NBA · resolved market
Pelicans vs. Bucks: O/U 223.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe6468ec7d4cca1519522514c89ea7464ba6c9d04adbd2bd1a7a62ad0291df797
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,186
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,186
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,186 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 13 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Under | 50c | 8,000$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 310 | 44.8%139 W · 171 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Over | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,960 | 245 | 49%120 W · 125 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 50c | 3,627$1,814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,813.63 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 50c | 696.78$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.39 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 50c | 286.97$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.63 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Under | 49c | 240$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.6 | 451 | 46.1%208 W · 243 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Over | 50c | 196.08$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.04 | 950 | 47.2%448 W · 502 L | -28.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…3c89backed Under | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 656 | 49.2%323 W · 333 L | +9.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 49c | 149$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.38 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Over | 50c | 141$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.8 | 1,029 | 47.7%491 W · 538 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ed…de73backed Over | 52c | 49.48$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.75 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +3.0wins | +0.17per pick | 36cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x859d…3cecbacked Over | 49c | 29.21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.9 | 508 | 41.7%212 W · 296 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pelicans vs. Bucks: O/U 223.5this page
- 1H Spread: Pelicans (-2.5)Pelicans won
- Bobby Portis: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Bobby Portis: Points O/U 18.5No won
- Bobby Portis: Rebounds O/U 9.5No won
- Kyle Kuzma: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Kyle Kuzma: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Kyle Kuzma: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Kyle Kuzma: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Myles Turner: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- Pelicans vs. BucksBucks won
- Pelicans vs. Bucks: 1H MoneylinePelicans won
- Pelicans vs. Bucks: 1H O/U 113.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. Bucks: O/U 221.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. Bucks: O/U 222.5Over won
- Spread: Pelicans (-4.5)Bucks won
- Spread: Pelicans (-5.5)Bucks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.