TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Olympique de Marseille vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$339,991
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$353,516

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $339,991 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 201 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x036c…178dbacked Over51c128,317$65,992 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62,325.21070%7 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.19per pick51cpaid+36.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x83d2…d196backed Under48c58,415$27,947 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,946.63557.1%20 W · 15 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+21%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x90a1…73d6backed Over54c50,000$27,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,999.99728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.19per pick48cpaid-27.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked Under48c30,000$14,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,4003256.3%18 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed Under48c30,000$14,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,399.993756.8%21 W · 16 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+24.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe0a2…40d5backed Under49c22,251$10,903 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,9031952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed Under49c19,388$9,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,5002544%11 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over52c18,773$9,840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,933.071,41540.8%577 W · 838 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Under46c14,882$6,846 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,845.7215455.2%85 W · 69 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked Under49c11,020$5,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,4002661.5%16 W · 10 L+3.1wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+22.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over52c10,011$5,235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,775.7187344.3%387 W · 486 L+1.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under43c9,445$4,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,100.411,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Under49c8,163$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,0003231.3%10 W · 22 L-5.6wins-0.17per pick49cpaid-34.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Under46c8,000$3,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,6805354.7%29 W · 24 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+14.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Under46c7,233$3,327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,326.971338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-24.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf617…80c9backed Under49c7,100$3,479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,479475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+28.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa800…bd7abacked Over55c5,455$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,454.551100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb517…434bbacked Under42c5,197$2,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,20020%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Over52c5,013$2,607 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,406.373964.1%25 W · 14 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick63cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea00…c1f1backed Under46c5,000$2,275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,2752751.9%14 W · 13 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+16.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc2fb…b9f0backed Over76c4,110$3,115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$994.54450%2 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick75cpaid-30%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb3d0…d2f0backed Under49c3,712$1,819 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,819742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c75…b299backed Under48c3,704$1,778 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,778944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b21…41fabacked Over52c3,696$1,913 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,782.927529.3%22 W · 53 L-14.8wins-0.20per pick49cpaid-48.2%equal weight34-0.15 edge/pick
0xad5c…664abacked Over53c3,387$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,587.231100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2bdf…56f5backed Under51c3,223$1,655 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,655944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba6f…fd5bbacked Over52c3,000$1,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4402653.8%14 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Over53c2,881$1,525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,356.315048.7%73 W · 77 L+7.0wins+0.05per pick44cpaid-7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0100…f6dcbacked Under49c2,245$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,100250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over52c2,109$1,097 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,012.0921144.5%94 W · 117 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Under46c2,000$920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9207549.3%37 W · 38 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Under48c2,000$950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$949.984751.1%24 W · 23 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over52c2,000$1,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$959.9112839.8%51 W · 77 L-9.8wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-18.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over52c1,923$995 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$927.7229949.8%149 W · 150 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Under43c1,850$795 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$795.58444%37 W · 47 L-5.6wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-17.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xec45…6ba6backed Over59c1,695$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$694.922100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+86.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x56ff…81a0backed Over66c1,506$994 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$512.72356.5%13 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xede1…54cbbacked Over68c1,462$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$462.464100%4 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+38.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x011c…31dfbacked Under48c1,402$673 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$672.981266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.0wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+31.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc1fa…8c66backed Under49c1,367$670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$670250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce90…d285backed Over76c1,320$1,003 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.84266.7%28 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ad…6ed7backed Over49c1,230$606 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$623.571457.1%8 W · 6 L+2.3wins+0.16per pick41cpaid+68.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under35c1,129$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$398.6724052.9%127 W · 113 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under45c1,111$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.9321143.1%91 W · 120 L-7.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf19d…276fbacked Under48c1,098$527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5271163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+30.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xebba…383cbacked Under46c1,087$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+26.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over57c981.9$556 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426.0648649%238 W · 248 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0141…c2dabacked Over53c754.72$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.721070%7 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick57cpaid+35.