NBA · resolved market
Spread: Nuggets (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1ef3baa75870094b13fe0adcf6ed19b27d08b1af00ac52654eadd10b99999ed6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nuggetsof Nuggets, Celtics
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $741,704
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $906,151
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $741,704 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 238 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Celtics | 51c | 297,570$151,761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151,760.65 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8dbf…53bebacked Nuggets | 49c | 151,210$74,093 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77,117.2 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Nuggets | 49c | 87,398$42,903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44,495.34 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Nuggets | 49c | 80,000$39,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,799.94 | 431 | 48.7%210 W · 221 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4d…e246backed Celtics | 51c | 65,000$33,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,150 | 296 | 50.3%149 W · 147 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Celtics | 51c | 37,081$18,911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,911.15 | 277 | 47.7%132 W · 145 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Celtics | 50c | 24,980$12,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,490 | 593 | 47%279 W · 314 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Nuggets | 50c | 24,479$12,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,239.5 | 483 | 52%251 W · 232 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Nuggets | 49c | 22,212$10,884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,328.12 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Celtics | 50c | 21,258$10,629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,629.22 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x163e…dc5bbacked Nuggets | 49c | 20,408$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,408.16 | 207 | 58%120 W · 87 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Nuggets | 49c | 15,702$7,694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,008.02 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Nuggets | 49c | 15,182$7,439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,742.82 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8375…ba1dbacked Nuggets | 48c | 11,900$5,712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,187.97 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Nuggets | 50c | 8,422$4,176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,245.62 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb15…0f02backed Nuggets | 49c | 8,122$3,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,142.45 | 166 | 40.4%67 W · 99 L | -14.6wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Nuggets | 49c | 8,001$3,931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,069.93 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…9401backed Nuggets | 48c | 7,370$3,538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,832.36 | 403 | 50.1%202 W · 201 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Celtics | 50c | 7,183$3,605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,604.65 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Nuggets | 49c | 7,112$3,485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,627.24 | 485 | 46.4%225 W · 260 L | -14.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…bc51backed Celtics | 52c | 7,036$3,659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,658.54 | 219 | 44.7%98 W · 121 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Celtics | 52c | 5,767$2,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,999 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e12…20e9backed Nuggets | 49c | 5,431$2,661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,769.61 | 293 | 47.4%139 W · 154 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb106…919abacked Nuggets | 49c | 5,188$2,557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,631.16 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87c3…f1ffbacked Nuggets | 49c | 4,440$2,176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,264.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Celtics | 52c | 4,434$2,306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,305.91 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Nuggets | 50c | 4,020$2,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,010.91 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9194…325ebacked Nuggets | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,960 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Nuggets | 49c | 4,000$1,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,040 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43d8…eb75backed Celtics | 49c | 4,000$1,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,960 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Celtics | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,039.97 | 795 | 49.7%395 W · 400 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Nuggets | 48c | 3,977$1,909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,068.22 | 579 | 50.1%290 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c86…d939backed Nuggets | 50c | 3,565$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,765.11 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Celtics | 48c | 3,296$1,599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,598.59 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Celtics | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,560 | 461 | 45.6%210 W · 251 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Celtics | 51c | 2,500$1,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,275 | 851 | 47.5%404 W · 447 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Celtics | 51c | 2,500$1,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,275 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Celtics | 48c | 2,500$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200.03 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Nuggets | 49c | 2,306$1,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,176.12 | 389 | 46%179 W · 210 L | -13.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2fa…8d54backed Nuggets | 51c | 2,049$1,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,004.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04d2…4c2cbacked Nuggets | 50c | 2,020$1,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,010 | 174 | 54%94 W · 80 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Celtics | 52c | 1,955$1,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,008.83 | 824 | 42.2%348 W · 476 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f06…216ebacked Celtics | 49c | 1,903$932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$932.47 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 50cpaid | +57.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Celtics | 51c | 1,900$962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$961.99 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f37…4d4bbacked Nuggets | 51c | 1,898$968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$930.02 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd942…f9d3backed Celtics | 52c | 1,719$894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$893.99 | 211 | 42.7%90 W · 121 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Celtics | 27c | 1,597$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.6 | 221 | 40.7%90 W · 131 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc589…0bd6backed Celtics | 59c | 1,356$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79b0…ea3bbacked Celtics | 51c | 1,180$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.8 | 151 | 54.3%82 W · 69 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65b6…2108backed Celtics | 4c | 1,160$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.38 | 358 | 44.1%158 W · 200 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17ff…d7afbacked Nuggets | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.41 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5330…0bfabacked Celtics | 48c | 1,020$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.6 | 131 | 42.7%56 W · 75 L | -8.