NBA · resolved market
Pistons vs. Bulls: O/U 235.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0defaeb6b2db2e695b258653376dd32adbd33e556721104a465d4aab5f361f60
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $107,393
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $114,544
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $107,393 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 50c | 52,221$26,221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,220.61 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1041…f452backed Over | 50c | 16,096$8,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,048 | 269 | 49.1%132 W · 137 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Over | 50c | 15,157$7,579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,578.5 | 483 | 52%251 W · 232 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75e1…3ff3backed Under | 55c | 10,296$5,663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,662.81 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…0840backed Over | 49c | 10,204$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,204.08 | 266 | 48.5%129 W · 137 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Under | 52c | 9,152$4,759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,759.22 | 545 | 39.6%216 W · 329 L | -28.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3a…3246backed Under | 75c | 8,930$6,697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,697.16 | 199 | 54.8%109 W · 90 L | +12.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac0a…f89ebacked Over | 45c | 8,287$3,729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,557.93 | 382 | 51%195 W · 187 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Over | 48c | 8,155$3,914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,240.6 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34cd…9675backed Over | 50c | 7,593$3,797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,796.5 | 226 | 48.2%109 W · 117 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01b4…372ebacked Under | 3c | 3,333$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 298 | 10.4%31 W · 267 L | +22.5wins | +0.08per pick | 3cpaid | +230.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Over | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef21…3dc9backed Over | 50c | 2,448$1,224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,224 | 151 | 41.1%62 W · 89 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 50c | 2,381$1,192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,192.13 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 50c | 2,290$1,156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,156.26 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Under | 50c | 2,113$1,057 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,056.57 | 584 | 49.7%290 W · 294 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x773c…cf18backed Over | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 184 | 48.9%90 W · 94 L | -13.3wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Over | 49c | 1,838$901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$937.38 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd60f…b6c4backed Over | 49c | 1,820$887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$932.7 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 51c | 1,647$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840.1 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 72c | 1,500$1,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,082.15 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fd…5a3fbacked Over | 48c | 1,200$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624 | 199 | 58.3%116 W · 83 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd942…f9d3backed Under | 41c | 978.69$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 211 | 42.7%90 W · 121 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Over | 49c | 969.8$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.85 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e12…20e9backed Over | 49c | 876$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.76 | 293 | 47.4%139 W · 154 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…c9fdbacked Over | 50c | 686$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343 | 182 | 41.2%75 W · 107 L | -17.6wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Under | 52c | 644$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.88 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 49c | 525.48$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.21 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Under | 50c | 299.99$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.07 | 911 | 48.1%438 W · 473 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked Over | 48c | 250$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 456 | 46.7%213 W · 243 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbec4…637fbacked Under | 51c | 236.83$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.6 | 531 | 49.3%262 W · 269 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 25c | 227$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.99 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 44c | 224.96$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.84 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f0…c9e4backed Over | 50c | 220$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 238 | 50.4%120 W · 118 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Under | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 539 | 51.6%278 W · 261 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3e…e4a3backed Under | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 410 | 52%213 W · 197 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x434e…a62ebacked Over | 51c | 196.47$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.47 | 217 | 48.4%105 W · 112 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…e032backed Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 190 | 45.8%87 W · 103 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 45c | 174.29$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.86 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Under | 52c | 151.07$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.74 | 1,197 | 48.9%585 W · 612 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Over | 48c | 125$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf0…b95dbacked Over | 50c | 118.82$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.82 | 109 | 55%60 W · 49 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47e5…9b73backed Under | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 425 | 51.3%218 W · 207 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf71…9f1cbacked Under | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 110 | 51.8%57 W · 53 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd44d…389dbacked Under | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 413 | 54%223 W · 190 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed Under | 52c | 92$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.84 | 239 | 46.4%111 W · 128 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x243c…9ae0backed Under | 54c | 89.81$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.64 | 383 | 47%180 W · 203 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 21c | 74.55$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.66 | 1,170 | 50.3%588 W · 582 L | +46.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3543…bf81backed Under | 75c | 74.39$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.63 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fa…222bbacked Under | 51c | 71.53$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.48 | 182 | 50%91 W · 91 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Over | 19c | 68.13$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.34 | 522 | 30.3%158 W · 364 L | +20.4wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd155…8250backed Under | 51c | 58.1$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.8 | 488 | 52%254 W · 234 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59d0…a871backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed Under | 51c | 49$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 1,018 | 51.6%525 W · 493 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd236…a65ebacked Over | 50c | 40.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.39 | 522 | 46.6%243 W · 279 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Over | 60c | 39.92$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.87 | 880 | 57.5%506 W · 374 L | +34.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0307…7ab8backed Over | 48c | 37.76$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.61 | 454 | 52%236 W · 218 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f0…7d99backed Over | 50c | 36.16$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.08 | 123 | 49.6%61 W · 62 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19ee…a073backed Over | 70c | 35.7$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.65 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ecd…1da3backed Under | 43c | 34.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed Over | 53c | 30.17$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.28 | 143 | 59.4%85 W · 58 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd6…16abbacked Under | 54c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 105 | 58.1%61 W · 44 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48df…e4c9backed Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 215 | 53.5%115 W · 100 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 45c | 29$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.92 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…907ebacked Under | 48c | 27.1$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.03 | 106 | 23.6%25 W · 81 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa33c…1b33backed Under | 51c | 26.83$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.68 | 628 | 44.9%282 W · 346 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d57…2b4ebacked Under | 51c | 26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 539 | 45.3%244 W · 295 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked Under | 60c | 24.4$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.63 | 156 | 62.8%98 W · 58 L | +10.4wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d9…0092backed Under | 51c | 20.2$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 762 | 50.4%384 W · 378 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b54…ea13backed Under | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 379 | 59.4%225 W · 154 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Under | 76c | 19.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.09 | 666 | 46.8%312 W · 354 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69b7…ae1dbacked Under | 80c | 19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pistons vs. Bulls: O/U 235.5this page
- Cade Cunningham: Assists O/U 9.5Yes won
- Duncan Robinson: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
- Pistons vs. BullsPistons won
- Pistons vs. Bulls: 1H MoneylinePistons won
- Pistons vs. Bulls: O/U 229.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Bulls: O/U 230.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Bulls: O/U 231.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Bulls: O/U 232.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Bulls: O/U 233.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Bulls: O/U 234.5Over won
- Spread: Pistons (-10.5)Pistons won
- Tre Jones: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.