TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Mexican Open: Patrick Kypson vs Alex de Minaur

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Kypsonof Kypson, Minaur
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$426,666
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$456,596

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $426,666 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 209 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd6a3…9489backed Kypson21c50,462$10,770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39,692.412,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Minaur69c46,097$31,863 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31,862.6311242.9%48 W · 64 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-22.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Kypson6c27,243$1,635 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,608.071,65849.9%828 W · 830 L+7.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Minaur64c25,591$16,480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,479.611,41038.4%542 W · 868 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-25%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd568…a35abacked Kypson32c13,331$4,258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,073.024560%27 W · 18 L+4.1wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+21.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Kypson39c12,608$4,871 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,737.587,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x88d1…18dabacked Kypson41c12,176$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,176.4427460.2%165 W · 109 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Kypson29c9,426$2,747 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,678.762,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3905…82fcbacked Minaur73c9,049$6,635 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,634.795563.6%35 W · 20 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f3e…bcf8backed Kypson16c8,293$1,352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,941.4676146.6%355 W · 406 L-1.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2727…eef4backed Kypson10c5,427$566 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,861.0719134%65 W · 126 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb82d…c40dbacked Minaur62c4,891$3,052 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,052.322152.4%11 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33c9…6f9abacked Minaur67c4,498$3,026 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,026.2593055.8%519 W · 411 L+23.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Kypson7c4,232$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,935.6720542.4%87 W · 118 L-12.2wins-0.06per pick48cpaid+0.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Kypson24c4,020$946 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,073.532,48945.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L-27.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3257…2f3bbacked Minaur69c4,000$2,760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,759.9944360%266 W · 177 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Kypson29c3,873$1,121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,752.062,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7334…f912backed Minaur63c3,160$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,999.65862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick66cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x479e…91c3backed Minaur60c3,000$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,80044163.7%281 W · 160 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9095…2f3fbacked Minaur50c3,000$1,498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,498.22634.6%9 W · 17 L-2.8wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-37.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3b1f…6500backed Kypson43c2,753$1,186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,566.6169249.6%343 W · 349 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Minaur68c2,377$1,609 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,608.5711,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x46ae…fdbabacked Minaur67c2,244$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5001060%6 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Minaur65c2,234$1,448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,447.6497046.6%452 W · 518 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa36c…5754backed Minaur69c2,170$1,497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,497.4942042.6%179 W · 241 L-11.0wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1fb7…fb66backed Minaur65c2,037$1,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,320.2953644.8%240 W · 296 L-20.2wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-18.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0b96…b053backed Minaur55c2,000$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,10022553.8%121 W · 104 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2755…fef0backed Kypson43c1,879$803 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,076.8522634.5%78 W · 148 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Kypson29c1,728$501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,227.228,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Minaur67c1,713$1,152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,152.0899044.8%444 W · 546 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Kypson36c1,690$603 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,086.4875748.6%368 W · 389 L+16.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x969b…db70backed Minaur1c1,667$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20420%0 W · 42 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Minaur48c1,619$779 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$778.526,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Kypson8c1,554$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,431.7930542.6%130 W · 175 L-9.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Minaur53c1,513$795 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$794.794,42651.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L+136.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc16…40a5backed Minaur57c1,397$796 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7961,11842.8%479 W · 639 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x033e…1bb9backed Kypson41c1,294$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$768.6630645.1%138 W · 168 L-11.2wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Kypson7c1,279$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,189.4738133.9%129 W · 252 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8b9…771dbacked Minaur59c1,222$715 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$715.43151.6%16 W · 15 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-4.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcfb5…f5ecbacked Minaur17c1,189$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.253450%17 W · 17 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe649…4e37backed Kypson8c1,120$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,031.111,41441.1%581 W · 833 L-21.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4e1…d80bbacked Minaur60c1,100$662 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$661.718555.3%47 W · 38 L-0.2wins0.00per pick56cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Minaur65c985$637 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$636.673745.2%333 W · 404 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Kypson36c938.03$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$595.6981349.1%399 W · 414 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Minaur44c918.15$403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402.761,21841.1%500 W · 718 L-30.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ceb…68e3backed Minaur68c898.72$611 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6118056.3%45 W · 35 L-8.2wins-0.10per pick67cpaid-17.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Minaur65c886$577 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$576.791,00846%464 W · 544 L-19.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x35ea…99bcbacked Minaur73c852.26$619 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$619.0624060.8%146 W · 94 L-0.5wins0.00per pick61cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2509…e4dbbacked Kypson33c845.99$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$569.6824844.8%111 W · 137 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc42c…42a1backed Kypson8c785$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$722.25547.3%26 W · 29 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+21.