NBA · resolved market
Spread: Nuggets (-4.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xafff66482d561614284a3a8d646e219e4551c19b44cc4da54bf62fe60af875e3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nuggetsof Nuggets, Celtics
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $178,185
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $174,939
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $178,185 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 150 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Celtics | 55c | 77,280$42,504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42,504.09 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c1…9fe2backed Nuggets | 45c | 61,640$27,738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,902 | 72 | 40.3%29 W · 43 L | -5.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked Nuggets | 45c | 9,913$4,461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,452.06 | 443 | 52.4%232 W · 211 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Celtics | 54c | 8,296$4,506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,505.89 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked Nuggets | 45c | 8,101$3,645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,455.44 | 249 | 42.2%105 W · 144 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc57b…f890backed Nuggets | 46c | 6,522$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,521.73 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Nuggets | 45c | 5,891$2,652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,239.04 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Nuggets | 71c | 5,728$4,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,658.3 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2f3…2d1ebacked Celtics | 54c | 5,648$3,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,050 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Nuggets | 47c | 5,547$2,595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,952.27 | 513 | 54.2%278 W · 235 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Celtics | 55c | 5,442$2,993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,993.03 | 277 | 47.7%132 W · 145 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65d6…6d6bbacked Celtics | 12c | 5,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 128 | 44.5%57 W · 71 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c86…d939backed Nuggets | 46c | 3,871$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,071.07 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Nuggets | 45c | 3,600$1,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,980 | 316 | 44.6%141 W · 175 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfec0…c47fbacked Celtics | 54c | 3,200$1,728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,728 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87c3…f1ffbacked Nuggets | 45c | 3,084$1,396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,688.49 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb106…919abacked Nuggets | 45c | 3,084$1,388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,696.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ff3…1aa9backed Celtics | 54c | 2,800$1,512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,512 | 196 | 45.9%90 W · 106 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd018…60fcbacked Celtics | 54c | 2,800$1,512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,512 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Nuggets | 45c | 2,665$1,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,465.75 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3d…2a02backed Nuggets | 46c | 2,600$1,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,404 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 47cpaid | +115.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Celtics | 55c | 2,500$1,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,375 | 851 | 47.5%404 W · 447 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Nuggets | 47c | 2,405$1,139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,265.84 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa91e…de6cbacked Nuggets | 46c | 2,400$1,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,296 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 47cpaid | +115.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Celtics | 58c | 2,243$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 419 | 54.4%228 W · 191 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Celtics | 53c | 2,200$1,174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,174 | 672 | 52.7%354 W · 318 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Nuggets | 42c | 2,200$924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,275.97 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2f…ef1abacked Nuggets | 45c | 2,063$928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,134.52 | 185 | 53%98 W · 87 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea22…747abacked Celtics | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 679 | 21.4%145 W · 534 L | +32.4wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5330…0bfabacked Celtics | 53c | 1,959$1,038 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,038.26 | 131 | 42.7%56 W · 75 L | -8.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Celtics | 54c | 1,946$1,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050.92 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd942…f9d3backed Celtics | 56c | 1,786$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 211 | 42.7%90 W · 121 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5351…9b3cbacked Nuggets | 45c | 1,753$789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$964.29 | 203 | 55.2%112 W · 91 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Nuggets | 42c | 1,598$677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$921.03 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca5…73bcbacked Celtics | 56c | 1,364$764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$764 | 404 | 51.5%208 W · 196 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6cd…e027backed Celtics | 53c | 1,257$671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670.74 | 303 | 48.2%146 W · 157 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Nuggets | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a33…7909backed Celtics | 68c | 835.39$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.6 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Nuggets | 45c | 788.53$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.69 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Nuggets | 43c | 723.53$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.43 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Celtics | 53c | 679.52$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.51 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x510c…0025backed Nuggets | 46c | 648.15$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf09f…8049backed Celtics | 55c | 599.79$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.88 | 666 | 45.9%306 W · 360 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0d2…ad14backed Celtics | 56c | 535.71$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0791…6b47backed Celtics | 54c | 521.72$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.73 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e5…697abacked Celtics | 56c | 400$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224 | 206 | 50%103 W · 103 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec5…9fe0backed Celtics | 35c | 380.93$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 168 | 53%89 W · 79 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Nuggets | 53c | 368.78$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.07 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Nuggets | 50c | 361.6$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.12 | 903 | 57%515 W · 388 L | +40.