NBA · resolved market
Spread: Pistons (-10.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x94090bc50d4eb459362a451ba1351b5d5cd8ba65b2886f3b41edcb281747d7b1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pistonsof Pistons, Bulls
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $94,103
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $96,313
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $94,103 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 160 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf438…9559backed Pistons | 52c | 13,451$6,995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,456.57 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Pistons | 49c | 8,770$4,329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,440.16 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Bulls | 49c | 6,703$3,285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,284.56 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Bulls | 48c | 5,788$2,778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,777.79 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Pistons | 51c | 5,217$2,679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,538.34 | 513 | 54.2%278 W · 235 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Bulls | 52c | 4,810$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Pistons | 48c | 4,767$2,281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,485.61 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Bulls | 50c | 4,107$2,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,053.72 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Bulls | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Bulls | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,439.96 | 691 | 49.1%339 W · 352 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Bulls | 48c | 2,799$1,344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,343.57 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Pistons | 52c | 2,467$1,282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,184.73 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Bulls | 58c | 2,000$1,165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,164.91 | 483 | 52%251 W · 232 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e12…20e9backed Pistons | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 293 | 47.4%139 W · 154 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3a…eb9abacked Pistons | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.78 | 114 | 57.9%66 W · 48 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Pistons | 50c | 1,800$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Pistons | 52c | 1,712$891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820.44 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Pistons | 50c | 1,614$815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799.8 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Bulls | 50c | 1,600$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 400 | 41.5%166 W · 234 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…2d1abacked Pistons | 51c | 1,500$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735 | 489 | 57.5%281 W · 208 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Pistons | 48c | 1,167$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$606.84 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Bulls | 49c | 1,080$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.31 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c6f…014ebacked Bulls | 49c | 1,021$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.29 | 183 | 45.4%83 W · 100 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x899a…2a22backed Bulls | 49c | 1,019$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 172 | 41.9%72 W · 100 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Bulls | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 807 | 37.7%304 W · 503 L | -33.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79b0…ea3bbacked Pistons | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 151 | 54.3%82 W · 69 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8de5…2b04backed Bulls | 59c | 1,000$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587 | 43 | 67.4%29 W · 14 L | +6.3wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ae…f471backed Pistons | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.54 | 142 | 51.4%73 W · 69 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Bulls | 50c | 947.16$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.58 | 593 | 47%279 W · 314 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Bulls | 49c | 800$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392 | 165 | 50.9%84 W · 81 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf673…68ecbacked Bulls | 51c | 784.31$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Bulls | 8c | 742$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.36 | 1,200 | 51.6%619 W · 581 L | +66.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Bulls | 49c | 662.93$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.84 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…dbc6backed Bulls | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 476 | 51.7%246 W · 230 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Pistons | 49c | 556$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.59 | 666 | 46.8%312 W · 354 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed Pistons | 51c | 490.2$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.2 | 529 | 51.2%271 W · 258 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Pistons | 51c | 443.78$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.45 | 765 | 52.9%405 W · 360 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4278…0e92backed Bulls | 49c | 438.38$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.81 | 416 | 52.2%217 W · 199 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3920…23e7backed Pistons | 50c | 420$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 304 | 52.6%160 W · 144 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Bulls | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 364 | 50.8%185 W · 179 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Bulls | 50c | 400$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.11 | 235 | 53.6%126 W · 109 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Bulls | 48c | 393.38$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.82 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Pistons | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf704…bed4backed Pistons | 48c | 386.31$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.88 | 169 | 43.8%74 W · 95 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Pistons | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 509 | 54.8%279 W · 230 L | +14.