3%58 W · 55 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Bucks | 46c | 14,511$6,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,791.33 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb63…3800backed Bucks | 48c | 13,571$6,514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,057.06 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…b7b7backed Bucks | 48c | 12,490$5,995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,494.8 | 250 | 49.2%123 W · 127 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Bucks | 47c | 10,902$5,108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,793.61 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Bucks | 47c | 10,000$4,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,300 | 354 | 50.8%180 W · 174 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Bucks | 47c | 8,762$4,083 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,679.31 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddd8…ff1abacked Bucks | 48c | 7,835$3,761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,074.42 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Bucks | 47c | 6,719$3,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,556.73 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Pelicans | 52c | 6,300$3,276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,275.98 | 584 | 49.7%290 W · 294 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Pelicans | 55c | 6,000$3,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,300 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Bucks | 48c | 5,088$2,436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,652.08 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x201c…58bfbacked Pelicans | 53c | 5,000$2,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,650 | 185 | 47%87 W · 98 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Bucks | 50c | 5,000$2,484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,515.63 | 691 | 49.1%339 W · 352 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Bucks | 48c | 4,479$2,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,329.17 | 485 | 46.4%225 W · 260 L | -14.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ce…6f34backed Bucks | 48c | 4,167$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,166.67 | 137 | 48.9%67 W · 70 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x410a…2643backed Bucks | 47c | 4,109$1,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,159.18 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +3.8wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3ede…6c27backed Pelicans | 55c | 4,025$2,214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,213.75 | 451 | 51.4%232 W · 219 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Pelicans | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,080 | 824 | 42.2%348 W · 476 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Bucks | 46c | 3,396$1,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,845.44 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Pelicans | 53c | 3,299$1,734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,734.46 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Bucks | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,529.99 | 453 | 48.1%218 W · 235 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Pelicans | 54c | 3,000$1,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,619.98 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2825…c0e3backed Pelicans | 53c | 2,827$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Pelicans | 53c | 2,759$1,462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,462.27 | 657 | 50.1%329 W · 328 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Pelicans | 51c | 2,656$1,354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,354.45 | 375 | 57.6%216 W · 159 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Bucks | 48c | 2,083$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,083.33 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6238…0523backed Pelicans | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,099.82 | 158 | 49.4%78 W · 80 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Pelicans | 44c | 1,975$872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$871.55 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Bucks | 47c | 1,957$927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,030.49 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Pelicans | 56c | 1,779$998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$997.95 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bd3…394cbacked Bucks | 48c | 1,667$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$866.67 | 100 | 48%48 W · 52 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b46…121dbacked Pelicans | 52c | 1,539$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 315 | 51.7%163 W · 152 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Bucks | 48c | 1,500$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780 | 236 | 44.1%104 W · 132 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbb…acb2backed Pelicans | 53c | 1,379$728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$728.27 | 890 | 50.4%449 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed Bucks | 48c | 1,339$643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$696.35 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3860…0efcbacked Bucks | 48c | 1,232$591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640.72 | 129 | 50.4%65 W · 64 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Pelicans | 52c | 1,155$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.6 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e12…20e9backed Bucks | 46c | 1,076$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$581.09 | 293 | 47.4%139 W · 154 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Bucks | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.67 | 672 | 52.7%354 W · 318 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2ee…c530backed Pelicans | 51c | 1,012$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.12 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Bucks | 46c | 1,011$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.93 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04d2…4c2cbacked Bucks | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 174 | 54%94 W · 80 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Bucks | 49c | 999.99$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 267 | 55.8%149 W · 118 L | +12.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Pelicans | 60c | 987.08$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.12 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a33…d0e2backed Pelicans | 55c | 909.09$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 54 | 68.5%37 W · 17 L | +9.4wins | +0.17per pick | 51cpaid | +30%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Bucks | 47c | 905.46$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.32 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9899…04d5backed Bucks | 49c | 877$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.27 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Bucks | 48c | 872$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.44 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Pelicans | 22c | 862.73$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.93 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5db…fef5backed Bucks | 49c | 802$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.02 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f9b…9d7dbacked Bucks | 49c | 800$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.31per pick | 53cpaid | +58.