Token Launches · resolved market
Will Opinion launch a token by March 31, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7fac4826b3560d396be9918b1f43c6d81ab50cb7bafbf2be59f20330ea911fa1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,361,114
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,361,114 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 260 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0f09…d360backed No | 0c | 62,625$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94cf…3db3backed No | 7c | 43,331$2,859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,858.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd108…6bbcbacked No | 0c | 41,000$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked No | 1c | 34,134$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.94 | 171 | 2.9%5 W · 166 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93cc…ee84backed No | 0c | 30,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x991d…88e3backed No | 0c | 30,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd64e…5516backed No | 15c | 22,202$3,257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,256.55 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed No | 2c | 21,296$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb623…4203backed No | 13c | 20,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,499.99 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…5fb0backed No | 11c | 18,162$2,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,003.52 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6b…267ebacked No | 0c | 17,529$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a2…a79abacked No | 2c | 17,371$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.1 | 103 | 36.9%38 W · 65 L | +8.4wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +63.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b84…ccf2backed No | 0c | 17,311$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.31 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 17cpaid | +62.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed No | 17c | 16,180$2,691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,691.24 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8262…eddebacked No | 7c | 12,447$879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$879.36 | 143 | 35.7%51 W · 92 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x617f…4336backed No | 0c | 12,321$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.38 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x113b…7afdbacked No | 0c | 12,225$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed No | 3c | 10,822$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.89 | 328 | 3%10 W · 318 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked No | 5c | 10,286$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.08 | 61 | 8.2%5 W · 56 L | -7.7wins | -0.13per pick | 21cpaid | -82%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x350e…7528backed No | 0c | 10,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0cc…70babacked No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4cb…001bbacked No | 0c | 10,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 18cpaid | +599.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4181…de86backed No | 5c | 9,432$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.54 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -86.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d28…cc93backed No | 0c | 8,500$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd480…ddc8backed No | 1c | 8,322$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6040…4c57backed No | 12c | 7,359$884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$884.15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…824ebacked No | 11c | 6,935$743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$742.81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 12cpaid | +292.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cb…dcedbacked No | 5c | 6,841$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.71 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57ae…e386backed No | 5c | 6,666$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked No | 3c | 6,455$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.26 | 244 | 2%5 W · 239 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc129…c6c2backed No | 3c | 6,413$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3290…f4bdbacked No | 6c | 6,310$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 14cpaid | +63.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 4c | 6,282$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.2 | 766 | 3.3%25 W · 741 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9582…9891backed No | 3c | 6,280$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.75 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +3.1wins | +0.18per pick | 23cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4fdf…4452backed No | 2c | 6,000$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed No | 4c | 5,346$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.61 | 254 | 1.6%4 W · 250 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bcd…cbfbbacked No | 14c | 5,125$736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$736.39 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb24e…c0bebacked Yes | 77c | 5,105$3,942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,163.21 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd802…e262backed No | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x435f…29b5backed No | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked No | 0c | 4,998$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.48 | 46 | 2.2%1 W · 45 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -80.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed No | 1c | 4,977$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.23 | 206 | 1.9%4 W · 202 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | +62.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5464…af99backed No | 8c | 4,876$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.24 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6130…7fb2backed No | 2c | 4,658$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45d8…969ebacked No | 15c | 4,503$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679.69 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.34per pick | 41cpaid | +64.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f18…c735backed No | 10c | 4,293$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.98 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed No | 10c | 3,980$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.19 | 349 | 5.7%20 W · 329 L | -25.3wins | -0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd585…b1b9backed No | 3c | 3,663$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +5.5wins | +0.20per pick | 27cpaid | +456.1%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3837…82a0backed No | 6c | 3,489$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a1…c14fbacked No | 5c | 3,372$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d65…7d4abacked No | 5c | 3,316$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.63 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 25cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x129b…24c4backed No | 5c | 3,132$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +6.7wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked No | 8c | 2,965$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.57 | 237 | 7.2%17 W · 220 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34e6…cd63backed No | 11c | 2,931$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.02 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed No | 2c | 2,829$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.06 | 233 | 3.4%8 W · 225 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -64.