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa42a…d91fbacked Pistons | 52c | 380.77$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.77 | 623 | 47.5%296 W · 327 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9752…5b36backed Bulls | 51c | 363.25$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.52 | 78 | 53.8%42 W · 36 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Bulls | 51c | 343.43$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.15 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Pistons | 48c | 327.03$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.96 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…a569backed Bulls | 49c | 326.53$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 238 | 47.1%112 W · 126 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbb…acb2backed Bulls | 49c | 300$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.53 | 890 | 50.4%449 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf09f…8049backed Pistons | 52c | 300$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 666 | 45.9%306 W · 360 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Bulls | 48c | 299.99$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.36 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1015…c873backed Bulls | 50c | 275.4$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.7 | 627 | 44.5%279 W · 348 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Pistons | 51c | 250$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.5 | 824 | 40.4%333 W · 491 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed Pistons | 49c | 242.54$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.54 | 170 | 51.8%88 W · 82 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Bulls | 50c | 240$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb65c…dcdfbacked Bulls | 49c | 224.69$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.1 | 101 | 49.5%50 W · 51 L | -7.8wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Bulls | 48c | 211.38$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.46 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Bulls | 8c | 205.01$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 1,055 | 49.9%526 W · 529 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Bulls | 49c | 204.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.45 | 786 | 52.4%412 W · 374 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Bulls | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 818 | 45.7%374 W · 444 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Bulls | 10c | 204.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.08 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cb…85babacked Pistons | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 522 | 42.7%223 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0e…3197backed Bulls | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 619 | 57.5%356 W · 263 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48cf…c7dfbacked Pistons | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 364 | 53%193 W · 171 L | -17.0wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Pistons | 50c | 199$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.5 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9069…9c14backed Pistons | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 145 | 57.2%83 W · 62 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a33…7909backed Pistons | 53c | 190.92$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.73 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Bulls | 34c | 183.54$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.79 | 880 | 57.5%506 W · 374 L | +34.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0307…7ab8backed Bulls | 49c | 182.64$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.05 | 454 | 52%236 W · 218 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…e032backed Bulls | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 190 | 45.8%87 W · 103 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Pistons | 55c | 179.29$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.65 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Bulls | 48c | 166.67$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 874 | 53.3%466 W · 408 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x266b…205bbacked Bulls | 49c | 153.57$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.25 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Bulls | 51c | 150$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.5 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b2…6127backed Pistons | 50c | 150$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 126 | 39.7%50 W · 76 L | -8.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -19%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9184…6048backed Pistons | 52c | 140.96$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.29 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Pistons | 45c | 140.2$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.66 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea33…ae06backed Pistons | 50c | 140$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 117 | 59.8%70 W · 47 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x011b…fcc3backed Bulls | 50c | 140$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 217 | 43.8%95 W · 122 L | -9.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Bulls | 50c | 134.86$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.32 | 1,197 | 48.9%585 W · 612 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…8848backed Pistons | 52c | 134.62$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.62 | 722 | 50.6%365 W · 357 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Pistons | 42c | 124.53$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.23 | 1,425 | 47.7%680 W · 745 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae9a…7ceabacked Bulls | 49c | 123.49$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.54 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Pistons | 49c | 122.1$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.27 | 558 | 46.8%261 W · 297 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Bulls | 48c | 122.02$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.46 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Pistons | 42c | 120$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.6 | 619 | 39.6%245 W · 374 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5558…f9c4backed Pistons | 52c | 120$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.6 | 375 | 49.6%186 W · 189 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb87…4611backed Pistons | 47c | 107.19$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.19 | 121 | 51.2%62 W · 59 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Pistons | 61c | 106.04$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.48 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Bulls | 51c | 104$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.04 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62da…2fdabacked Pistons | 51c | 103.92$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.92 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf71…9f1cbacked Pistons | 52c | 100.65$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.65 | 110 | 51.8%57 W · 53 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd5…26ccbacked Bulls | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 516 | 51%263 W · 253 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb871…9f15backed Bulls | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 591 | 44.5%263 W · 328 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…bc4abacked Pistons | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 378 | 50.3%190 W · 188 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa61…7f3bbacked Pistons | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7635…63f6backed Bulls | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 214 | 40.7%87 W · 127 L | -16.2wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Bulls | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 339 | 49.9%169 W · 170 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Pistons (-10.5)this page
- Cade Cunningham: Assists O/U 9.5Yes won
- Duncan Robinson: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
- Pistons vs. BullsPistons won
- Pistons vs. Bulls: 1H MoneylinePistons won
- Pistons vs. Bulls: O/U 229.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Bulls: O/U 230.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Bulls: O/U 231.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Bulls: O/U 232.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Bulls: O/U 233.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Bulls: O/U 234.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Bulls: O/U 235.5Over won
- Tre Jones: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.