TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Avalanche vs. Utah

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Avalancheof Avalanche, Utah
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$879,784
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$901,085

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $879,784 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 585 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x03e8…1697backed Utah46c303,850$141,173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141,173.0967051%342 W · 328 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa710…23c4backed Avalanche54c156,694$84,615 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72,079.4415054.7%82 W · 68 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-0.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xaa07…2125backed Utah47c132,683$61,876 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61,875.821,07049.9%534 W · 536 L+22.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee17…b46ebacked Avalanche53c70,187$37,199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32,987.951968.4%13 W · 6 L+2.6wins+0.13per pick55cpaid+25.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x99bd…238ebacked Utah49c50,066$24,514 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,514.18933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick39cpaid+69.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf152…64aabacked Avalanche53c40,000$21,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,799.9816656.6%94 W · 72 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Avalanche53c37,828$20,046 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,782.3451452.3%269 W · 245 L+17.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Avalanche58c36,964$21,297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,666.741,34554.8%737 W · 608 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Avalanche53c34,212$18,235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,976.4961950.1%310 W · 309 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed Avalanche52c22,071$11,406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,664.5621755.3%120 W · 97 L+0.3wins0.00per pick55cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30a3…1943backed Utah47c21,277$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,0002853.6%15 W · 13 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x538a…0823backed Avalanche54c20,700$11,178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,5221668.8%11 W · 5 L+2.4wins+0.15per pick54cpaid+31%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe524…d34fbacked Avalanche52c19,615$10,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,415.385261.5%32 W · 20 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf9b5…09eebacked Avalanche53c19,224$10,189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,035.491464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+30.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Utah47c15,000$7,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,05051045.5%232 W · 278 L-9.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Avalanche52c14,973$7,861 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,112.491,55551.4%800 W · 755 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x94a5…9838backed Avalanche52c13,908$7,301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,607.13948.7%19 W · 20 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Avalanche52c11,755$6,148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,607.7366552%346 W · 319 L+8.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb68…a240backed Utah47c10,717$5,038 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,037.5850049.6%248 W · 252 L+16.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfce1…9ce7backed Avalanche51c10,000$5,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,9006653%35 W · 31 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed Utah46c10,000$4,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,599.982763%17 W · 10 L+3.3wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+25.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Utah46c9,887$4,567 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,567.061,44149.2%709 W · 732 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Avalanche52c9,147$4,757 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,390.7147951.4%246 W · 233 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1433…56a0backed Avalanche55c9,000$4,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,05022550.2%113 W · 112 L+1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Avalanche53c8,320$4,431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,889.1145751.6%236 W · 221 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Utah48c8,082$3,880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,88060337.5%226 W · 377 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b90…2194backed Utah48c8,000$3,840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,84015749.7%78 W · 79 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Avalanche54c7,943$4,289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,653.851,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Utah47c7,000$3,290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,29026058.8%153 W · 107 L+17.7wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+15%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x13ea…9a8cbacked Utah48c7,000$3,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,360540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid+4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xebc7…4003backed Avalanche53c6,797$3,585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,212.7811553%61 W · 54 L+5.2wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Avalanche53c6,638$3,532 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,106.711,19050.7%603 W · 587 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0940…3640backed Avalanche53c6,517$3,454 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,062.985949.2%29 W · 30 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd3fa…a26cbacked Avalanche53c6,000$3,180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,82015145%68 W · 83 L-7.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8fb4…5c6cbacked Utah47c5,700$2,679 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,6795752.6%30 W · 27 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d5c…4f26backed Avalanche55c5,664$3,102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,561.628748.3%42 W · 45 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Avalanche65c5,394$3,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,894.3685250.2%428 W · 424 L-26.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Avalanche51c5,000$2,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,4508252.4%43 W · 39 L+6.2wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+12.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x44d6…9858backed Avalanche52c5,000$2,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,40029146.7%136 W · 155 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Utah48c5,000$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,4001,08745.1%490 W · 597 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc6ec…81c2backed Utah7c5,000$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.991625%4 W · 12 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick20cpaid-38.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Avalanche56c4,986$2,775 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,211.2343456%243 W · 191 L+16.2wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x57b9…d142backed Avalanche54c4,815$2,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,214.819752.6%51 W · 46 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd23…e31fbacked Avalanche54c4,540$2,452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,088.44158.5%24 W · 17 L0.0wins0.00per pick59cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Avalanche54c4,400$2,376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,02417247.7%82 W · 90 L-6.4wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Utah5c4,246$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.7939344.8%176 W · 217 L+23.3wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+1.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed Avalanche53c4,149$2,193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,956.131,37749.1%676 W · 701 L+39.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Avalanche54c4,000$2,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,8408657%49 W · 37 L+8.5wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+23.