TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Pistons vs. Bulls

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Pistonsof Pistons, Bulls
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$760,803
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$828,992

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $760,803 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 321 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8e43…a3cdbacked Bulls18c77,932$14,028 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,027.7143542.8%186 W · 249 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Bulls17c42,281$7,188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,187.781,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe258…2330backed Bulls17c25,000$4,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,249.9723245.3%105 W · 127 L+0.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid+4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Bulls17c24,372$4,143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,143.3272450.7%367 W · 357 L+13.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a25…0f91backed Bulls0c16,325$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.5410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked Bulls20c15,149$2,998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,998.3648352%251 W · 232 L+10.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8716…bd57backed Bulls18c14,900$2,727 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,727.2241832.8%137 W · 281 L-10.5wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-18.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b9a…5f69backed Bulls0c12,353$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.125213.8%20 W · 501 L+0.6wins0.00per pick4cpaid-36.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x62fb…4d60backed Bulls18c12,053$2,217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,21735547.3%168 W · 187 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b4d…e246backed Bulls18c11,831$2,130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,129.6129650.3%149 W · 147 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Pistons80c11,233$8,985 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,248.3562652.2%327 W · 299 L-6.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa051…54ebbacked Bulls18c11,111$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00015435.7%55 W · 99 L+0.1wins0.00per pick36cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14c3…0262backed Bulls0c10,125$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309430.9%29 W · 65 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9438…ad81backed Bulls1c9,304$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.093179.5%30 W · 287 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-59.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Bulls0c8,600$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.258820%0 W · 882 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03ac…4f55backed Bulls17c7,808$1,334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,334.536741.4%152 W · 215 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Bulls3c7,565$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.491,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f05…8937backed Bulls17c7,500$1,275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,274.9747028.1%132 W · 338 L+27.2wins+0.06per pick22cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Bulls18c6,050$1,089 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0891,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Bulls17c5,610$970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9701,19032%381 W · 809 L-58.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-34.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe429…841abacked Bulls18c5,600$1,008 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,007.991250%6 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Bulls21c5,331$1,113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,112.722,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb93f…d166backed Pistons80c5,015$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,014.55666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick64cpaid-6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Bulls17c4,838$839 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$839.468,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Bulls7c4,596$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325.81,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe6e…ddf7backed Bulls18c4,500$810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$809.993129%9 W · 22 L-4.2wins-0.14per pick43cpaid-47.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Bulls20c4,412$882 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$882.4948845.3%221 W · 267 L+18.9wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Bulls17c4,323$735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$734.884,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d21…abc5backed Bulls15c3,953$593 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5937133.8%24 W · 47 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4935…fc12backed Bulls17c3,500$595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$594.996333.3%21 W · 42 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-18.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf5e…4e1abacked Bulls18c3,433$618 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$617.9115147%71 W · 80 L+0.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Bulls14c3,317$477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$477.253,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8de5…2b04backed Pistons76c3,149$2,409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$740.834367.4%29 W · 14 L+6.3wins+0.15per pick53cpaid+25.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xdfa8…627bbacked Pistons75c3,000$2,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7507651.3%39 W · 37 L-0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa392…1415backed Pistons77c3,000$2,310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69014245.1%64 W · 78 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-14.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5993…33a2backed Bulls23c2,873$658 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65838046.6%177 W · 203 L-1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Bulls13c2,862$373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3731,09640.9%448 W · 648 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf4a4…3117backed Bulls2c2,644$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5528616.4%47 W · 239 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick16cpaid-24.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ae0…d395backed Bulls24c2,500$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6003339.4%13 W · 20 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6859…387dbacked Bulls18c2,400$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$432333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-53.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x09f5…1eb3backed Bulls18c2,300$414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$413.997349.3%36 W · 37 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+10.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a72…f81dbacked Bulls6c1,689$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.8433428.1%94 W · 240 L-20.3wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-44.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xcf0b…44fdbacked Bulls4c1,669$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$606435.9%23 W · 41 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick32cpaid-8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Bulls18c1,667$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30040041.5%166 W · 234 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Pistons76c1,634$1,242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392.0862144%273 W · 348 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Bulls25c1,571$394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$394.4336718.5%68 W · 299 L-36.8wins-0.10per pick29cpaid-38%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Bulls16c1,554$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.8738540.3%155 W · 230 L-10.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x159f…4043backed Bulls2c1,540$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309226.1%24 W · 68 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa1a9…e22ebacked Bulls21c1,535$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322.3516440.9%67 W · 97 L+9.5wins+0.06per pick35cpaid+12.