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa0dc…586cbacked Kypson36c750$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48011435.1%40 W · 74 L-9.2wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-22.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x26fb…67b8backed Minaur63c738.31$468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$468.265157.1%372 W · 279 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd08…0635backed Minaur49c713$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348.6570465.2%459 W · 245 L+29.1wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x20ba…6c27backed Minaur75c711.27$533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5331,18662.8%745 W · 441 L-16.1wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x46f1…7295backed Minaur64c687.5$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44018663.4%118 W · 68 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb01d…46f0backed Minaur58c676.17$394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$393.5732147%151 W · 170 L+12.2wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x588b…8593backed Kypson8c625$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5751,10743.5%481 W · 626 L-3.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Kypson7c616$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$572.8812450.8%63 W · 61 L+11.1wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+22.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x87a4…953ebacked Minaur74c615$453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452.651,05655.4%585 W · 471 L-22.8wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e3e…e3ebbacked Minaur57c600$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344.259567.4%64 W · 31 L+0.1wins0.00per pick67cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbebf…9baebacked Minaur70c559.39$393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392.5590854.5%495 W · 413 L+21.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0438…9d98backed Minaur60c546.94$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.9937854%204 W · 174 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Kypson7c546$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$507.7821338.5%82 W · 131 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+15.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3032…9b05backed Minaur62c523.71$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322.156934.8%24 W · 45 L-9.9wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-31.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x9d8f…d351backed Minaur61c511.48$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3123360.6%20 W · 13 L+4.0wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+37.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe394…289cbacked Minaur75c500$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37528451.1%145 W · 139 L+8.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x480e…71e9backed Kypson41c500$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29513560.7%82 W · 53 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Minaur54c484.9$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.664,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe026…2b3abacked Kypson27c476.25$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346.2550364.6%325 W · 178 L+0.6wins0.00per pick64cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9de4…7f2ebacked Minaur64c472.06$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.716648.8%81 W · 85 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a50…ea80backed Kypson8c449.13$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$412.3118133.1%60 W · 121 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b35…768ebacked Minaur62c440.6$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.178740.2%35 W · 52 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0257…22b2backed Minaur64c430$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.259348.9%290 W · 303 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a1e…21a1backed Minaur67c413.74$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.6412765.4%83 W · 44 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick64cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a32…9875backed Minaur61c411.88$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.365750.9%29 W · 28 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f26…c83bbacked Minaur56c400.95$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.5310234.3%35 W · 67 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9953…270fbacked Kypson56c359.21$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.212254.5%12 W · 10 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x71f6…e115backed Kypson42c357.14$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.1414639%57 W · 89 L-14.5wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-20.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Kypson29c355.37$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.116,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbddc…83b9backed Minaur76c339$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.6412951.9%67 W · 62 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf95a…d895backed Kypson60c336.17$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.2118932.3%61 W · 128 L-8.3wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-23.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe1f1…3a05backed Kypson42c322.98$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.9322337.7%84 W · 139 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5067…a127backed Kypson31c322.81$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.8110756.1%60 W · 47 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Kypson36c320.05$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.164,60248.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L+34.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Kypson43c316.37$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.6457252.3%299 W · 273 L+17.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x216f…03bbbacked Minaur43c313.69$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.38262.2%51 W · 31 L+5.8wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa4b2…1c67backed Kypson31c300$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20814858.8%87 W · 61 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe40d…a1fcbacked Kypson7c285.71$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.71450%2 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+295.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xba58…28c2backed Minaur78c284.7$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22365652.1%342 W · 314 L+7.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6f6…6d85backed Minaur53c283.09$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501957.9%11 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x89fd…da5dbacked Kypson41c283.09$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.668845.5%40 W · 48 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x012d…9db6backed Minaur78c281.45$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22084968.4%581 W · 268 L+25.9wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc0c8…090cbacked Minaur64c280.5$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18013356.4%75 W · 58 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ff9…e494backed Kypson47c277.4$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.0636040%144 W · 216 L+7.9wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Kypson7c276.81$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.444,07639.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L+93.7wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked Minaur78c264.1$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2062,14554.2%1,162 W · 983 L-1.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x34d8…7cbabacked Kypson8c262.5$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.5666.7%4 W · 2 L+2.8wins+0.46per pick21cpaid+298.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Kypson7c260.26$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.644599.6%44 W · 415 L+1.9wins0.00per pick9cpaid-18.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Minaur43c253.26$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.8992548.8%451 W · 474 L+20.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Kypson47c240.76$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.92,34351.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L+95.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+0.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.