TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x72b5…8b54

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
108
Categories scored
26
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: Middle East, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 55 out of 100; worst NBA at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT3040%12 W · 18 L-3.5wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-23%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$58
Bucks vs. Heat: O/U 231.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.37
Grizzlies vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+104.5%+$17.88
Knicks vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$15.18
Spread: Clippers (-9.5)backed Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+112.8%+$37.1
Pelicans vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+33.3%+$21.25
Spread: Thunder (-17.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$11.6
Spread: Pelicans (-6.5)backed Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$110
Pelicans vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$107.44
Spread: Hawks (-10.5)backed Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$26.33
Spread: Nuggets (-3.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$10.8
Al Horford: Rebounds O/U 6.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$25.85
Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)backed Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+85.2%+$9.2
Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)backed Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+57.7%+$7.09
Cavaliers vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+162.6%+$28.31
Jabari Smith Jr.: Points O/U 15.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$17.6
Spread: Pistons (-6.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$27.93
Spread: Warriors (-4.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+104.1%+$12.75
Bam Adebayo: Assists O/U 2.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+81.8%+$9
Magic vs. Lakers: O/U 226.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$10.4
Thunder vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$12.88
Kelly Oubre Jr.: Rebounds O/U 4.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+120.2%+$20.7
Spread: Heat (-5.5)backed Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+108.3%+$36.45
Warriors vs. Pelicansbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$322Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$321.63
Celtics vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$132.05
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT2360.9%14 W · 9 L+2.2wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+9.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Middle East — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+70.9%+$17.39
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$16.5
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+45.2%+$22.74
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+93.9%+$58.86
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.95
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+36.1%+$9.01
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.31
Will Iran strike Cyprus in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$19.6
U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$7.02
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$179Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+27.8%+$49.62
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.83
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.58
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$219Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+65.4%+$143.18
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+40.7%+$80.18
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+95.6%+$126.39
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,321Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+25.5%+$336.97
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$77.99
US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$58.34
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$163Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2024, EST-100%-$163
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$185Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 7, 2024, EDT+352.8%+$652.58
Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2024, EDT-100%-$27
Israel military response against Iran today?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 2, 2024, EDT+81.8%+$19.71
Iran strike on Israel before November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,258Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2024, EDT-100%-$1,258.16
All 23 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.21per pick58cpaid-45%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST580%4 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.23per pick57cpaid+21.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST580%4 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick70cpaid+17.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved Mar 2, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+122.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+32.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Wisconsin Badgers (-5.5)backed Oregon Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+93.8%+$12.08
Spread: Kansas Jayhawks (-8.5)backed Kansas Jayhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$13.08
Texas Southern Tigers vs. Alcorn State Bravesbacked Texas Southern Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+104.1%+$17.78
All 3 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick61cpaid-44.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Blue Jackets vs. Panthersbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.59
Blackhawks vs. Predatorsbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$15.3
Avalanche vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$44.48
All 3 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$21.09
Olympique de Marseille vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+92.3%+$24
All 2 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2026-03-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+47.1%+$24
Will NAC Breda win on 2026-02-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+56.3%+$21.6
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.19per pick31cpaid-12.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 5, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Colts vs. Texansbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+103.6%+$22.83
Super Bowl LIX Winnerbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$145.6
All 2 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Mar 5, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Opinion launch a token by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$10.09
Lighter Airdrop on December 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$45.97
All 2 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick77cpaid-37.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+98.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 7 to February 9, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$393Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+98.2%+$386.26
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Oregon vs. Texas Tech Red Raidersbacked Oregon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+85.2%+$36.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+60.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US government shutdown Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$281Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+60.4%+$169.45
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maduro out by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+53.8%+$39.3
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Abacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+51.4%+$11.7
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2024, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2024, EST+44.9%+$53.63
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SZA release a new song in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$79.07
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
U.S. anti-cartel strike/operation on foreign soil by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$37.98
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
CA Osasuna vs. Girona FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.62
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-02-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$52.21
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.