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Avalanche53c4,000$2,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,88060249.5%298 W · 304 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Avalanche53c3,880$2,056 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,823.633243.7%145 W · 187 L-16.1wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x10d4…d953backed Utah49c3,800$1,844 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,84444551.2%228 W · 217 L+16.4wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5581…c029backed Utah1c3,720$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.351050%5 W · 5 L+2.3wins+0.23per pick27cpaid+51.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x221d…e800backed Avalanche60c3,648$2,181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,467.086657.6%38 W · 28 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid0%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x39c6…0ac1backed Avalanche53c3,578$1,896 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,681.4821549.3%106 W · 109 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x467c…8c89backed Avalanche72c3,274$2,346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$927.151758.8%10 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick65cpaid-3.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Avalanche55c3,252$1,792 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,459.811,43450.8%728 W · 706 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Utah47c3,191$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50031550.8%160 W · 155 L-11.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Avalanche51c3,137$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,537.1352050%260 W · 260 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Utah29c3,081$884 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$884.012,75447.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L+11.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Avalanche53c3,000$1,590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,41043548.5%211 W · 224 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x696a…e23abacked Avalanche54c2,778$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,277.781172.7%8 W · 3 L+3.1wins+0.29per pick44cpaid+70.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Utah4c2,770$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11054418%98 W · 446 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick17cpaid-6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Utah19c2,720$523 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$522.922,66451.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x64e9…eb4cbacked Avalanche53c2,607$1,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,227.6310848.1%52 W · 56 L-5.4wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Utah47c2,400$1,121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,121.0591653.9%494 W · 422 L+39.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Utah5c2,253$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.2289636.9%331 W · 565 L-30.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-26.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Avalanche53c2,184$1,158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,026.4884953.8%457 W · 392 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe9f5…3e7abacked Avalanche53c2,160$1,145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,015.26656.1%37 W · 29 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf988…d63bbacked Avalanche53c2,150$1,139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,010.495149%25 W · 26 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e16…0127backed Utah47c2,100$987 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9873545.7%16 W · 19 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Utah47c2,088$981 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$981.3661953.8%333 W · 286 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3265…d5b8backed Utah48c2,000$956 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$955.786750.7%34 W · 33 L+4.6wins+0.07per pick44cpaid-14.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Utah49c1,954$957 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$957.3261959.1%366 W · 253 L+17.9wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Avalanche53c1,928$1,022 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$906.32,89451.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed Avalanche79c1,723$1,366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$357.6485464.2%548 W · 306 L+64.5wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+18.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Avalanche56c1,700$945 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$754.9966951%341 W · 328 L-14.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2586…c893backed Avalanche53c1,548$821 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$727.783652.8%441 W · 395 L+28.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x394e…23d2backed Avalanche53c1,478$783 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$694.48425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-52.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xce4d…a7fabacked Avalanche57c1,387$787 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$600.4725555.3%141 W · 114 L+10.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Avalanche60c1,300$781 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$519.491,30152.6%684 W · 617 L+23.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe0a2…a349backed Utah36c1,230$441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$440.5231744.2%140 W · 177 L+14.6wins+0.05per pick40cpaid-5.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xaff3…6eccbacked Avalanche54c1,106$597 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$508.5922250%111 W · 111 L-1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Utah18c1,077$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.3721555.3%119 W · 96 L+17.3wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+12.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7da6…4ff3backed Utah38c1,059$407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406.9816241.4%67 W · 95 L-6.4wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x47e3…e736backed Utah47c1,057$497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4972152.4%11 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Utah8c1,016$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.2426344.5%117 W · 146 L+0.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb853…0d33backed Utah50c1,001$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50012844.5%57 W · 71 L-8.5wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-13.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9b7a…bc22backed Utah10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10035829.3%105 W · 253 L-12.5wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7430…3af2backed Utah46c1,000$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46015448.1%74 W · 80 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a89…2f26backed Avalanche55c1,000$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45070547.7%336 W · 369 L-26.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x17e5…f205backed Utah1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102420.8%2 W · 240 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick2cpaid-17.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf630…7e65backed Utah46c1,000$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4601154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+31.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2060…9186backed Avalanche54c1,000$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46030855.5%171 W · 137 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Utah2c999.96$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.742504.8%12 W · 238 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick2cpaid+159.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x157b…3096backed Avalanche54c980.17$529 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$450.882045%9 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdab9…cdfcbacked Avalanche55c963.64$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$433.641450%7 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9807…157bbacked Utah42c950$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39920144.8%90 W · 111 L+7.8wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Utah50c902.1$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45047256.8%268 W · 204 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe622…ea5ebacked Utah47c900$423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42322352.9%118 W · 105 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x07d5…c092backed Utah39c878.57$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341.2610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.