Ligue 1 · resolved market
Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-03-21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xae9faab2667c0b9eec40124fa18b3038f07217b8b89f71f50c2c31ecdd1c9b88
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $963,754
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $963,754 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 342 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x83d2…d196backed Yes | 54c | 190,000$102,443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87,556.39 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +21%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d30…a42dbacked Yes | 51c | 142,928$72,229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70,699 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.6wins | -0.33per pick | 51cpaid | -67%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed No | 48c | 119,087$57,371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57,370.71 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked No | 49c | 102,876$50,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50,000 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked No | 49c | 90,000$44,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44,199.97 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked No | 46c | 88,427$40,677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,676.51 | 69 | 52.2%36 W · 33 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed No | 46c | 68,359$31,445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,444.93 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +23%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b37…3b3ebacked Yes | 54c | 50,500$27,265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,235 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac75…1319backed Yes | 53c | 40,995$21,617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,377.68 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked Yes | 51c | 35,000$17,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,100 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 47c | 20,622$9,689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,689.09 | 525 | 50.1%263 W · 262 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…0840backed Yes | 55c | 15,474$8,447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,027.24 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked Yes | 52c | 15,000$7,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,200 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Yes | 53c | 12,865$6,761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,104.46 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 42c | 11,302$4,708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,593.85 | 711 | 40.2%286 W · 425 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…e7dbbacked No | 46c | 10,714$4,928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,928.26 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes | 51c | 10,397$5,302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,094.53 | 154 | 55.2%85 W · 69 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes | 51c | 10,224$5,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,983.98 | 211 | 44.5%94 W · 117 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c74…4ef0backed No | 50c | 9,950$4,975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,975 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c1…9fe2backed No | 46c | 9,500$4,370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,370 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 46c | 9,000$4,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,140 | 133 | 48.9%65 W · 68 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x287a…7976backed Yes | 53c | 7,526$3,989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,537.33 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea00…c1f1backed No | 49c | 7,000$3,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,430 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 26c | 6,567$1,717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,716.74 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…26bfbacked No | 48c | 6,000$2,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,880 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b7c…3c87backed No | 50c | 5,901$2,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,950.27 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 53c | 5,439$2,907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,532.32 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b93…e941backed No | 50c | 5,402$2,701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700.85 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a40…c93fbacked No | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,450 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +4.7wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb177…1914backed No | 50c | 4,800$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb6f…2653backed Yes | 53c | 4,717$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,216.98 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.33per pick | 50cpaid | +68.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…b7b7backed Yes | 52c | 4,376$2,276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,100.48 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -3.8wins | -0.22per pick | 40cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 52c | 4,132$2,165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,164.53 | 376 | 38.8%146 W · 230 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…9401backed No | 50c | 3,600$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed No | 49c | 3,576$1,752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,752.24 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked No | 10c | 3,486$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.59 | 119 | 16.8%20 W · 99 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +14%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 49c | 3,285$1,596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,689.74 | 626 | 48.6%304 W · 322 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed No | 61c | 3,279$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 77 | 41.6%32 W · 45 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07d9…a32ebacked No | 48c | 3,108$1,492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,491.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed No | 49c | 3,061$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes | 51c | 3,000$1,526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,474.32 | 128 | 39.8%51 W · 77 L | -9.8wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Yes | 52c | 3,000$1,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,430 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,470 | 232 | 60.8%141 W · 91 L | +15.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd708…b9d2backed Yes | 40c | 3,000$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,800 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a39…a189backed No | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,470 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +32%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 51c | 2,941$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,441.18 | 190 | 55.8%106 W · 84 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cc7…0602backed Yes | 53c | 2,595$1,376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,218.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed No | 49c | 2,550$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,249.5 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 52c | 2,215$1,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,063.38 | 232 | 50.9%118 W · 114 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6da6…7d01backed No | 46c | 2,174$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed No | 47c | 2,159$1,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,014.93 | 80 | 58.8%47 W · 33 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked No | 46c | 2,127$978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$978.42 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +4.3wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed No | 48c | 2,083$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 94 | 58.5%55 W · 39 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed No | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb15…0f02backed Yes | 53c | 1,887$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.79 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 52c | 1,600$832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$768 | 310 | 49.4%153 W · 157 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x351e…de8abacked No | 50c | 1,591$796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795.64 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +30%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x66b6…159dbacked Yes | 53c | 1,500$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +69%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629c…6c01backed No | 48c | 1,500$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…6e77backed No | 50c | 1,463$732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$731.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…742dbacked No | 61c | 1,269$772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$772.35 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…93b5backed Yes | 40c | 1,250$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5157…942bbacked No | 48c | 1,053$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.26 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed Yes | 46c | 1,029$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.91 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed No | 47c | 1,027$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.69 | 95 | 58.9%56 W · 39 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 46c | 1,017$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.65 | 873 | 44.3%387 W · 486 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Yes | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cb…8f46backed No | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc39…1564backed No | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Yes | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked No | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 331 | 48.6%161 W · 170 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed No | 46c | 956.52$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed No | 49c | 940$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.6 | 109 | 48.6%53 W · 56 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked Yes | 52c | 932.69$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.69 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Yes | 40c | 931$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.56 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7d…2281backed Yes | 53c | 884$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde5a…4db5backed Yes | 33c | 809.09$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.09 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 30cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked No | 47c | 772.15$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.91 | 99 | 60.6%60 W · 39 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed No | 47c | 725.38$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.93 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4440…f8fdbacked No | 50c | 716$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 47cpaid | -68.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 71c | 702$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.76 | 356 | 50.6%180 W · 176 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked No | 49c | 700$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 9c | 630.08$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.71 | 188 | 47.9%90 W · 98 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 52c | 603.94$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.37 | 268 | 45.9%123 W · 145 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1f3…e4a1backed No | 48c | 571$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.08 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 177 | 56.5%100 W · 77 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 136 | 55.9%76 W · 60 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c9b…a556backed Yes | 53c | 443.4$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked No | 49c | 441.16$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.7 | 108 | 38%41 W · 67 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2d…40b1backed No | 49c | 408.47$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.15 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked No | 49c | 400$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 53 | 64.2%34 W · 19 L | +7.0wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0556…132abacked No | 48c | 400$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -58%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x90df…a209backed No | 49c | 397.41$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.61 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -4.7wins | -0.17per pick | 43cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed No | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2363…b0e8backed Yes | 50c | 390$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked No | 46c | 388$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.48 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb188…1b06backed Yes | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Yes | 67c | 363.61$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.9 | 109 | 38.5%42 W · 67 L | -11.4wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed No | 49c | 350$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.5 | 71 | 63.4%45 W · 26 L | +8.7wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-03-21?this page
- Will FC Lorient win on 2026-03-21?No won
- Will Toulouse FC vs. FC Lorient end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.