Ligue 1 · resolved market
Will Toulouse FC vs. FC Lorient end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfee41df29fcec02a1826b4e6a3d6a0809205c26ca414422be998ac36bb5a7ed0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $121,162
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $121,162 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 145 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 29c | 52,229$15,174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,174.44 | 525 | 50.1%263 W · 262 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b1…78fdbacked No | 71c | 24,479$17,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,098.91 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 28c | 21,953$6,128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,127.7 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed No | 72c | 8,165$5,879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,286.2 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 28c | 6,728$1,884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,883.91 | 310 | 49.4%153 W · 157 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…cf8abacked No | 70c | 5,358$3,751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,607.52 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes | 28c | 5,137$1,438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,438.36 | 211 | 44.5%94 W · 117 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…dc5cbacked No | 70c | 5,025$3,518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,507.5 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f5e…58efbacked No | 70c | 4,950$3,465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,485 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35a6…cb8fbacked No | 72c | 3,835$2,761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,073.67 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 28c | 3,424$963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$963.45 | 711 | 40.2%286 W · 425 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 28c | 2,568$716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$715.81 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62ca…1760backed No | 72c | 2,036$1,466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570.2 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7d…2281backed Yes | 29c | 2,017$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.93 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 28c | 1,996$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.44 | 284 | 48.2%137 W · 147 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad15…ee7fbacked No | 70c | 1,439$1,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.57 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 30c | 1,393$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.88 | 331 | 48.6%161 W · 170 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 28c | 1,315$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.98 | 873 | 44.3%387 W · 486 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Yes | 28c | 1,256$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.68 | 121 | 47.9%58 W · 63 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 72c | 1,193$859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.15 | 170 | 43.5%74 W · 96 L | -8.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81e4…6f22backed No | 71c | 1,190$845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.1 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 28c | 1,097$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.19 | 376 | 38.8%146 W · 230 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 33c | 968.92$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.11 | 180 | 46.7%84 W · 96 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Yes | 8c | 915.51$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.93 | 119 | 16.8%20 W · 99 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +14%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 27c | 750$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.5 | 270 | 49.6%134 W · 136 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Yes | 27c | 700$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes | 28c | 680$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.4 | 154 | 55.2%85 W · 69 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…720fbacked No | 60c | 667.35$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.94 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 28c | 624.99$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 201 | 50.2%101 W · 100 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e56…8243backed Yes | 31c | 555$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44b6…98b4backed Yes | 55c | 553.25$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.98 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 59c | 532.98$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.67 | 356 | 50.6%180 W · 176 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8627…5382backed No | 73c | 500$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Yes | 9c | 465.9$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.93 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 11c | 457.41$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.6 | 132 | 46.2%61 W · 71 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Yes | 28c | 400$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113 | 299 | 49.8%149 W · 150 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 73c | 399.95$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.31 | 263 | 46.4%122 W · 141 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 28c | 364.22$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.94 | 464 | 50.4%234 W · 230 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Yes | 28c | 325.74$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.21 | 142 | 47.9%68 W · 74 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x814c…7ffabacked Yes | 28c | 300$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 140 | 45%63 W · 77 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…a987backed Yes | 29c | 300$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 129 | 57.4%74 W · 55 L | +13.5wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Yes | 29c | 278$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.62 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 36c | 275.24$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.95 | 452 | 33.6%152 W · 300 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 31c | 273.89$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.02 | 181 | 55.2%100 W · 81 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Yes | 28c | 267.31$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.85 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed No | 36c | 251$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.31 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed No | 39c | 249.46$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.48 | 110 | 70%77 W · 33 L | +18.3wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Yes | 31c | 225$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.75 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb89b…a39dbacked Yes | 31c | 225$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.75 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44dc…2ddbbacked Yes | 29c | 224.14$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Yes | 28c | 214.86$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.23 | 172 | 51.2%88 W · 84 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Yes | 28c | 205.5$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.54 | 92 | 56.5%52 W · 40 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x236b…26b7backed Yes | 28c | 185$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.8 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6e…33d8backed Yes | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d8c…bec4backed Yes | 28c | 172.32$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.25 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed Yes | 28c | 160$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.8 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -4.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -65.2%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed No | 35c | 156.3$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.19 | 56 | 62.5%35 W · 21 L | +8.1wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6479…5e64backed Yes | 69c | 153.42$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.86 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc2d…8668backed Yes | 66c | 152.35$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c65…6b11backed Yes | 69c | 145.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 33c | 138.84$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.31 | 350 | 37.7%132 W · 218 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 13c | 138.48$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 178 | 17.4%31 W · 147 L | -16.2wins | -0.09per pick | 27cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Yes | 33c | 133.24$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.75 | 84 | 34.5%29 W · 55 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb039…6ed4backed Yes | 31c | 130$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Yes | 28c | 126.5$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.42 | 71 | 38%27 W · 44 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b86…4670backed Yes | 30c | 121$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Yes | 34c | 117.82$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.69 | 117 | 53.8%63 W · 54 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8f1…67f2backed Yes | 31c | 117$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd080…840bbacked Yes | 31c | 115$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9734…8f5ebacked Yes | 29c | 113.79$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x046b…43febacked Yes | 30c | 112$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa384…f5e9backed Yes | 28c | 107.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 28c | 106$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.15 | 260 | 41.9%109 W · 151 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f34…ed6abacked No | 63c | 104$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.24 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…1bd0backed Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.67 | 182 | 45.6%83 W · 99 L | -9.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea74…cf99backed Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 223 | 40.8%91 W · 132 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfccd…02d6backed Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e40…7d1fbacked Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe592…691abacked Yes | 64c | 99.99$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c4…bbfbbacked Yes | 32c | 99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.68 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -21%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b80…8b39backed Yes | 41c | 97.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 28c | 96.67$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.07 | 233 | 42.5%99 W · 134 L | -11.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51e5…da69backed Yes | 28c | 93.77$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.72 | 108 | 55.6%60 W · 48 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 70c | 80$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.8 | 159 | 51.6%82 W · 77 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb75…6dd0backed Yes | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed Yes | 28c | 77.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.9 | 140 | 57.1%80 W · 60 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38c4…7c65backed No | 68c | 71.99$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.94 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef8…1583backed Yes | 28c | 70$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5f…7e6fbacked Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a09…76e9backed Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 72 | 31.9%23 W · 49 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe2…5981backed Yes | 30c | 68.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.46 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7145…7fdcbacked No | 70c | 62$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…2163backed Yes | 28c | 60.71$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 93 | 46.2%43 W · 50 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dba…462ebacked Yes | 38c | 60.42$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60e3…afc9backed No | 64c | 58.95$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.22 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fb4…e37abacked Yes | 38c | 57.37$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ad…9d51backed Yes | 35c | 57.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -51%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1465…9f10backed No | 70c | 56.99$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 70cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Toulouse FC vs. FC Lorient end in a draw?this page
- Will FC Lorient win on 2026-03-21?No won
- Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-03-21?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.