TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Pelicans vs. Bucks: O/U 222.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$161,460
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$163,154

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $161,460 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 143 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4bd7…373ebacked Over50c29,621$14,697 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,924.059350.5%47 W · 46 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1496…a429backed Under51c19,607$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,999.5510949.5%54 W · 55 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under50c12,396$6,184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,183.799,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc617…a854backed Over49c7,057$3,487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,570.5742648.1%205 W · 221 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b9f…e125backed Under51c6,480$3,305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,304.5911252.7%59 W · 53 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe56d…2b65backed Over51c5,859$2,997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,861.97552%39 W · 36 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb26b…3266backed Over50c5,714$2,857 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,857650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf51…4a30backed Over50c5,004$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,50476746.4%356 W · 411 L-16.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Under53c4,916$2,605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,605.381,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under52c3,961$2,045 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,044.9780737.7%304 W · 503 L-33.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7deb…2682backed Under52c3,826$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0005550.9%28 W · 27 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb177…1914backed Over53c3,517$1,864 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,652.9824847.6%118 W · 130 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9728…0314backed Under51c3,204$1,633 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,632.885050%25 W · 25 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd8c1…b545backed Over51c3,199$1,631 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,567.51366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+33.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Over52c3,000$1,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,44045348.1%218 W · 235 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7123…2d24backed Under49c2,988$1,464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,464.12333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c73…66b8backed Over51c2,984$1,522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,462.16333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3d22…0731backed Over51c2,952$1,506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,446.48250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1dee…71ebbacked Under49c2,937$1,439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,439.1330%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5a8c…c8f6backed Under49c2,918$1,430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,429.82333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb17a…27acbacked Under49c2,894$1,418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,418.0630%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9835…d83bbacked Over51c2,881$1,469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,411.69366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+33.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9899…04d5backed Under49c2,845$1,394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,394.05333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x697e…f03ebacked Over51c2,810$1,433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,376.9366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+33.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3cbf…4ec0backed Under48c2,800$1,344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3445858.6%34 W · 24 L+4.2wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+15.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdd0c…e3b3backed Over51c2,800$1,428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,372450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b7d…7c51backed Under49c2,786$1,365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,365.1420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x59ca…890cbacked Over51c2,759$1,407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,351.91333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0140…fe12backed Over51c2,749$1,402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,347.01366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+33.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x398e…3850backed Under49c2,714$1,330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,329.86333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a91…1769backed Over49c2,683$1,325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,357.6532150.8%163 W · 158 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3461…4f53backed Under49c2,675$1,311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,310.75333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba73…cab0backed Under49c2,612$1,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,279.88333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3860…0efcbacked Over50c2,573$1,286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,286.5312950.4%65 W · 64 L-0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc2ee…c530backed Under49c2,537$1,243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,243.1330%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0e6e…b258backed Over51c2,531$1,291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,240.19366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+33.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd8e4…c942backed Under49c2,527$1,238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,238.2330%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x248d…b4ebbacked Over51c2,505$1,278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,227.45333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5040…4fe8backed Under49c2,503$1,226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,226.4730%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Under48c2,439$1,171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,170.82,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3b5…cc59backed Over51c2,396$1,222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,174.04475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick51cpaid+48.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd5db…fef5backed Over51c2,370$1,209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,161.3366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+33.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Under50c2,341$1,170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,170.2971547.7%341 W · 374 L-26.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under50c2,265$1,134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,133.913,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under48c2,197$1,054 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,054.364,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8415…dfe1backed Under50c2,000$1,006 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,005.5419647.4%93 W · 103 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x253d…aa62backed Over49c1,858$910 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$947.5858347%274 W · 309 L-12.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a30…8abdbacked Over51c1,531$781 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$750.3750754.2%275 W · 232 L+13.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under37c1,339$494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$493.698,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under50c1,075$536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$535.954,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over47c1,008$474 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$534.245,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Over52c1,000$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48026755.8%149 W · 118 L+12.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x67a7…86cebacked Over49c999.98$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509.991323.1%3 W · 10 L-3.2wins-0.25per pick48cpaid-54.7%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Under51c980.43$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.021,21248.3%586 W · 626 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9925…e33ebacked Over66c905$597 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.710156.4%57 W · 44 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x351e…de8abacked Over48c891.61$428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$463.6437747.5%179 W · 198 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under32c778.38$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.513,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Under43c714.84$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.883039.4%327 W · 503 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked Over48c599.97$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.1726336.5%96 W · 167 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under51c502$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.982,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa82b…5220backed Under49c500$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24518650%93 W · 93 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x77fe…551dbacked Over51c408.22$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.0324450%122 W · 122 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64db…325bbacked Over50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2001,25948.7%613 W · 646 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Under52c386$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.722,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x457f…cf1dbacked Over49c275.51$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.5110659.4%63 W · 43 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Under52c268$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.362,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Over67c242.31$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.83,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over49c213.34$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.744,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under50c205.86$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.932,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Under48c200$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9624946.6%116 W · 133 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f3e…e4a3backed Under50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10041052%213 W · 197 L-1.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc688…5987backed Under50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10032346.4%150 W · 173 L-8.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Over53c197.71$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.921,02947.7%491 W · 538 L-13.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x92cf…8b35backed Over51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.081,11052%577 W · 533 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over51c195.97$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.582,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd00f…782bbacked Under50c191.68$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.841233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.4wins-0.20per pick54cpaid-47.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xb871…9f15backed Under51c150$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.559144.5%263 W · 328 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2478…52d7backed Over50c150$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$752263.6%14 W · 8 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xec97…a32ebacked Over50c150$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$752245.5%10 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-12.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x470e…07c0backed Over50c139$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.57353.4%39 W · 34 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7f89…f3eabacked Over54c113.41$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.174454.5%24 W · 20 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x97f6…66e2backed Under51c110.2$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.220149.8%100 W · 101 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Under51c107.29$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.7291148.1%438 W · 473 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Over49c103.91$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5395047.2%448 W · 502 L-28.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Under16c100$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Over51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$491,15153.7%618 W · 533 L-41.7wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x47e5…9b73backed Under50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5042551.3%218 W · 207 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfce…5c3ebacked Over50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd637…be9abacked Under51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5116052.5%84 W · 76 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd44d…389dbacked Under50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5041354%223 W · 190 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09d2…cc27backed Under52c100$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5221642.1%91 W · 125 L-0.3wins0.00per pick42cpaid-10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5cfe…ed69backed Under49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4938845.6%177 W · 211 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x348f…a206backed Over54c92.59$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.595848.3%28 W · 30 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Over49c89.9$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.982,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2123…8d70backed Under48c88.69$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.5717551.4%90 W · 85 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x698b…4426backed Under52c87.96$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.7422055%121 W · 99 L+12.2wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Over49c87$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.3766646.8%312 W · 354 L-29.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5e8d…e22dbacked Over51c85.54$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.3420949.3%103 W · 106 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xacbc…e374backed Over54c70.59$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.592152.4%11 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick55cpaid+14.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Under51c65$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.151,16352.8%614 W · 549 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.