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c00…741dbacked Celtics | 46c | 346.51$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.56 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x724a…e2c0backed Celtics | 64c | 315$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.6 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8fe…9f73backed Nuggets | 48c | 306.1$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.17 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Nuggets | 46c | 294.15$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.77 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c29…21aabacked Nuggets | 70c | 293.85$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.2 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa42a…d91fbacked Nuggets | 47c | 293.62$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.62 | 623 | 47.5%296 W · 327 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Nuggets | 46c | 284.83$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.44 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda76…221fbacked Celtics | 18c | 282.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked Nuggets | 46c | 266$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.64 | 456 | 46.7%213 W · 243 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Nuggets | 36c | 265$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.6 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Celtics | 52c | 252.97$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.5 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb503…7552backed Nuggets | 46c | 239.13$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.13 | 141 | 55.3%78 W · 63 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4546…a2c2backed Celtics | 52c | 235.41$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.41 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Nuggets | 46c | 228.26$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.26 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe86…6763backed Celtics | 67c | 223.28$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.45 | 102 | 43.1%44 W · 58 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Nuggets | 48c | 220$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.28 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Nuggets | 36c | 209.54$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.02 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd5…26ccbacked Celtics | 56c | 200$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 516 | 51%263 W · 253 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc036…7df5backed Celtics | 15c | 198.35$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.19 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Celtics | 55c | 191$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.05 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dde…2c06backed Celtics | 54c | 184.98$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.89 | 154 | 48.7%75 W · 79 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Nuggets | 43c | 180.35$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.58 | 221 | 40.7%90 W · 131 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65d8…bac6backed Celtics | 56c | 178.87$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.95 | 383 | 50.4%193 W · 190 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…8283backed Celtics | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 295 | 54.6%161 W · 134 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c8…f30abacked Celtics | 58c | 173.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 101 | 49.5%50 W · 51 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a0…1f3dbacked Celtics | 14c | 172.72$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 167 | 25.7%43 W · 124 L | -12.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Nuggets | 46c | 165.17$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.76 | 874 | 53.3%466 W · 408 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Celtics | 32c | 164.05$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.14 | 402 | 43.8%176 W · 226 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2967…4f29backed Nuggets | 69c | 145.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2099…3024backed Celtics | 9c | 137.49$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.81 | 111 | 28.8%32 W · 79 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Nuggets | 46c | 135.33$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.08 | 241 | 51.9%125 W · 116 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Nuggets | 46c | 133$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.82 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…bc4abacked Celtics | 53c | 110$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.3 | 378 | 50.3%190 W · 188 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c39…20eebacked Nuggets | 46c | 108.41$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.54 | 358 | 43.6%156 W · 202 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Nuggets | 46c | 106.9$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.73 | 1,425 | 47.7%680 W · 745 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf10e…4c13backed Nuggets | 46c | 105.48$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.96 | 209 | 49.3%103 W · 106 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Nuggets | 61c | 100.44$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.2 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46df…b057backed Celtics | 55c | 96.36$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 211 | 64.5%136 W · 75 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…bb62backed Celtics | 56c | 90.82$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.86 | 110 | 45.5%50 W · 60 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa0…be2dbacked Celtics | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 94 | 45.7%43 W · 51 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc345…2c35backed Nuggets | 47c | 88.99$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.54 | 108 | 56.5%61 W · 47 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b7c…4394backed Celtics | 28c | 87.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0f49…fec0backed Nuggets | 69c | 87.7$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.19 | 378 | 48.7%184 W · 194 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48cf…c7dfbacked Celtics | 54c | 87.14$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 364 | 53%193 W · 171 L | -17.0wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Celtics | 55c | 80.1$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.06 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x859d…3cecbacked Nuggets | 45c | 76.59$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.12 | 508 | 41.7%212 W · 296 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x709f…96ecbacked Celtics | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2c…dac5backed Celtics | 54c | 71$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.34 | 423 | 48.5%205 W · 218 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5337…222bbacked Nuggets | 34c | 68.33$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.1 | 123 | 31.7%39 W · 84 L | -17.0wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Nuggets | 58c | 68$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.79 | 619 | 39.6%245 W · 374 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60c2…8052backed Nuggets | 46c | 65.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.22 | 153 | 47.1%72 W · 81 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Nuggets (-4.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Nuggets (-2.5)Celtics won
- Celtics vs. NuggetsNuggets won
- Celtics vs. Nuggets: 1H MoneylineCeltics won
- Celtics vs. Nuggets: 1H O/U 117.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Nuggets: 1H O/U 118.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Nuggets: O/U 227.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Nuggets: O/U 228.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Nuggets: O/U 229.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Nuggets: O/U 230.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Nuggets: O/U 231.5Under won
- Christian Braun: Points O/U 10.5No won
- Derrick White: Points O/U 17.5Yes won
- Jaylen Brown: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Jaylen Brown: Points O/U 28.5No won
- Jaylen Brown: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Julian Strawther: Points O/U 10.5Yes won
- Neemias Queta: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- Nikola Jokić: Points O/U 27.5Yes won
- Nikola Vučević: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Nikola Vučević: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Spread: Nuggets (-3.5)Nuggets won
- Tim Hardaway Jr.: Points O/U 10.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.