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Nuggets | 41c | 1,003$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$591.67 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Nuggets | 49c | 1,001$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.2 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5623…6930backed Celtics | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 239 | 38.1%91 W · 148 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbb…acb2backed Nuggets | 51c | 933.14$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.86 | 890 | 50.4%449 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a9…45ffbacked Nuggets | 49c | 836.73$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.73 | 238 | 50%119 W · 119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked Nuggets | 45c | 827.66$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.01 | 443 | 52.4%232 W · 211 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19ad…34debacked Nuggets | 49c | 800$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -28%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc63…f1c7backed Nuggets | 51c | 800$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 506 | 53.2%269 W · 237 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x198c…6a94backed Nuggets | 50c | 800$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 119 | 46.2%55 W · 64 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc070…203abacked Celtics | 51c | 784.31$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 98 | 43.9%43 W · 55 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Celtics | 52c | 737$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.24 | 478 | 56.5%270 W · 208 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfc8…e7a9backed Celtics | 49c | 724.48$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe537…c1e6backed Celtics | 49c | 700$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb98…8d58backed Celtics | 49c | 624.48$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Nuggets | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.24 | 649 | 44.7%290 W · 359 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcea6…67adbacked Nuggets | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 284 | 48.2%137 W · 147 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Celtics | 51c | 599.99$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306 | 493 | 45.2%223 W · 270 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…dbc6backed Nuggets | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.92 | 476 | 51.7%246 W · 230 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcede…6736backed Nuggets | 49c | 574.88$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.19 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5737…6424backed Celtics | 51c | 564.71$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Celtics | 27c | 535.02$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.01 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Nuggets | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 236 | 44.1%104 W · 132 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4113…e904backed Nuggets | 43c | 468.47$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.47 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ff3…1aa9backed Celtics | 49c | 445$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.05 | 196 | 45.9%90 W · 106 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36c1…deecbacked Nuggets | 48c | 416.98$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.98 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…3c89backed Nuggets | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 656 | 49.2%323 W · 333 L | +9.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81ea…8b9abacked Nuggets | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 156 | 50%78 W · 78 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Nuggets | 51c | 400$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 289 | 29.4%85 W · 204 L | -13.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d4b…a250backed Celtics | 51c | 400$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 344 | 47.4%163 W · 181 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…e032backed Nuggets | 50c | 399.96$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.96 | 190 | 45.8%87 W · 103 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69e7…d3b0backed Celtics | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 122 | 45.1%55 W · 67 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Celtics | 50c | 350.88$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.44 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6cd…e027backed Celtics | 58c | 350$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203 | 303 | 48.2%146 W · 157 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1aaa…0c04backed Celtics | 61c | 321.13$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.71 | 136 | 44.1%60 W · 76 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cb…85babacked Celtics | 50c | 302.42$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.22 | 522 | 42.7%223 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc25…4fa8backed Nuggets | 50c | 288.68$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.34 | 108 | 49.1%53 W · 55 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cbb…f8a3backed Celtics | 52c | 288.46$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9de4…7f2ebacked Celtics | 52c | 288.46$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 98 | 42.9%42 W · 56 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1110…0123backed Nuggets | 50c | 287.28$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.64 | 46 | 60.9%28 W · 18 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…96b9backed Nuggets | 49c | 270.1$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.75 | 405 | 46.9%190 W · 215 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02ea…220cbacked Celtics | 53c | 266.39$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.66 | 88 | 26.1%23 W · 65 L | -12.5wins | -0.14per pick | 40cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xea4b…dedebacked Nuggets | 49c | 249.47$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.23 | 80 | 55%44 W · 36 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfec2…921ebacked Nuggets | 52c | 242$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Nuggets | 49c | 235.52$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.12 | 1,003 | 51%512 W · 491 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd92d…e560backed Celtics | 48c | 231.79$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.26 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Nuggets | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 521 | 46.6%243 W · 278 L | -14.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Nuggets | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Nuggets | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 177 | 58.2%103 W · 74 L | +11.0wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Nuggets (-3.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Nuggets (-2.5)Celtics won
- Celtics vs. NuggetsNuggets won
- Celtics vs. Nuggets: 1H MoneylineCeltics won
- Celtics vs. Nuggets: 1H O/U 117.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Nuggets: 1H O/U 118.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Nuggets: O/U 227.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Nuggets: O/U 228.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Nuggets: O/U 229.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Nuggets: O/U 230.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Nuggets: O/U 231.5Under won
- Christian Braun: Points O/U 10.5No won
- Derrick White: Points O/U 17.5Yes won
- Jaylen Brown: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Jaylen Brown: Points O/U 28.5No won
- Jaylen Brown: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Julian Strawther: Points O/U 10.5Yes won
- Neemias Queta: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- Nikola Jokić: Points O/U 27.5Yes won
- Nikola Vučević: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Nikola Vučević: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Spread: Nuggets (-4.5)Nuggets won
- Tim Hardaway Jr.: Points O/U 10.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.