NBA · resolved market

Celtics vs. Nuggets

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x78541e7dbc150ea9890d66616fd120466ca85bc0ffe07ed58cf355dab05f8b58

Rebuilt 9 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Nuggetsof Celtics, Nuggets
Resolved: Feb 26, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $3,801,079
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $3,945,521

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,801,079 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 2,413 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x8e43…a3cdbacked Celtics	42c	354,259$150,393 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150,393.42	435	42.8%186 W · 249 L	-7.6wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Nuggets	57c	142,924$81,466 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61,457.16	593	47%279 W · 314 L	-7.3wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa07c…11a0backed Celtics	45c	114,986$51,700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51,700	181	40.3%73 W · 108 L	+1.8wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	+11.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a57…2afabacked Nuggets	58c	100,000$58,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42,000	89	44.9%40 W · 49 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Celtics	21c	97,650$20,027 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20,026.69	4,878	48%2,341 W · 2,537 L	+61.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbddf…c684backed Celtics	42c	87,818$36,884 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36,883.63	726	48.3%351 W · 375 L	+30.5wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+11%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7744…999ebacked Celtics	42c	82,951$35,090 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35,089.62	16	25%4 W · 12 L	-1.8wins	-0.11per pick	36cpaid	-42.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked Celtics	41c	79,675$32,547 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32,547.44	871	44.7%389 W · 482 L	+14.9wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8a8…a48ebacked Nuggets	59c	73,988$43,939 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30,049.31	143	58.7%84 W · 59 L	+12.9wins	+0.09per pick	50cpaid	+20.4%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Nuggets	58c	65,450$38,123 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27,327.04	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3a55…394ebacked Nuggets	58c	54,560$31,779 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22,780.2	81	50.6%41 W · 40 L	+1.5wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+17.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe2cf…d1e7backed Celtics	18c	53,842$9,900 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,899.7	32	71.9%23 W · 9 L	+3.1wins	+0.10per pick	62cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0eb7…1f17backed Celtics	28c	53,305$14,807 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14,806.64	423	48%203 W · 220 L	-5.5wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-15%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Celtics	32c	51,628$16,271 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16,270.53	1,096	40.9%448 W · 648 L	+34.3wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	-17%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked Nuggets	55c	50,797$28,112 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22,684.4	344	56.7%195 W · 149 L	+9.2wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4eef…3fcbbacked Nuggets	57c	50,000$28,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21,499.9	119	55.5%66 W · 53 L	+2.2wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4900…4a72backed Nuggets	77c	47,092$36,118 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,974.6	59	40.7%24 W · 35 L	-12.5wins	-0.21per pick	62cpaid	-41.1%equal weight	33-0.15 edge/pick
0x1041…f452backed Nuggets	58c	46,293$26,850 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19,443.1	269	49.1%132 W · 137 L	-5.8wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x38c2…d3a7backed Nuggets	54c	45,563$24,800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20,762.75	224	58.9%132 W · 92 L	+10.0wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+7.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x08c5…43edbacked Nuggets	50c	43,642$21,803 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21,839.18	443	52.4%232 W · 211 L	+10.3wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Celtics	42c	38,727$16,265 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16,265.33	277	47.7%132 W · 145 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Nuggets	58c	37,519$21,761 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15,757.87	1,194	48.8%583 W · 611 L	-22.7wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b5a…bb9bbacked Celtics	50c	36,609$18,238 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18,238.2	165	47.3%78 W · 87 L	-2.7wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	+56.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Nuggets	50c	34,167$16,927 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17,239.51	3,995	48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L	+101.9wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Celtics	42c	32,165$13,620 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13,619.5	2,045	48.4%990 W · 1,055 L	-30.3wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Nuggets	59c	31,158$18,271 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12,886.68	4,325	47%2,031 W · 2,294 L	-69.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf11…8399backed Celtics	42c	30,247$12,644 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,643.65	375	39.5%148 W · 227 L	-1.2wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Nuggets	58c	30,135$17,442 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12,693.74	5,053	50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L	+110.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Nuggets	60c	29,644$17,724 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,919.99	1,908	54.5%1,040 W · 868 L	+53.7wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x11db…841fbacked Celtics	0c	25,000$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	227	0%0 W · 227 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5330…0bfabacked Celtics	40c	24,538$9,875 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,875.49	131	42.7%56 W · 75 L	-8.3wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3e6f…cf73backed Celtics	41c	22,275$9,133 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,132.86	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-1.0wins	-0.26per pick	51cpaid	-53.