Ligue 1 · resolved market
Olympique de Marseille vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfa552fcf2f0c908f055feb1c94cefcf32c729407b4f6180ae7a3862d9062153b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $56,608
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $69,305
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,608 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 20c | 14,372$2,869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,868.56 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Under | 1c | 6,939$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.39 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd543…c181backed Over | 78c | 3,866$3,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$850.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1414…ae7bbacked Over | 79c | 3,798$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$797.58 | 26 | 76.9%20 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 71cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec59…bb35backed Over | 76c | 3,503$2,663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840.71 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 16c | 2,562$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.62 | 593 | 48.4%287 W · 306 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 17c | 1,866$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.8 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 23c | 1,844$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.54 | 310 | 49.4%153 W · 157 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 23c | 1,812$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.76 | 873 | 44.3%387 W · 486 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 76c | 1,743$1,326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.63 | 211 | 44.5%94 W · 117 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Under | 16c | 1,641$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.52 | 150 | 48.7%73 W · 77 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Under | 21c | 1,249$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.42 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 22c | 1,122$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.94 | 211 | 43.1%91 W · 120 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Under | 22c | 999.98$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 173 | 29.5%51 W · 122 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd35…17debacked Over | 78c | 982.18$766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.08 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x422d…98b7backed Under | 17c | 600$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +176.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 24c | 462.63$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.9 | 331 | 48.6%161 W · 170 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf035…d35fbacked Over | 79c | 443.04$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.04 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dad…a040backed Over | 78c | 350$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 70cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…1c79backed Over | 78c | 306.27$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.38 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Under | 4c | 300$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 380 | 56.6%215 W · 165 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Over | 76c | 280.61$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.35 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 22c | 251.99$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.44 | 170 | 43.5%74 W · 96 L | -8.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed Under | 6c | 250$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 10cpaid | +75.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 23c | 244.53$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.24 | 277 | 48.7%135 W · 142 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa4…ea76backed Over | 77c | 215$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.45 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 23c | 210.52$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.45 | 270 | 49.6%134 W · 136 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x116b…efbcbacked Under | 10c | 209.2$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.92 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a50…ea80backed Under | 23c | 182.3$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.93 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce90…d285backed Over | 77c | 179.34$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.25 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fcd…42f2backed Over | 76c | 140$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.30per pick | 58cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8b47…3f2ebacked Over | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.28per pick | 59cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 20c | 99.59$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.48 | 172 | 51.2%88 W · 84 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4359…1260backed Over | 78c | 93.59$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.59 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…b894backed Over | 78c | 77.24$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.99 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c93…0fb8backed Under | 20c | 66.28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 49 | 65.3%32 W · 17 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa295…98bcbacked Over | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c6d…e91cbacked Over | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 21c | 64$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 350 | 37.7%132 W · 218 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Over | 79c | 64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.76 | 67 | 62.7%42 W · 25 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf158…aa4bbacked Under | 19c | 58.63$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.14 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d4…3691backed Over | 77c | 51.95$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.95 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -3.7wins | -0.13per pick | 64cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc770…8dbbbacked Over | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56ff…81a0backed Over | 80c | 47.4$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.48 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x649a…02afbacked Over | 78c | 35$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.7 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -3.5wins | -0.39per pick | 73cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf9…1646backed Over | 78c | 28.19$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d1…5557backed Over | 76c | 26.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.17 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -3.8wins | -0.20per pick | 67cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x542c…bdffbacked Over | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 73cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0568…d5a7backed Over | 79c | 22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0947…f948backed Over | 76c | 19.98$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5414…30d0backed Over | 80c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ccf…07b0backed Over | 78c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9856…7014backed Over | 78c | 14.3$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.15 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Olympique de Marseille vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 1.5this page
- Olympique de Marseille vs. Olympique Lyonnais: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Olympique de Marseille vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 2.5Over won
- Olympique de Marseille vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 3.5Over won
- Olympique de Marseille vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Olympique Lyonnais (-1.5)Olympique de Marseille won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.