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c42…6e3bbacked No | 15c | 2,744$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.38 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91da…6d5ebacked No | 1c | 2,556$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0044…cb2cbacked No | 7c | 2,532$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.63 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x989c…69f4backed No | 8c | 2,520$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.66 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc56a…65fdbacked No | 6c | 2,403$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.82 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f0…5923backed No | 4c | 2,393$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 7c | 2,333$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.85 | 254 | 22%56 W · 198 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked No | 11c | 2,222$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.64 | 56 | 23.2%13 W · 43 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…783dbacked No | 6c | 2,196$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.9 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | +6.9wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 13c | 2,146$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.66 | 357 | 12.9%46 W · 311 L | -29.9wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x492d…daa3backed No | 2c | 2,089$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf2…887dbacked No | 5c | 2,059$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.86 | 124 | 3.2%4 W · 120 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ad9…7bf6backed No | 8c | 2,027$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.07 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +5.3wins | +0.38per pick | 27cpaid | +231.3%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xc2ca…04f5backed No | 1c | 2,011$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2afd…deb4backed No | 8c | 2,000$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.87 | 43 | 20.9%9 W · 34 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -49%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781a…96e6backed No | 5c | 2,000$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.27per pick | 33cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f6…f699backed No | 5c | 1,916$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.7 | 238 | 41.2%98 W · 140 L | +25.1wins | +0.11per pick | 31cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2d62…0a41backed No | 5c | 1,890$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.73 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3547…b926backed No | 7c | 1,785$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5081…a309backed No | 6c | 1,765$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.49 | 123 | 4.1%5 W · 118 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -50%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeebc…93dfbacked No | 1c | 1,765$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac4…4f44backed No | 2c | 1,726$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.96 | 51 | 0%0 W · 51 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74e0…af4bbacked No | 8c | 1,720$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.22 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f40…e9a8backed No | 6c | 1,718$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87f4…9ed0backed No | 9c | 1,631$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.15 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked No | 5c | 1,604$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.71 | 209 | 4.3%9 W · 200 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 8cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b0d…fec9backed No | 3c | 1,600$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.3 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 17cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe061…93f9backed No | 6c | 1,587$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.35 | 134 | 3.7%5 W · 129 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8952…1f26backed No | 13c | 1,571$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2a…2f1fbacked No | 2c | 1,528$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x417e…15e5backed No | 7c | 1,416$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.67 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…2d33backed No | 7c | 1,374$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9942…5c84backed No | 11c | 1,362$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25dc…e33bbacked No | 7c | 1,354$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.9 | 145 | 48.3%70 W · 75 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaff2…9070backed No | 2c | 1,319$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf68…474ebacked No | 5c | 1,237$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.17 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +2.3wins | +0.13per pick | 28cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9db…d937backed No | 3c | 1,220$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.12 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17d3…9147backed No | 8c | 1,198$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.52 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +4.1wins | +0.16per pick | 31cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6c37…d40fbacked No | 1c | 1,165$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.56 | 40 | 0%0 W · 40 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5334…a8d6backed No | 2c | 1,162$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.78 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3782…3ef4backed No | 6c | 1,156$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 11cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69ea…3508backed No | 1c | 1,147$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4aca…c60abacked No | 8c | 1,139$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.06 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +88.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3986…ea6fbacked No | 2c | 1,138$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf581…0892backed No | 5c | 1,106$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.69 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.23per pick | 37cpaid | +195.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Opinion launch a token by March 31, 2026?this page
- Will Opinion launch a token by December 31, 2026?Yes won
- Will Opinion launch a token by February 17, 2026?No won
- Will Opinion launch a token by February 28, 2026?No won
- Will Opinion launch a token by June 30, 2026?Yes won
- Will Opinion launch a token by September 30, 2026?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.