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked Nuggets	60c	22,167$13,403 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,764.04	489	56.4%276 W · 213 L	+31.3wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Nuggets	57c	22,035$12,611 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,424.27	724	50.7%367 W · 357 L	+13.1wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Nuggets	60c	21,434$12,947 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,487.29	1,190	32%381 W · 809 L	-58.1wins	-0.05per pick	37cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdb78…5206backed Nuggets	49c	21,282$10,459 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,823.81	27	33.3%9 W · 18 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa4f5…1079backed Celtics	23c	21,203$4,824 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,823.52	50	48%24 W · 26 L	+2.0wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Nuggets	58c	20,633$11,952 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,681.81	1,374	50.1%689 W · 685 L	+34.9wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Nuggets	57c	20,416$11,677 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,738.83	1,046	51.1%534 W · 512 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x77d3…f4d6backed Nuggets	60c	20,247$12,241 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,006.71	292	50%146 W · 146 L	+9.2wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d5c…4302backed Nuggets	60c	17,877$10,726 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,150.62	109	52.3%57 W · 52 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbdac…f7e2backed Celtics	42c	17,598$7,391 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,391.32	191	36.1%69 W · 122 L	-15.3wins	-0.08per pick	44cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Nuggets	58c	17,401$10,107 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,294.02	2,078	53.6%1,113 W · 965 L	+44.6wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Nuggets	58c	17,081$9,888 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,193.22	596	53.4%318 W · 278 L	+4.3wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c86…d939backed Nuggets	59c	17,009$10,011 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,997.79	56	55.4%31 W · 25 L	+4.4wins	+0.08per pick	47cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1e29…9e66backed Nuggets	49c	17,004$8,299 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,704.89	502	41.2%207 W · 295 L	-3.8wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe0a…4a63backed Celtics	42c	16,639$7,037 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,037.46	43	27.9%12 W · 31 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	28cpaid	-18%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Celtics	39c	16,597$6,440 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,439.78	3,668	41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L	-70.7wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ff3…1aa9backed Celtics	41c	16,121$6,609 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,609.43	196	45.9%90 W · 106 L	-4.0wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7517…0353backed Nuggets	54c	15,590$8,441 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,148.85	278	65.8%183 W · 95 L	+25.4wins	+0.09per pick	57cpaid	+10.2%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8c10…8977backed Nuggets	60c	14,741$8,893 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,847.19	623	47.7%297 W · 326 L	-9.7wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Nuggets	55c	14,601$8,096 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,504.76	2,666	48%1,279 W · 1,387 L	-8.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Nuggets	58c	14,460$8,387 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,073.2	927	53.5%496 W · 431 L	+20.1wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x65d6…6d6bbacked Celtics	39c	13,883$5,355 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,355.43	128	44.5%57 W · 71 L	-2.6wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Celtics	40c	13,428$5,417 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,417.24	513	54.2%278 W · 235 L	+9.2wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb64…5e23backed Celtics	31c	13,008$4,093 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,093.18	265	30.9%82 W · 183 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	31cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc2c1…9fe2backed Nuggets	58c	12,563$7,286 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,276.43	72	40.3%29 W · 43 L	-5.9wins	-0.08per pick	48cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed Celtics	41c	11,892$4,861 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,860.81	375	57.6%216 W · 159 L	+4.2wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1467…4372backed Celtics	43c	11,860$5,100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,100	97	43.3%42 W · 55 L	-4.4wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-12%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1196…fe97backed Nuggets	50c	11,829$5,915 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,914.5	68	41.2%28 W · 40 L	+2.3wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe5d7…a72fbacked Nuggets	59c	11,323$6,681 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,642.6	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.3wins	+0.09per pick	58cpaid	+23.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b9a…5f69backed Celtics	1c	11,058$121 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120.6	521	3.8%20 W · 501 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-36.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4891…0b2cbacked Nuggets	59c	10,982$6,479 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,502.62	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x44f7…266fbacked Celtics	0c	10,963$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.93	457	3.5%16 W · 441 L	+4.4wins	+0.01per pick	3cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc4c…444cbacked Nuggets	51c	10,800$5,464 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,336	64	40.6%26 W · 38 L	+1.3wins	+0.02per pick	39cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Nuggets	60c	10,608$6,327 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,281.66	3,591	50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L	+21.6wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd568…a35abacked Celtics	47c	10,590$5,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,000	77	58.4%45 W · 32 L	+4.5wins	+0.06per pick	53cpaid	+9.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd359…6007backed Nuggets	59c	10,364$6,115 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,249.35	23	43.5%10 W · 13 L	-2.3wins	-0.10per pick	53cpaid	-27.