Middle East · resolved market
Israel military response against Iran today?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9c6a0bbb1f1c26d00cb4afdcc0821d298884ae830296c45ffde7349fcad8d9a8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $171,302
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $153,697
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $171,302 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 167 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x38c9…796fbacked Yes | 20c | 17,174$3,435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,434.85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…d424backed No | 61c | 16,346$10,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,296.07 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…19aabacked Yes | 16c | 8,906$1,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,424.79 | 92 | 34.8%32 W · 60 L | -7.9wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc103…1138backed Yes | 8c | 7,329$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.58 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a71…954bbacked Yes | 1c | 5,977$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.06 | 33 | 12.1%4 W · 29 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb747…b050backed No | 58c | 5,818$3,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,438.54 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6726…eabdbacked Yes | 42c | 5,228$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe14…a1aebacked Yes | 42c | 4,587$1,924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,923.61 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d80…7210backed Yes | 45c | 4,280$1,913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,913.05 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a4c…532bbacked Yes | 33c | 4,000$1,313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,312.7 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -51%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15af…93c9backed Yes | 0c | 3,537$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x614d…1546backed No | 67c | 3,200$2,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,048.3 | 138 | 50.7%70 W · 68 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a1f…9cdebacked Yes | 3c | 2,914$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.36 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x09df…5ca9backed No | 80c | 2,539$2,031 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.78 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.9wins | +0.41per pick | 45cpaid | +102.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xce08…28bdbacked Yes | 21c | 2,493$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf8ba…a286backed No | 66c | 2,220$1,471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$749.52 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69c0…5570backed Yes | 46c | 2,174$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3a…d194backed Yes | 23c | 2,161$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b90…43cebacked Yes | 31c | 2,128$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 21cpaid | +74%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb052…ff06backed Yes | 4c | 2,119$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.51 | 53 | 15.1%8 W · 45 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f42…b88fbacked Yes | 29c | 2,000$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.55 | 367 | 50.4%185 W · 182 L | +39.6wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9c85…9e34backed Yes | 22c | 1,914$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.94 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c16…df3abacked Yes | 15c | 1,613$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.24 | 80 | 37.5%30 W · 50 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c25…21e6backed Yes | 21c | 1,512$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.85 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d4d…4a91backed Yes | 42c | 1,405$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.3 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed Yes | 8c | 1,207$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.97 | 264 | 23.9%63 W · 201 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa136…2965backed Yes | 2c | 1,195$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.89 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ffa…4638backed Yes | 29c | 1,175$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.93 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -3.2wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7b60…f259backed No | 60c | 1,146$693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.32 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a58…dd44backed Yes | 14c | 1,109$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.21 | 42 | 4.8%2 W · 40 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | +137.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0517…8a27backed Yes | 12c | 1,081$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe4a…ac42backed No | 68c | 1,000$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…d68fbacked Yes | 15c | 900$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbc7…167ebacked Yes | 35c | 860.04$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8817…b60fbacked No | 64c | 815.92$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.52 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +3.4wins | +0.24per pick | 33cpaid | +266.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xab64…d070backed Yes | 3c | 760.81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64d7…512abacked No | 79c | 732.48$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.12 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +4.2wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2027…6d60backed Yes | 23c | 730.77$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.87 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…c7ebbacked Yes | 14c | 722.92$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef9…0295backed Yes | 4c | 716.92$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.41 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 9cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a83…4c59backed Yes | 32c | 700$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223 | 427 | 38.9%166 W · 261 L | +30.7wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ee…ec14backed Yes | 32c | 680.37$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.77 | 89 | 51.7%46 W · 43 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x664d…aa7dbacked Yes | 40c | 678.86$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.54 | 62 | 29%18 W · 44 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x030a…acfcbacked No | 53c | 674.19$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.87 | 73 | 37%27 W · 46 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…03e7backed Yes | 9c | 665.12$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.77 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +39%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x668d…97d2backed No | 76c | 663.01$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.65 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -7.2wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe12a…d428backed Yes | 37c | 659.13$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.45 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.19per pick | 39cpaid | +138.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9265…4ab7backed Yes | 39c | 640$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.28 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a6f…bc71backed Yes | 27c | 631.73$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.98 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 40cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x948e…92b5backed Yes | 42c | 622.6$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.49 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1444…90aebacked No | 58c | 514.52$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.52 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…fb51backed Yes | 19c | 500$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -40%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02a1…dd72backed No | 54c | 500$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | +4.7wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f62…38fcbacked Yes | 17c | 500$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.8 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x081d…8c34backed Yes | 17c | 500$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6797…7697backed Yes | 36c | 500$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Yes | 17c | 499.99$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21d9…0e65backed Yes | 13c | 499.99$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 51 | 21.6%11 W · 40 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd398…46d7backed No | 57c | 491.54$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.13 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -15%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c6d…fa3dbacked Yes | 42c | 478.88$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.3 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +67.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d05…6a81backed Yes | 12c | 400$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 432 | 12.5%54 W · 378 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcaab…24ddbacked No | 77c | 369.99$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.7 | 88 | 34.1%30 W · 58 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1452…4c20backed Yes | 28c | 362.43$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.98 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x495c…512bbacked Yes | 34c | 354.2$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x168c…2723backed Yes | 32c | 349.58$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.86 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf3…87b3backed No | 78c | 345$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.87 | 98 | 15.3%15 W · 83 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3e…9854backed Yes | 36c | 324.91$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.63 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x196f…538fbacked Yes | 14c | 322.71$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed No | 62c | 309.99$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.2 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0004…59cfbacked No | 78c | 304.48$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.78 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +203.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2227…b572backed No | 61c | 302.85$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.76 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fb1…36f3backed Yes | 17c | 300.8$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -64.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51c9…29e5backed Yes | 36c | 300$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12c6…8908backed Yes | 8c | 299.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4828…ddd9backed No | 67c | 298.84$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.84 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +3.9wins | +0.26per pick | 34cpaid | +115.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbd68…746abacked No | 80c | 297.48$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.66 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +5.6wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2495…28f5backed Yes | 36c | 297.22$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf720…411dbacked Yes | 36c | 294.44$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35f1…8078backed Yes | 37c | 289.22$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.01 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | 0%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26ce…e6e9backed Yes | 37c | 285.16$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1756…8e1fbacked Yes | 38c | 284.11$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf982…1c15backed Yes | 55c | 272.73$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87e7…1f5ebacked Yes | 17c | 267.53$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.39 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e0e…9eb8backed Yes | 34c | 260$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.5 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbea…19f4backed Yes | 16c | 250$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x635a…d6f0backed Yes | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c3c…1b01backed Yes | 37c | 245.5$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed No | 65c | 245$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.75 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa296…3a93backed Yes | 52c | 226.23$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes | 33c | 222$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.26 | 511 | 38.7%198 W · 313 L | +18.7wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25c0…dd22backed Yes | 48c | 206.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…325cbacked Yes | 15c | 203$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8adb…82d9backed Yes | 24c | 202$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x996b…1e9cbacked Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa357…1045backed Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -33%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa98…4a57backed Yes | 26c | 200$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b51…aacebacked No | 76c | 200$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d78…9fc6backed Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3634…310dbacked Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa842…e305backed Yes | 32c | 187.5$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 113 | 29.2%33 W · 80 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.