NBA · resolved market
Spread: Pelicans (-5.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb6fc6da065fc1e342e62f1643809cfdc2d18fa3256d53bf76b142e5b07b932fd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bucksof Pelicans, Bucks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $816,490
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $818,175
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $816,490 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 168 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Pelicans | 50c | 554,077$277,038 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277,038.33 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Bucks | 50c | 339,844$169,922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169,921.87 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Pelicans | 50c | 108,621$54,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54,310.45 | 267 | 53.2%142 W · 125 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc31d…4ebebacked Bucks | 50c | 100,000$50,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50,000 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Bucks | 50c | 82,413$41,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,376.35 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Bucks | 50c | 75,000$37,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,500 | 246 | 50%123 W · 123 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed Bucks | 50c | 16,000$8,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,000 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ea…bb01backed Bucks | 52c | 15,000$7,767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,232.63 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Pelicans | 48c | 11,513$5,481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,481.36 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Bucks | 50c | 11,111$5,556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,555.5 | 245 | 54.7%134 W · 111 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Bucks | 51c | 10,250$5,227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,022.43 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Bucks | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 596 | 53.4%318 W · 278 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Pelicans | 50c | 9,000$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,500 | 461 | 45.6%210 W · 251 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Pelicans | 48c | 7,992$3,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,850.12 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…9401backed Pelicans | 48c | 7,955$3,819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,818.61 | 403 | 50.1%202 W · 201 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb66…2f53backed Bucks | 51c | 7,843$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,843.14 | 208 | 49.5%103 W · 105 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Bucks | 53c | 7,501$3,952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,549.21 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Bucks | 52c | 7,500$3,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,599.99 | 207 | 44.9%93 W · 114 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Bucks | 50c | 7,000$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,500 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Pelicans | 50c | 6,693$3,346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,346.44 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67b6…00bcbacked Bucks | 55c | 6,500$3,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,925 | 242 | 52.5%127 W · 115 L | +18.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed Bucks | 50c | 6,080$3,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,039.92 | 458 | 50.4%231 W · 227 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Pelicans | 49c | 6,000$2,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,939.98 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Pelicans | 45c | 5,604$2,522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,521.82 | 292 | 45.5%133 W · 159 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x201c…58bfbacked Bucks | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 185 | 47%87 W · 98 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf57e…bbd6backed Pelicans | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 105 | 53.3%56 W · 49 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5227…f9bdbacked Pelicans | 49c | 4,082$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 102 | 52.9%54 W · 48 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Bucks | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 339 | 45.1%153 W · 186 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc33a…3da3backed Pelicans | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 97 | 41.2%40 W · 57 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Pelicans | 48c | 3,438$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,650 | 316 | 44.6%141 W · 175 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Bucks | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Bucks | 51c | 2,941$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,441.18 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Bucks | 50c | 2,908$1,454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,453.85 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Bucks | 50c | 2,775$1,388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,386.91 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Pelicans | 48c | 2,707$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,299.68 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Bucks | 50c | 2,655$1,332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,323.55 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Pelicans | 52c | 2,494$1,285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,285.48 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked Pelicans | 46c | 2,457$1,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,130 | 249 | 42.2%105 W · 144 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Pelicans | 46c | 2,277$1,047 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,047.42 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x309f…9282backed Pelicans | 56c | 1,786$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 98 | 52%51 W · 47 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Pelicans | 51c | 1,550$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790.05 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Pelicans | 48c | 1,417$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680 | 657 | 50.1%329 W · 328 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee1…268bbacked Pelicans | 51c | 1,356$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689.55 | 534 | 53.4%285 W · 249 L | +19.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Pelicans | 48c | 1,274$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.28 | 715 | 47.7%341 W · 374 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Bucks | 50c | 1,170$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580.53 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Pelicans | 52c | 1,111$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.57 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Bucks | 50c | 1,020$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 160 | 42.5%68 W · 92 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…5c6cbacked Bucks | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 266 | 40.2%107 W · 159 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf630…7e65backed Bucks | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 291 | 49.5%144 W · 147 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Bucks | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x899a…2a22backed Bucks | 55c | 917.36$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.36 | 172 | 41.9%72 W · 100 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8415…dfe1backed Pelicans | 49c | 861.94$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.35 | 196 | 47.4%93 W · 103 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Pelicans | 46c | 749.98$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.99 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d0f…f3e6backed Pelicans | 50c | 700$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 66 | 59.1%39 W · 27 L | +7.2wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc1…e318backed Bucks | 50c | 698.18$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.5 | 530 | 43.8%232 W · 298 L | -25.