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Nuggets	59c	10,307$6,111 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,196.05	1,212	48.3%586 W · 626 L	-20.4wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e00…eb46backed Nuggets	58c	10,222$5,929 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,293.11	363	51.2%186 W · 177 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Nuggets	51c	10,045$5,125 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,920.25	1,556	52.8%822 W · 734 L	+40.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3eeb…c387backed Celtics	42c	10,000$4,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,200	204	54.9%112 W · 92 L	+3.0wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3ea…bb01backed Nuggets	50c	10,000$5,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,000	56	48.2%27 W · 29 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Celtics	49c	10,000$4,900 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,899.95	1,124	48.6%546 W · 578 L	+13.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x69e9…dee1backed Celtics	57c	9,789$5,610 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,610.4	33	33.3%11 W · 22 L	-6.0wins	-0.18per pick	52cpaid	-41.5%equal weight	38-0.10 edge/pick
0x835c…8e3bbacked Nuggets	59c	9,745$5,725 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,020.65	60	40%24 W · 36 L	-6.7wins	-0.11per pick	51cpaid	-24.5%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked Nuggets	58c	9,736$5,647 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,089.12	483	52%251 W · 232 L	+10.2wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b9c…7e44backed Nuggets	57c	9,263$5,280 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,983.01	56	58.9%33 W · 23 L	+1.8wins	+0.03per pick	56cpaid	+2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x64e9…eb4cbacked Celtics	42c	9,000$3,806 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,806.47	352	51.1%180 W · 172 L	+8.7wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3d34…3406backed Celtics	54c	8,979$4,822 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,822.17	161	62.7%101 W · 60 L	+5.3wins	+0.03per pick	59cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x52ed…8db7backed Nuggets	60c	8,623$5,169 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,454.2	393	49.1%193 W · 200 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Celtics	32c	8,603$2,794 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,794	626	52.2%327 W · 299 L	-6.0wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc6fd…f43ebacked Celtics	42c	8,095$3,400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,400	107	46.7%50 W · 57 L	-4.2wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ab4…3cb7backed Celtics	14c	8,054$1,110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,109.81	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-1.1wins	-0.22per pick	22cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe70a…6de8backed Celtics	54c	8,045$4,377 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,376.65	84	60.7%51 W · 33 L	+6.3wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x34fc…050cbacked Celtics	40c	8,000$3,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,200	80	52.5%42 W · 38 L	+1.6wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a3f…914abacked Celtics	49c	7,500$3,693 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,693.46	426	40.4%172 W · 254 L	+13.9wins	+0.03per pick	37cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc480…0caabacked Nuggets	59c	7,234$4,270 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,963.44	132	49.2%65 W · 67 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9438…ad81backed Celtics	3c	7,228$249 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$249.45	317	9.5%30 W · 287 L	-4.0wins	-0.01per pick	11cpaid	-59.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Celtics	45c	7,112$3,205 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,205.49	1,003	34.7%348 W · 655 L	-44.7wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-35.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd3fa…a26cbacked Celtics	43c	7,000$3,010 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,010	245	49%120 W · 125 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c75…b299backed Nuggets	58c	7,000$4,060 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,940	44	38.6%17 W · 27 L	-2.4wins	-0.05per pick	44cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x226b…cad6backed Celtics	42c	7,000$2,940 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,939.96	19	57.9%11 W · 8 L	+3.0wins	+0.16per pick	42cpaid	+24.8%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Celtics	47c	6,832$3,187 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,186.78	773	48.5%375 W · 398 L	+7.7wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb077…8fe8backed Nuggets	47c	6,791$3,212 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,579.3	155	49.7%77 W · 78 L	-6.6wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4219…7855backed Nuggets	46c	6,575$3,050 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,525.18	42	59.5%25 W · 17 L	+2.3wins	+0.05per pick	54cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Nuggets	67c	6,515$4,389 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,126.56	402	43.8%176 W · 226 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Nuggets	59c	6,400$3,781 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,618.75	866	41.5%359 W · 507 L	-2.2wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Celtics	43c	6,145$2,642 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,642.18	824	42.2%348 W · 476 L	-3.7wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2fd2…1e85backed Celtics	45c	6,047$2,698 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,698.23	91	31.9%29 W · 62 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Celtics vs. Nuggetsthis page
1H Spread: Nuggets (-2.5)Celtics won
Celtics vs. Nuggets: 1H MoneylineCeltics won
Celtics vs. Nuggets: 1H O/U 117.5Under won
Celtics vs. Nuggets: 1H O/U 118.5Under won
Celtics vs. Nuggets: O/U 227.5Under won
Celtics vs. Nuggets: O/U 228.5Under won
Celtics vs. Nuggets: O/U 229.5Under won
Celtics vs. Nuggets: O/U 230.5Under won
Celtics vs. Nuggets: O/U 231.5Under won
Christian Braun: Points O/U 10.5No won
Derrick White: Points O/U 17.5Yes won
Jaylen Brown: Assists O/U 4.5No won
Jaylen Brown: Points O/U 28.5No won
Jaylen Brown: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
Julian Strawther: Points O/U 10.5Yes won
Neemias Queta: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
Nikola Jokić: Points O/U 27.5Yes won
Nikola Vučević: Points O/U 12.5No won
Nikola Vučević: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
Spread: Nuggets (-3.5)Nuggets won
Spread: Nuggets (-4.5)Nuggets won
Tim Hardaway Jr.: Points O/U 10.5Yes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Celtics vs. Nuggets

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event