NBA · resolved market
Pistons vs. Bulls: O/U 229.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x874d81c36d0f10d955d2cb7fee341dfb94922440b70e0d74d89e33e59e56ef6c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $54,480
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $55,049
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,480 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8375…ba1dbacked Over | 48c | 13,488$6,474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,014.02 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Under | 52c | 13,077$6,865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,865 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7669…f58cbacked Over | 25c | 8,122$2,031 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,091.55 | 520 | 52.3%272 W · 248 L | +31.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +19%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 48c | 8,027$3,864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,163.89 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Under | 52c | 6,576$3,424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,424.35 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 47c | 2,112$988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$987.94 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 53c | 2,032$1,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$950.3 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 43c | 1,104$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.14 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f37…281bbacked Under | 54c | 741.59$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 73 | 34.2%25 W · 48 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Under | 44c | 623.39$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.02 | 268 | 39.2%105 W · 163 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 59c | 611.5$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.3 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 54c | 555.52$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.98 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa81…44a9backed Over | 64c | 528.49$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.49 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8de5…2b04backed Over | 38c | 500$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311 | 43 | 67.4%29 W · 14 L | +6.3wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xeb3f…e8a6backed Over | 66c | 496.03$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.82 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 69cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2de8…1121backed Over | 63c | 455$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.76 | 909 | 57.6%524 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0307…7ab8backed Over | 47c | 428.61$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.64 | 454 | 52%236 W · 218 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 58c | 345$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.9 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6eb…bc82backed Under | 8c | 300$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | +4.4wins | +0.17per pick | 6cpaid | +428%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Under | 66c | 273.07$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.67 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce39…04d6backed Under | 44c | 228.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.39 | 378 | 42.9%162 W · 216 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed Over | 45c | 193.99$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.82 | 502 | 41.2%207 W · 295 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe88b…fa5abacked Under | 47c | 189.94$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.07 | 432 | 46.1%199 W · 233 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c39…20eebacked Under | 42c | 170.65$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.55 | 358 | 43.6%156 W · 202 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 54c | 160.09$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.65 | 1,200 | 51.6%619 W · 581 L | +66.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Under | 48c | 146.44$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.57 | 880 | 57.5%506 W · 374 L | +34.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x307d…9163backed Under | 65c | 143$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.95 | 273 | 57.1%156 W · 117 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Under | 44c | 136.09$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.59 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 50c | 133$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.02 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43e0…132abacked Under | 52c | 130.8$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.77 | 136 | 39.7%54 W · 82 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 35c | 115.79$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.83 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 46c | 103.17$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.25 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82d0…60a1backed Under | 52c | 96.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.02 | 146 | 43.8%64 W · 82 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 68c | 96.02$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.44 | 1,170 | 50.3%588 W · 582 L | +46.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c10…8977backed Over | 50c | 93.57$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.32 | 623 | 47.7%297 W · 326 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 54c | 79.2$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.61 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Under | 39c | 77.78$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.33 | 1,198 | 38.8%465 W · 733 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95f2…3de3backed Under | 39c | 72.71$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.08 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b2c…5e10backed Over | 62c | 72.58$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.58 | 257 | 52.5%135 W · 122 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a45…f628backed Over | 56c | 71.59$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 348 | 55.2%192 W · 156 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95be…9968backed Under | 44c | 68.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 335 | 52.8%177 W · 158 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Over | 51c | 68$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.1 | 1,055 | 49.9%526 W · 529 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…907ebacked Over | 39c | 65.83$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.99 | 106 | 23.6%25 W · 81 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd645…a7a3backed Under | 54c | 64$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.56 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a52…06cbbacked Over | 54c | 63.76$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.33 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef59…60d7backed Over | 66c | 60.79$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72b5…8b54backed Under | 53c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.86 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1877…78d7backed Under | 59c | 57.63$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x350e…7528backed Under | 55c | 54.13$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 86 | 36%31 W · 55 L | -11.0wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Over | 44c | 52.2$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.23 | 1,425 | 47.7%680 W · 745 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x983a…ac6bbacked Under | 43c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f91…b1ffbacked Over | 39c | 48.12$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +158.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 44c | 46.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.18 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked Under | 52c | 44.91$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.24 | 168 | 67.3%113 W · 55 L | +13.8wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda1d…6192backed Over | 58c | 43.24$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.24 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Under | 56c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabbf…0758backed Under | 45c | 37.54$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.04 | 390 | 47.7%186 W · 204 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 36c | 37.43$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.64 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 52c | 37.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.51 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Under | 49c | 35.59$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.34 | 1,197 | 48.9%585 W · 612 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7509…d031backed Under | 39c | 32.45$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.66 | 208 | 47.1%98 W · 110 L | -9.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2254…e6e5backed Under | 63c | 31.87$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | -6.5wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Under | 46c | 31.4$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.44 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a5e…d8f4backed Under | 70c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -4.0wins | -0.13per pick | 64cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Under | 45c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.43 | 666 | 46.8%312 W · 354 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed8…0e99backed Under | 65c | 27.62$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.91 | 456 | 53.5%244 W · 212 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Over | 62c | 27$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.39 | 513 | 54.2%278 W · 235 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 60c | 26$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x389d…04bbbacked Under | 51c | 25.49$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 41 | 68.3%28 W · 13 L | +4.4wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe315…3911backed Over | 62c | 25.31$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.71 | 576 | 57.8%333 W · 243 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 47c | 24.69$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.19 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49cb…dd4dbacked Over | 63c | 18.91$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.91 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 62c | 16.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.46 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pistons vs. Bulls: O/U 229.5this page
- Cade Cunningham: Assists O/U 9.5Yes won
- Duncan Robinson: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
- Pistons vs. BullsPistons won
- Pistons vs. Bulls: 1H MoneylinePistons won
- Pistons vs. Bulls: O/U 230.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Bulls: O/U 231.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Bulls: O/U 232.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Bulls: O/U 233.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Bulls: O/U 234.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Bulls: O/U 235.5Over won
- Spread: Pistons (-10.5)Pistons won
- Tre Jones: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.