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Bucks | 50c | 615.88$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.37 | 263 | 36.5%96 W · 167 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40ce…bf90backed Pelicans | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed Bucks | 52c | 600$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68a9…e73abacked Bucks | 51c | 583.26$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.26 | 210 | 45.2%95 W · 115 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d35…e83ebacked Bucks | 51c | 514.41$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.06 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb95…a5ccbacked Bucks | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 244 | 42.6%104 W · 140 L | -17.8wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed Pelicans | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 529 | 51.2%271 W · 258 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbec5…8f77backed Bucks | 55c | 500$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 211 | 39.8%84 W · 127 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab0…f2d7backed Bucks | 51c | 479.32$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.65 | 204 | 48.5%99 W · 105 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc65…19a0backed Bucks | 52c | 455.35$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.28 | 260 | 44.6%116 W · 144 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Pelicans | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc57…f5f4backed Bucks | 51c | 376.47$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.47 | 108 | 50.9%55 W · 53 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Bucks | 46c | 348.48$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.08 | 506 | 51.2%259 W · 247 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3422…cd99backed Pelicans | 50c | 316.67$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.54 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -48%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb871…9f15backed Bucks | 51c | 300$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 591 | 44.5%263 W · 328 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97f6…66e2backed Bucks | 51c | 299.96$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.98 | 201 | 49.8%100 W · 101 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30b5…5f24backed Bucks | 51c | 297.25$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.98 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f6b…8557backed Bucks | 53c | 283.54$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.54 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -62.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Pelicans | 50c | 279$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.04 | 543 | 51.6%280 W · 263 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Pelicans | 48c | 277.94$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.43 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66e6…7dc4backed Bucks | 51c | 261.17$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.74 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -5.6wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0e40…cf85backed Pelicans | 40c | 225$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 167 | 45.5%76 W · 91 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd00…7a45backed Bucks | 51c | 215.69$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.69 | 380 | 50.8%193 W · 187 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Bucks | 54c | 210.78$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.2 | 1,029 | 47.7%491 W · 538 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…5987backed Bucks | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 323 | 46.4%150 W · 173 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Pelicans | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 634 | 47.5%301 W · 333 L | -19.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6238…0523backed Pelicans | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 158 | 49.4%78 W · 80 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1041…f452backed Pelicans | 48c | 193.75$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 269 | 49.1%132 W · 137 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x706a…f5c0backed Bucks | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Pelicans | 53c | 177.55$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.79 | 666 | 46.8%312 W · 354 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8aab…8d40backed Bucks | 50c | 123.08$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.64 | 164 | 43.9%72 W · 92 L | -9.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x137e…20d7backed Bucks | 50c | 123.08$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.64 | 150 | 40%60 W · 90 L | -14.1wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1a90…8218backed Bucks | 50c | 118$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 118 | 54.2%64 W · 54 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Pelicans | 49c | 113.14$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.44 | 950 | 47.2%448 W · 502 L | -28.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Pelicans | 49c | 104.48$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.28 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Bucks | 51c | 101.88$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.92 | 911 | 48.1%438 W · 473 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53cd…f23ebacked Bucks | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 435 | 44.6%194 W · 241 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Bucks | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 493 | 51.7%255 W · 238 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Pelicans | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 388 | 45.6%177 W · 211 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b16…9960backed Bucks | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked Bucks | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 354 | 44.6%158 W · 196 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x843a…2687backed Bucks | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Bucks | 51c | 88.24$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.24 | 463 | 46.4%215 W · 248 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d89…e466backed Bucks | 51c | 87.46$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.96 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | -5.9wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Bucks | 51c | 84.38$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.56 | 927 | 50.6%469 W · 458 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Pelicans (-5.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Pelicans (-2.5)Pelicans won
- Bobby Portis: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Bobby Portis: Points O/U 18.5No won
- Bobby Portis: Rebounds O/U 9.5No won
- Kyle Kuzma: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Kyle Kuzma: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Kyle Kuzma: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Kyle Kuzma: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Myles Turner: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- Pelicans vs. BucksBucks won
- Pelicans vs. Bucks: 1H MoneylinePelicans won
- Pelicans vs. Bucks: 1H O/U 113.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. Bucks: O/U 221.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. Bucks: O/U 222.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. Bucks: O/U 223.5Over won
- Spread: Pelicans (-4.5)Bucks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.