TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Wisconsin Badgers vs. Oregon Ducks

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Oregon Ducksof Wisconsin Badgers, Oregon Ducks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$160,170
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$177,568

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $160,170 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 140 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x38c2…d3a7backed Wisconsin Badgers69c16,567$11,414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,413.8416056.9%91 W · 69 L+0.6wins0.00per pick57cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb78…5206backed Oregon Ducks37c13,721$5,058 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,662.12737%10 W · 17 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde18…83bcbacked Wisconsin Badgers23c10,879$2,485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,484.583548.6%17 W · 18 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Wisconsin Badgers70c7,500$5,249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,249.2936944.2%163 W · 206 L-19.0wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Oregon Ducks52c7,152$3,724 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,427.325,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Oregon Ducks29c7,010$2,041 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,968.512,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe7a2…ae70backed Wisconsin Badgers71c5,171$3,663 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,662.8514854.1%80 W · 68 L+7.5wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Oregon Ducks37c4,176$1,535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,641.4362140.4%251 W · 370 L-10.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa785…acb6backed Wisconsin Badgers80c3,651$2,915 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,914.79944.4%4 W · 5 L-2.4wins-0.27per pick71cpaid-35.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Oregon Ducks30c3,379$1,002 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,377.111,51147.8%722 W · 789 L-35.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Oregon Ducks63c3,373$2,117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,256.442,01250%1,006 W · 1,006 L+22.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Oregon Ducks27c3,217$869 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,348.0312,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Wisconsin Badgers59c2,796$1,646 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,646.4234943.3%151 W · 198 L-15.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-28.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xea22…747abacked Wisconsin Badgers1c2,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2024121.2%51 W · 190 L+11.2wins+0.05per pick16cpaid+299%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Oregon Ducks47c1,940$914 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,025.762,12450.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x598b…f296backed Oregon Ducks38c1,761$677 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,084.1810451%53 W · 51 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Wisconsin Badgers70c1,489$1,042 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,042.2884147.4%399 W · 442 L-13.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x50c3…34d7backed Wisconsin Badgers29c1,460$423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$423.13475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+12.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Oregon Ducks30c1,420$428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$992.821,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf5d1…cdc9backed Wisconsin Badgers17c1,259$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.292321.7%5 W · 18 L-2.2wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-40.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x05c3…3f7fbacked Wisconsin Badgers2c1,075$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.65214.8%1 W · 20 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick6cpaid-73.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x94d8…8835backed Wisconsin Badgers63c999.34$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$629.827057.1%40 W · 30 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x00ff…f7adbacked Wisconsin Badgers70c979.09$682 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$681.5911252.7%59 W · 53 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick55cpaid+0.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b03…71babacked Oregon Ducks50c912.33$453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$458.9514151.1%72 W · 69 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ffb…e82abacked Wisconsin Badgers22c898.84$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.7943450%217 W · 217 L+13.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Oregon Ducks43c866.76$371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$495.884,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed Oregon Ducks30c785.19$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$549.6322043.2%95 W · 125 L-0.6wins0.00per pick43cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba5a…344cbacked Wisconsin Badgers13c781.72$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.613234.4%11 W · 21 L-4.2wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-40.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked Oregon Ducks67c734.12$494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2401,05855.8%590 W · 468 L+34.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Oregon Ducks30c659.54$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.6892246%424 W · 498 L+1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54b4…f93bbacked Wisconsin Badgers3c587.76$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.983125.8%8 W · 23 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick31cpaid-19.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa4b2…1c67backed Wisconsin Badgers31c534.23$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.3314354.5%78 W · 65 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+3.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Oregon Ducks28c519.84$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$373.5981528.8%235 W · 580 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4aae…d563backed Wisconsin Badgers49c508.77$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.812860.7%17 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0fde…8ab1backed Wisconsin Badgers73c497.91$363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363.48757.1%4 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick74cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked Wisconsin Badgers20c497.2$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.4440252.7%212 W · 190 L-9.1wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Wisconsin Badgers62c490.33$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.995,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Oregon Ducks31c468.01$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3232,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x47cb…dfdabacked Wisconsin Badgers22c447.78$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9736535.9%131 W · 234 L+1.4wins0.00per pick36cpaid-18.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Wisconsin Badgers46c428.63$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.524,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfc3e…776bbacked Wisconsin Badgers23c427.56$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.6516746.1%77 W · 90 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Oregon Ducks53c412.02$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.343,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecfa…3c6fbacked Oregon Ducks31c399.99$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.9955532.8%182 W · 373 L+15.5wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c16…4b37backed Oregon Ducks44c389.61$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.1855840.3%225 W · 333 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Oregon Ducks33c374.99$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.2593941.6%391 W · 548 L+25.4wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Oregon Ducks33c360.82$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.7550745.2%229 W · 278 L+0.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Oregon Ducks42c360.45$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.8377142.3%326 W · 445 L+2.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee76…e67abacked Wisconsin Badgers71c349.58$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.211362.8%71 W · 42 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f6d…71b4backed Oregon Ducks30c347.43$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.2333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid+11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6dca…a7acbacked Wisconsin Badgers78c347.34$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.4925254.8%138 W · 114 L-15.7wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-16.