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x22e6…409fbacked Bulls17c1,500$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.9919441.2%80 W · 114 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf988…d63bbacked Bulls25c1,426$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356.628554%154 W · 131 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Bulls14c1,424$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.593,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f4f…069ebacked Bulls18c1,418$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.241546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked Bulls19c1,405$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.0726839.2%105 W · 163 L-0.7wins0.00per pick39cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked Bulls22c1,378$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.948956.4%276 W · 213 L+31.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+5.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf3d1…1e5abacked Bulls19c1,337$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2542572%18 W · 7 L+4.8wins+0.19per pick53cpaid+34.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Bulls17c1,333$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.614,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77d3…f4d6backed Pistons78c1,317$1,032 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.1429250%146 W · 146 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Bulls20c1,306$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.1641038%156 W · 254 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-20.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaf49…e7f4backed Bulls23c1,304$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3004168.3%28 W · 13 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick63cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5638…0f02backed Bulls18c1,200$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba14…b792backed Bulls18c1,175$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.569929.8%208 W · 491 L0.0wins0.00per pick30cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfdea…6951backed Bulls23c1,150$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26020434.8%71 W · 133 L+0.9wins0.00per pick34cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1acc…8fe0backed Bulls23c1,119$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.2618043.9%79 W · 101 L-9.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-19.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xace9…f74abacked Bulls18c1,111$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.535653.6%30 W · 26 L-5.3wins-0.09per pick63cpaid-25%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x0e87…2171backed Bulls19c1,001$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.9735659.6%212 W · 144 L+15.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+1.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x17e5…f205backed Bulls1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104200.7%3 W · 417 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick2cpaid-52%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x31fa…20c5backed Bulls3c1,000$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.520%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Bulls17c1,000$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17052240%209 W · 313 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf5d4…a077backed Bulls18c999.98$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18052432.6%171 W · 353 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2790…2233backed Bulls17c999.98$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17019735%69 W · 128 L-10.2wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-24.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x05e1…85a2backed Bulls19c963.16$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18332347.1%152 W · 171 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x725f…06c2backed Bulls21c959.6$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001,88837.3%704 W · 1,184 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb821…dd38backed Bulls19c944.45$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.32433.3%8 W · 16 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-20.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3735…3d9dbacked Bulls26c903.12$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.5110737.4%40 W · 67 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-14.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa52e…453fbacked Bulls23c895$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.8516251.2%83 W · 79 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-8.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0914…2bd4backed Bulls18c880$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.4250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+25%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8868…ec09backed Bulls23c868$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.6411852.5%62 W · 56 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf4fd…07cabacked Bulls18c800$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+25%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed Bulls13c797$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.3744821.4%96 W · 352 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-17.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x69c2…40cfbacked Bulls19c789.47$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15048132.6%157 W · 324 L-2.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x70f5…9be7backed Bulls23c782.74$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.0330%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x927a…f706backed Bulls13c740.96$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9324139%94 W · 147 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9def…48bcbacked Bulls18c706.94$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.253748.6%18 W · 19 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf44…0bbdbacked Pistons78c688.92$538 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.866841.2%28 W · 40 L-4.8wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-26.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1e94…ce75backed Bulls18c686.44$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.563455.9%19 W · 15 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+6.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd8a4…75c1backed Pistons78c669.72$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.7212858.6%75 W · 53 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+5.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x37de…f512backed Bulls20c633.71$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.741,39026%361 W · 1,029 L-5.6wins0.00per pick26cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f26…c83bbacked Bulls19c620.53$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.910226.5%27 W · 75 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Bulls18c620.4$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.573,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x20b2…f114backed Bulls10c600$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5926729.2%78 W · 189 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick28cpaid+13.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe756…e006backed Bulls21c595.24$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12532827.4%90 W · 238 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Bulls17c594.12$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10155846.8%261 W · 297 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Bulls22c584.7$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.73,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x033e…1bb9backed Bulls20c572$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.425146.2%116 W · 135 L+9.9wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x61f6…7b83backed Bulls11c559.99$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.411420.2%23 W · 91 L-6.8wins-0.06per pick26cpaid-43.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x709d…2efbbacked Bulls18c559.99$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.82744.4%12 W · 15 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0176…910ebacked Bulls18c555.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10060444.2%267 W · 337 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Bulls18c555.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10080737.7%304 W · 503 L-33.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x64a8…7bc3backed Bulls18c555.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10027950.5%141 W · 138 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.