NBA · resolved market
Pistons vs. Bulls: O/U 231.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc714cf04c6cb242ee4e678e4253f95cbd9bfbf5608288b5bb1d19607002d3a71
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $80,269
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $81,405
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $80,269 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Over | 53c | 59,743$31,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,142.73 | 326 | 53.1%173 W · 153 L | +19.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Under | 47c | 17,766$8,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,350 | 492 | 46.3%228 W · 264 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Under | 47c | 7,957$3,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,740 | 348 | 54%188 W · 160 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 47c | 6,005$2,804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,803.56 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x253d…aa62backed Under | 47c | 4,380$2,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,058.51 | 583 | 47%274 W · 309 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 47c | 4,201$1,965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,965.32 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 46c | 3,865$1,776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,089.21 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x605d…cec3backed Over | 49c | 2,900$1,421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,478.83 | 154 | 50.6%78 W · 76 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aba…4961backed Under | 51c | 2,669$1,361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,361.19 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 43c | 2,056$885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$885.29 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Under | 55c | 1,999$1,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,099.34 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 46c | 1,841$847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$846.82 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 48c | 1,838$883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$882.81 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 61c | 1,560$957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$956.73 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 47c | 1,260$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592.2 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Under | 53c | 1,137$603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$602.57 | 566 | 46.5%263 W · 303 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 47c | 1,087$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.36 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01b4…372ebacked Under | 6c | 1,018$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.09 | 298 | 10.4%31 W · 267 L | +22.5wins | +0.08per pick | 3cpaid | +230.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Under | 50c | 900$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 617 | 40.7%251 W · 366 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Over | 37c | 870.53$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548.22 | 268 | 39.2%105 W · 163 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe403…3d50backed Under | 47c | 735$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.45 | 547 | 47.5%260 W · 287 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 47c | 468.75$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.31 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Under | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a97…c1f9backed Under | 47c | 424.26$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.4 | 179 | 60.9%109 W · 70 L | +17.7wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 55c | 374$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.3 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Under | 47c | 339.52$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.57 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Under | 50c | 305.74$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.87 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Under | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 521 | 46.6%243 W · 278 L | -14.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Over | 12c | 200$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176 | 1,390 | 26%361 W · 1,029 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 46c | 172.89$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.86 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0307…7ab8backed Under | 59c | 156.69$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.09 | 454 | 52%236 W · 218 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over | 55c | 145.45$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.45 | 395 | 52.2%206 W · 189 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Under | 45c | 140.74$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.74 | 911 | 48.1%438 W · 473 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x622b…5a4abacked Under | 47c | 120$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.9 | 109 | 40.4%44 W · 65 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda21…8646backed Under | 47c | 114.6$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.86 | 625 | 41.9%262 W · 363 L | -32.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c39…20eebacked Under | 44c | 108.38$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.77 | 358 | 43.6%156 W · 202 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Under | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 434 | 47.5%206 W · 228 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a50…ea80backed Under | 43c | 101.58$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.68 | 145 | 33.1%48 W · 97 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 48c | 101$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.5 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Under | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.5 | 786 | 48.7%383 W · 403 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4935…fc12backed Under | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 63 | 33.3%21 W · 42 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82d0…60a1backed Under | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 146 | 43.8%64 W · 82 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7509…d031backed Under | 42c | 90.03$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.81 | 208 | 47.1%98 W · 110 L | -9.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Over | 45c | 84.53$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.32 | 1,425 | 47.7%680 W · 745 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75fd…9a86backed Under | 47c | 78$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.66 | 160 | 36.3%58 W · 102 L | -15.0wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Under | 47c | 77.31$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.48 | 1,197 | 48.9%585 W · 612 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4a3…bce8backed Under | 47c | 64$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.08 | 125 | 38.4%48 W · 77 L | -9.6wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc208…e74fbacked Over | 55c | 58.59$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.37 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3eb…d78bbacked Under | 47c | 54.91$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.81 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Under | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 955 | 48.5%463 W · 492 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Under | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 686 | 45.5%312 W · 374 L | -22.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Under | 47c | 44.83$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.08 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b41…01c7backed Under | 49c | 40.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 538 | 39.4%212 W · 326 L | -26.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8614…ffc6backed Under | 47c | 38.17$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.94 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36b7…5324backed Under | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05c9…1ebbbacked Over | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc0…3acebacked Over | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 198 | 48.5%96 W · 102 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd645…a7a3backed Under | 45c | 34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 58c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71b6…4e91backed Under | 50c | 25.2$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 363 | 50.1%182 W · 181 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf804…8758backed Under | 47c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed Under | 59c | 23.69$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 143 | 59.4%85 W · 58 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 50c | 23.19$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43e0…132abacked Under | 55c | 19.35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 136 | 39.7%54 W · 82 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x350e…7528backed Under | 61c | 19.31$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.78 | 86 | 36%31 W · 55 L | -11.0wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf788…5ebbbacked Over | 58c | 18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.56 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pistons vs. Bulls: O/U 231.5this page
- Cade Cunningham: Assists O/U 9.5Yes won
- Duncan Robinson: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
- Pistons vs. BullsPistons won
- Pistons vs. Bulls: 1H MoneylinePistons won
- Pistons vs. Bulls: O/U 229.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Bulls: O/U 230.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Bulls: O/U 232.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Bulls: O/U 233.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Bulls: O/U 234.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Bulls: O/U 235.5Over won
- Spread: Pistons (-10.5)Pistons won
- Tre Jones: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.