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Bucks | 48c | 791.04$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.65 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Pelicans | 52c | 767$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.84 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0d2…ad14backed Pelicans | 55c | 727.27$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5040…4fe8backed Pelicans | 51c | 721$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.71 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Pelicans | 57c | 626.2$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.44 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x398e…3850backed Bucks | 49c | 591$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.41 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Pelicans | 51c | 548.52$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.37 | 263 | 36.5%96 W · 167 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…69ebbacked Pelicans | 51c | 500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 629 | 48.6%306 W · 323 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb42a…4493backed Bucks | 47c | 497.87$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.87 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Pelicans | 52c | 480.77$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 509 | 54.8%279 W · 230 L | +14.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a8c…c8f6backed Bucks | 49c | 474.99$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d22…0731backed Pelicans | 51c | 433$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.83 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Bucks | 47c | 421.04$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.07 | 634 | 47.5%301 W · 333 L | -19.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8849…9a83backed Bucks | 49c | 406.6$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.6 | 561 | 54.5%306 W · 255 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e68…3215backed Pelicans | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 117 | 55.6%65 W · 52 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Pelicans | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa42a…d91fbacked Pelicans | 51c | 382.35$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 623 | 47.5%296 W · 327 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3955…74cabacked Bucks | 48c | 381.58$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.42 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9835…d83bbacked Pelicans | 51c | 381$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.31 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x248d…b4ebbacked Pelicans | 51c | 366$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.66 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c9b…a556backed Pelicans | 52c | 317.31$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 229 | 53.7%123 W · 106 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Bucks | 46c | 309.43$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167 | 911 | 48.1%438 W · 473 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c94…a43bbacked Bucks | 48c | 295.52$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.67 | 511 | 46.6%238 W · 273 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a9…45ffbacked Pelicans | 51c | 291.41$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.62 | 238 | 50%119 W · 119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Bucks | 47c | 284$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.52 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc56b…fe0abacked Bucks | 48c | 282.88$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.1 | 279 | 43%120 W · 159 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b5…cc59backed Bucks | 49c | 277$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.27 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 51cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Bucks | 48c | 250$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 955 | 48.5%463 W · 492 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Bucks | 46c | 250$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Pelicans | 51c | 240.97$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.89 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b7d…7c51backed Pelicans | 51c | 239$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.89 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Pelicans | 41c | 236.74$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.2 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Pelicans | 45c | 224.92$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.82 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Pelicans | 53c | 220$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.19 | 470 | 45.1%212 W · 258 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05f9…f351backed Pelicans | 53c | 213$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.89 | 410 | 48.3%198 W · 212 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75cd…61a6backed Bucks | 48c | 204.08$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.12 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Bucks | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 661 | 53.3%352 W · 309 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f32…483dbacked Pelicans | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 76 | 43.4%33 W · 43 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2020…7e22backed Pelicans | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16be…9aacbacked Pelicans | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…8848backed Pelicans | 53c | 169.81$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 722 | 50.6%365 W · 357 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc1…e318backed Bucks | 47c | 167.07$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.97 | 530 | 43.8%232 W · 298 L | -25.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa66d…0859backed Pelicans | 53c | 165.16$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.53 | 216 | 45.8%99 W · 117 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…242fbacked Bucks | 43c | 150.68$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.68 | 335 | 54.6%183 W · 152 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Pelicans (-4.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Pelicans (-2.5)Pelicans won
- Bobby Portis: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Bobby Portis: Points O/U 18.5No won
- Bobby Portis: Rebounds O/U 9.5No won
- Kyle Kuzma: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Kyle Kuzma: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Kyle Kuzma: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Kyle Kuzma: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Myles Turner: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- Pelicans vs. BucksBucks won
- Pelicans vs. Bucks: 1H MoneylinePelicans won
- Pelicans vs. Bucks: 1H O/U 113.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. Bucks: O/U 221.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. Bucks: O/U 222.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. Bucks: O/U 223.5Over won
- Spread: Pelicans (-5.5)Bucks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.