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over61c672.93$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.3159348.4%287 W · 306 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd35…17debacked Over73c644.08$472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.72875%6 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+22.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x79dc…ca77backed Over52c555.65$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.162934.5%10 W · 19 L+2.5wins+0.08per pick26cpaid-6.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xab90…5793backed Over75c550$413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.51668.8%11 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick73cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Over53c513.13$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.1731049.4%153 W · 157 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc647…2f03backed Over54c504.19$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.191353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb31…3bf2backed Over66c500$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1701560%9 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick51cpaid-6.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7efb…add5backed Over53c471.7$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.71100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over74c405.41$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.418654.7%47 W · 39 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1703…1ab4backed Over55c392.73$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.73560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+8.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4306…618abacked Over55c365.63$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.631573.3%11 W · 4 L+3.0wins+0.20per pick53cpaid+28.3%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Over78c320.51$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.518254.9%45 W · 37 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Under42c313.59$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.5117251.2%88 W · 84 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Over65c307.69$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.697648.7%37 W · 39 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under45c300$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13523260.8%141 W · 91 L+15.1wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+13.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9db0…0f6abacked Over49c299.99$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1535747.4%27 W · 30 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+9.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32f2…7830backed Over66c299.98$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.993759.5%22 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Over55c297.41$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.838046.3%37 W · 43 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2961…cfcfbacked Over57c287.72$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.729846.9%46 W · 52 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Under45c270$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.517756.5%100 W · 77 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+14.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x31d5…157dbacked Under49c269.39$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Over52c266.75$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.49256.5%52 W · 40 L+5.5wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+14.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7693…ba75backed Over52c265$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.2425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-51.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf343…fba6backed Over53c248.98$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.021050%5 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-0.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over53c240.48$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.0320150.2%101 W · 100 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8090…42c1backed Over52c240.38$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.382470.8%17 W · 7 L+2.9wins+0.12per pick59cpaid+26.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x172f…62b3backed Under46c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3dde…2c06backed Over54c212.96$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.962343.5%10 W · 13 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-11.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1184…8175backed Under47c212.76$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6516…dfdabacked Over52c201.92$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.922236.4%8 W · 14 L-3.3wins-0.15per pick52cpaid-30.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x86f8…1655backed Over55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.20per pick57cpaid+43.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over52c200$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.424051.7%124 W · 116 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x373b…1107backed Over54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$921861.1%11 W · 7 L+2.2wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+19.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8c30…0ac6backed Over73c199.99$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$542650%13 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-14.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc317…4f97backed Over53c190.17$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.38450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-17.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e41…36f2backed Over53c188.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.689355.9%52 W · 41 L0.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x418b…a741backed Over53c188.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.689262%57 W · 35 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe704…7558backed Over54c183.87$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.874052.5%21 W · 19 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x91d9…5d05backed Under48c183.54$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.1250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf800…bdbabacked Under47c180$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.65236.5%19 W · 33 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick40cpaid+2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca39…4ed7backed Over55c176.8$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.561163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+6.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe48c…163abacked Over54c174.07$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.072536%9 W · 16 L-2.8wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-10.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7e1a…d5a3backed Under34c161.85$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.372128.6%6 W · 15 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under47c157.33$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.9427049.6%134 W · 136 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Under37c157$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.746755.2%37 W · 30 L+4.5wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+24.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Under46c155.56$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.564151.2%21 W · 20 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc42…b12cbacked Over52c151.07$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.51333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-35.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd454…b47fbacked Under49c146.59$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.831163.6%7 W · 4 L+2.2wins+0.20per pick44cpaid+73.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb1ef…9fadbacked Over54c142.83$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.72853.6%15 W · 13 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick60cpaid+8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1aac…4e55backed Over76c133.78$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.11771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick68cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2246…e958backed Over55c127.27$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.27650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+29.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda1d…6192backed Over54c122.22$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.223100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+77.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.