Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Wisconsin Badgers (-5.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe86a11df071fa56e538471d0b075c6425211a3895c883bc21fda8cbbc4b00378
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Oregon Ducksof Wisconsin Badgers, Oregon Ducks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $742,508
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $742,220
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $742,508 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 127 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2643…39aebacked Wisconsin Badgers | 54c | 668,467$358,344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358,343.7 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -6.4wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Oregon Ducks | 46c | 437,226$202,996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234,229.58 | 691 | 42.8%296 W · 395 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Oregon Ducks | 46c | 160,910$74,628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86,282.36 | 217 | 54.8%119 W · 98 L | +15.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Oregon Ducks | 46c | 34,000$15,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,220 | 906 | 45.4%411 W · 495 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x221d…e800backed Oregon Ducks | 49c | 15,014$7,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,715.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +105.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Oregon Ducks | 47c | 13,289$6,192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,097.3 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Wisconsin Badgers | 51c | 11,611$5,913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,913.48 | 417 | 52.5%219 W · 198 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Oregon Ducks | 45c | 8,697$3,939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,758 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Wisconsin Badgers | 55c | 7,931$4,362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,361.89 | 351 | 51.9%182 W · 169 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Oregon Ducks | 46c | 5,617$2,587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,030.11 | 277 | 55.2%153 W · 124 L | +19.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Oregon Ducks | 48c | 5,565$2,652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,913.52 | 351 | 47.6%167 W · 184 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2537…bff9backed Oregon Ducks | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,550 | 444 | 52.7%234 W · 210 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Oregon Ducks | 48c | 4,000$1,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,079.98 | 107 | 39.3%42 W · 65 L | -8.5wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8738…222bbacked Oregon Ducks | 56c | 3,631$2,031 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,599.46 | 255 | 56.1%143 W · 112 L | +12.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Wisconsin Badgers | 50c | 3,400$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Wisconsin Badgers | 53c | 3,286$1,747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,747.24 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Oregon Ducks | 50c | 3,205$1,602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,602.4 | 231 | 49.8%115 W · 116 L | +14.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Oregon Ducks | 49c | 3,034$1,487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,547.57 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Wisconsin Badgers | 45c | 2,127$951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$951.45 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x360b…982fbacked Wisconsin Badgers | 51c | 1,932$985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$985.07 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x69ff…0d1dbacked Oregon Ducks | 46c | 1,846$842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,003.34 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Oregon Ducks | 46c | 1,519$693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$825.06 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbff9…009dbacked Oregon Ducks | 48c | 1,200$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$628 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -4.1wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Wisconsin Badgers | 50c | 988.63$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.63 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Wisconsin Badgers | 48c | 799.95$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.98 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked Oregon Ducks | 48c | 786.06$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.75 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Wisconsin Badgers | 48c | 773.83$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.44 | 558 | 40.3%225 W · 333 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Oregon Ducks | 47c | 600$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318 | 161 | 47.2%76 W · 85 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf958…5a02backed Wisconsin Badgers | 4c | 599.96$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Oregon Ducks | 47c | 585.05$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.07 | 841 | 47.4%399 W · 442 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Oregon Ducks | 48c | 531.11$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.72 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a87…fb21backed Oregon Ducks | 48c | 501.08$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.2 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb5…f5ecbacked Oregon Ducks | 49c | 500.63$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.32 | 79 | 59.5%47 W · 32 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbddc…83b9backed Wisconsin Badgers | 51c | 495.63$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.77 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Wisconsin Badgers | 21c | 447.33$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.94 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Oregon Ducks | 49c | 434.89$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.76 | 609 | 54.5%332 W · 277 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Oregon Ducks | 47c | 422.29$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.81 | 754 | 47.1%355 W · 399 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc1b…3b5bbacked Oregon Ducks | 49c | 404.59$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.34 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8958…e945backed Oregon Ducks | 47c | 396.51$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.17 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b1a…68d8backed Oregon Ducks | 49c | 396.5$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.22 | 119 | 57.1%68 W · 51 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x383d…87eabacked Oregon Ducks | 48c | 376.92$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.19 | 77 | 46.8%36 W · 41 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe975…9d22backed Oregon Ducks | 49c | 360.71$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.23 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf498…3d66backed Oregon Ducks | 50c | 339.81$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.26 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +77.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Oregon Ducks | 50c | 337.03$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.51 | 794 | 48.9%388 W · 406 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d57…2b4ebacked Oregon Ducks | 47c | 250$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.67 | 46 | 60.9%28 W · 18 L | +6.7wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf7…06acbacked Oregon Ducks | 50c | 245$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.5 | 273 | 50.5%138 W · 135 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3edb…5280backed Oregon Ducks | 51c | 235.14$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.95 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | -5.9wins | -0.11per pick | 62cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe5af…f9e3backed Oregon Ducks | 48c | 223.28$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.02 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68d8…4cc6backed Oregon Ducks | 52c | 209.16$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.01 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +86.