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed Oregon Ducks30c330.88$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.6253635.6%191 W · 345 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+8.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7fea…8f74backed Wisconsin Badgers9c327.33$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.096842.6%29 W · 39 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-28%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…92e5backed Oregon Ducks31c320.17$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.912100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+163.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1a59…eec3backed Oregon Ducks32c312.6$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.574341.9%18 W · 25 L+3.8wins+0.09per pick33cpaid+18.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Wisconsin Badgers63c310.23$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.3323941.4%99 W · 140 L-7.1wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x39c6…0ac1backed Wisconsin Badgers67c309.57$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.426254.2%142 W · 120 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Oregon Ducks20c301.65$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.993,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Oregon Ducks31c299.86$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.92,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5dd8…858ebacked Oregon Ducks20c299.42$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.54619.8%6 W · 55 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-47.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x65e2…a4c4backed Wisconsin Badgers22c289.16$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.621154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.18per pick37cpaid+73.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xaa57…a128backed Wisconsin Badgers70c263.97$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.646162.3%38 W · 23 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Oregon Ducks29c237$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.2791848.9%449 W · 469 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Oregon Ducks65c226.38$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.4839742.8%170 W · 227 L-15.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Wisconsin Badgers69c218.35$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.6693447.9%447 W · 487 L-19.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Wisconsin Badgers15c212.38$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.861,53150.1%767 W · 764 L+34.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbddc…83b9backed Wisconsin Badgers49c212.13$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.557048.6%34 W · 36 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a50…ea80backed Oregon Ducks29c203.69$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.6212141.3%50 W · 71 L+12.3wins+0.10per pick31cpaid+40.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Oregon Ducks32c200$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1361,31733.6%443 W · 874 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x622b…5a4abacked Oregon Ducks30c198.53$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.9716546.7%77 W · 88 L+7.5wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+14.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdab8…1bc7backed Oregon Ducks30c191.52$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.072326.1%6 W · 17 L-3.1wins-0.14per pick40cpaid-39%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xda76…221fbacked Wisconsin Badgers63c188.92$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.0220%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Oregon Ducks54c159.59$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.881,49348.7%727 W · 766 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c14…ffa5backed Wisconsin Badgers67c157.45$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.49650%3 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Oregon Ducks80c156.57$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.531,54041.3%636 W · 904 L+4.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x18f6…b00bbacked Wisconsin Badgers72c151.7$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.225158.8%30 W · 21 L-3.6wins-0.07per pick66cpaid-12.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc8f6…d81abacked Oregon Ducks35c141.72$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.122128.6%6 W · 15 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x61d1…a379backed Wisconsin Badgers71c138.43$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.295457.4%31 W · 23 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7646…b2a1backed Oregon Ducks27c125.06$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.296346%29 W · 34 L+7.8wins+0.12per pick34cpaid+32.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa82f…9fb8backed Wisconsin Badgers17c117.35$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.31per pick35cpaid+83.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0644…05debacked Oregon Ducks54c115.49$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.6714049.3%69 W · 71 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe496…4d8bbacked Oregon Ducks31c105.22$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.8317945.8%82 W · 97 L-0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ff4…743dbacked Wisconsin Badgers18c100$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1814451.4%74 W · 70 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf43c…d7c3backed Oregon Ducks29c100$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7149157.2%281 W · 210 L+18.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4415…b335backed Oregon Ducks27c99.31$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.51580%12 W · 3 L+2.5wins+0.17per pick63cpaid+30.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb01d…46f0backed Oregon Ducks30c99.27$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.4931647.8%151 W · 165 L+14.0wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9b3a…df40backed Oregon Ducks39c99.17$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.495939%23 W · 36 L+0.2wins0.00per pick39cpaid+12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Wisconsin Badgers36c95.8$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.041,29645.1%584 W · 712 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6ec…8debbacked Oregon Ducks36c94.33$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.145657.1%32 W · 24 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick58cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ade…ac2bbacked Oregon Ducks30c93.47$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.431100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.70per pick30cpaid+233.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3d5f…7e6fbacked Oregon Ducks54c91.79$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.223455.9%19 W · 15 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+28.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x87a4…953ebacked Wisconsin Badgers22c90.36$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.884047.5%19 W · 21 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-21.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0e40…cf85backed Oregon Ducks32c84.06$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.1621937.4%82 W · 137 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x78f7…2c5dbacked Wisconsin Badgers68c81.67$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.5421646.8%101 W · 115 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x223f…2050backed Oregon Ducks29c80.57$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.970936.1%256 W · 453 L-27.3wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc3d0…6fc8backed Oregon Ducks40c74.37$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.627754.5%42 W · 35 L+0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Oregon Ducks40c74.37$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.6232246.6%150 W · 172 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Wisconsin Badgers69c72.46$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504,55250.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L-36.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd88a…1eefbacked Oregon Ducks32c69.55$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.220834.6%72 W · 136 L-8.8wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-15.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9de5…e8f5backed Wisconsin Badgers72c68.95$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.658362.7%52 W · 31 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x40b1…520dbacked Oregon Ducks62c64.48$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.