NHL · resolved market
Avalanche vs. Utah: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7f9860a1752604af44a1e46851952cb3cbf1da6745dc3845e609862057e06e90
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,567
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,476
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,567 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xda75…bbf9backed Under | 58c | 595$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.9 | 206 | 55.3%114 W · 92 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20a6…0b06backed Under | 57c | 329.69$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.77 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked Over | 44c | 278.16$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.39 | 183 | 44.8%82 W · 101 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62ca…1760backed Over | 43c | 263.4$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.15 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.25per pick | 53cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 42c | 254.34$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.68 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Under | 58c | 253$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.39 | 434 | 56%243 W · 191 L | +16.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 58c | 172.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.45 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e84…5c32backed Over | 43c | 165.63$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.22 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88fb…9278backed Over | 43c | 164.06$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.55 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +28%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Over | 44c | 140.34$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.2 | 253 | 37.9%96 W · 157 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 42c | 119.03$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 786 | 51.8%407 W · 379 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18ff…e90ebacked Over | 44c | 84.96$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.38 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x63ce…dd2ebacked Under | 56c | 84.96$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.38 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 14c | 77.79$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.16 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 60c | 63.49$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.11 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x602d…3534backed Under | 57c | 61.4$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 432 | 56.5%244 W · 188 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Under | 59c | 59.42$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.42 | 212 | 53.3%113 W · 99 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 35c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Over | 43c | 37.21$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 145 | 51%74 W · 71 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 53c | 32$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 920 | 49.7%457 W · 463 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Avalanche vs. Utah: O/U 6.5this page
- Avalanche vs. UtahAvalanche won
- Avalanche vs. Utah: O/U 4.5Over won
- Avalanche vs. Utah: O/U 5.5Over won
- Avalanche vs. Utah: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)Avalanche won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.