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28be…03fcbacked Oregon Ducks | 48c | 206.51$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbeef…5667backed Oregon Ducks | 51c | 206.06$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.92 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Oregon Ducks | 49c | 202.3$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.17 | 1,251 | 50.6%633 W · 618 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…92e5backed Oregon Ducks | 49c | 200.39$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +163.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf10…691bbacked Oregon Ducks | 51c | 199.41$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.21 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.29per pick | 54cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1487…d443backed Wisconsin Badgers | 52c | 198.25$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.09 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd11a…09eebacked Oregon Ducks | 51c | 193.08$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.87 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +99.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3319…ba79backed Oregon Ducks | 49c | 186.93$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.93 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcaf5…815bbacked Oregon Ducks | 51c | 179.48$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.24 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 56cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x53cd…f23ebacked Oregon Ducks | 49c | 174.81$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.59 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x666f…9860backed Oregon Ducks | 48c | 167.28$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.98 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +87.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x985e…6894backed Oregon Ducks | 49c | 158.26$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.11 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +3.9wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf13b…9ef9backed Oregon Ducks | 49c | 150.04$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.52 | 196 | 57.1%112 W · 84 L | +14.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Wisconsin Badgers | 48c | 144.56$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.39 | 536 | 35.6%191 W · 345 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Oregon Ducks | 49c | 129.43$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.65 | 172 | 58.7%101 W · 71 L | +14.3wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2344…6ba3backed Oregon Ducks | 49c | 127.64$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.63 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Wisconsin Badgers | 49c | 112.17$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.47 | 848 | 54.5%462 W · 386 L | +32.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b46…944cbacked Oregon Ducks | 49c | 111.22$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.72 | 186 | 56.5%105 W · 81 L | +12.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked Wisconsin Badgers | 54c | 109.13$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.77 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0338…6562backed Oregon Ducks | 49c | 107.8$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.44 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2212…1ed2backed Oregon Ducks | 47c | 105.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13b3…e83abacked Oregon Ducks | 49c | 103.52$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66cc…c578backed Oregon Ducks | 49c | 101.78$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +105.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Oregon Ducks | 49c | 101.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.59 | 833 | 50.2%418 W · 415 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Oregon Ducks | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 1,070 | 46.9%502 W · 568 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Oregon Ducks | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.5 | 852 | 48.8%416 W · 436 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9698…2504backed Wisconsin Badgers | 51c | 97.18$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.56 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…c320backed Oregon Ducks | 47c | 94.24$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.39 | 193 | 48.7%94 W · 99 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x598b…f296backed Oregon Ducks | 63c | 93.47$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.58 | 104 | 51%53 W · 51 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Oregon Ducks | 47c | 87.24$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.58 | 621 | 40.4%251 W · 370 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Wisconsin Badgers | 52c | 82.22$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.7 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x92aa…0341backed Oregon Ducks | 44c | 81.79$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.8 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5079…0f50backed Oregon Ducks | 47c | 80$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.4 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a67…ef6bbacked Oregon Ducks | 48c | 79.99$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.59 | 141 | 48.9%69 W · 72 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a4…65c3backed Oregon Ducks | 48c | 79.34$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.17 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +67.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b6e…b1a7backed Oregon Ducks | 52c | 76.25$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.6 | 144 | 48.6%70 W · 74 L | -12.5wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51ad…5e56backed Oregon Ducks | 48c | 72.28$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.59 | 101 | 26.7%27 W · 74 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f12…0d85backed Wisconsin Badgers | 69c | 71.1$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.13 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…4b8cbacked Oregon Ducks | 49c | 70.8$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.11 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +98.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcefa…40bbbacked Oregon Ducks | 48c | 69.39$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…9dc2backed Wisconsin Badgers | 52c | 64.81$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.7 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3938…c6cbbacked Oregon Ducks | 47c | 63.27$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.53 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Wisconsin Badgers | 48c | 61.95$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.74 | 322 | 46.6%150 W · 172 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Wisconsin Badgers | 53c | 60.13$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.72 | 200 | 51.5%103 W · 97 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Wisconsin Badgers | 48c | 59.48$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.58 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Oregon Ducks | 46c | 57.87$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.41 | 1,296 | 45.1%584 W · 712 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc5…4bb7backed Oregon Ducks | 46c | 54.06$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +116.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1a…7ddebacked Wisconsin Badgers | 52c | 51.66$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.76 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34dd…dbf8backed Oregon Ducks | 48c | 51.42$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2e…79a3backed Oregon Ducks | 49c | 51$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +105.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked Oregon Ducks | 48c | 49.81$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.9 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Wisconsin Badgers (-5.5)this page
- Spread: Wisconsin Badgers (-4.5)Oregon Ducks won
- Wisconsin Badgers vs. Oregon DucksOregon Ducks won
- Wisconsin Badgers vs. Oregon Ducks: O/U 152.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.