NBA · resolved market
Celtics vs. Nuggets: O/U 228.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x90fd64887c7342be41fcd21aa004f0bb91335f450142119a27941526290f7dba
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $179,086
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $179,339
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $179,086 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 132 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 49c | 49,952$24,384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,567.86 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Over | 51c | 33,025$16,771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,771.36 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Over | 51c | 13,107$6,684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,684.42 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Over | 51c | 10,619$5,458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,458.15 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…0840backed Under | 49c | 10,204$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,204.08 | 266 | 48.5%129 W · 137 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Over | 51c | 9,245$4,715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,715.18 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x011c…31dfbacked Under | 49c | 7,406$3,629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,777.12 | 334 | 47.9%160 W · 174 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 51c | 7,348$3,764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,763.58 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked Over | 52c | 6,710$3,521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,521.21 | 443 | 52.4%232 W · 211 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Under | 49c | 6,122$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,122.45 | 389 | 46%179 W · 210 L | -13.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Under | 49c | 6,122$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,122.44 | 485 | 46.4%225 W · 260 L | -14.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Under | 49c | 5,881$2,882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,999.44 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 50c | 5,692$2,846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,845.82 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x786d…c64bbacked Over | 53c | 5,650$3,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd92d…c447backed Under | 47c | 5,650$2,656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,994.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Over | 51c | 4,700$2,397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,397 | 483 | 52%251 W · 232 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34cd…9675backed Under | 48c | 4,583$2,214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,368.99 | 226 | 48.2%109 W · 117 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 50c | 4,068$2,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,039.04 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Under | 49c | 4,000$1,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,040 | 795 | 49.7%395 W · 400 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Under | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 48c | 3,495$1,694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,801.01 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe584…e6e2backed Under | 51c | 3,234$1,649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,584.5 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb784…61d0backed Over | 51c | 2,945$1,502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,501.85 | 293 | 51.5%151 W · 142 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3619…a62fbacked Over | 51c | 2,886$1,472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,472 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Over | 50c | 2,883$1,442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,441.57 | 513 | 54.2%278 W · 235 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x608f…553fbacked Over | 52c | 2,857$1,472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,471.71 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 54cpaid | -73%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked Over | 49c | 2,011$985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$985.49 | 357 | 49.6%177 W · 180 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe85d…95d8backed Under | 62c | 1,962$1,216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$746.07 | 153 | 55.6%85 W · 68 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 38c | 1,800$684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$684 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 73c | 1,475$1,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.98 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 50c | 1,413$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$712.68 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 52c | 1,383$716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$715.9 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Over | 51c | 1,194$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.18 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5e…61b4backed Over | 40c | 915.7$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.75 | 66 | 63.6%42 W · 24 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Under | 76c | 893.05$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.93 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea22…747abacked Over | 2c | 877.17$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.87 | 679 | 21.4%145 W · 534 L | +32.4wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x92d8…0924backed Over | 49c | 870.82$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.7 | 240 | 45.4%109 W · 131 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 50c | 783.72$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.23 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa61f…7993backed Over | 50c | 700$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 617 | 47.8%295 W · 322 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7715…ada4backed Over | 51c | 685$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.35 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Under | 53c | 639.86$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.78 | 402 | 43.8%176 W · 226 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1311…a3abbacked Under | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.24 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Over | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 672 | 52.7%354 W · 318 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed Over | 49c | 546.26$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266 | 529 | 51.2%271 W · 258 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa009…a6efbacked Over | 21c | 476.95$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 147 | 42.2%62 W · 85 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb6…7245backed Over | 44c | 456.04$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.5 | 150 | 34%51 W · 99 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Under | 49c | 418.39$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.38 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8849…9a83backed Over | 25c | 403.72$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 561 | 54.5%306 W · 255 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 898 | 53.1%477 W · 421 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 52c | 394.73$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.21 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 51c | 392$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.92 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…e032backed Over | 52c | 384.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 190 | 45.8%87 W · 103 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…738bbacked Over | 51c | 323.11$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.78 | 324 | 50.3%163 W · 161 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a84…0e54backed Over | 50c | 302$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151 | 142 | 48.6%69 W · 73 L | +7.9wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe5af…f9e3backed Over | 51c | 285.86$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.77 | 234 | 46.2%108 W · 126 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabde…d41fbacked Over | 51c | 262.12$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.92 | 419 | 47.7%200 W · 219 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Under | 48c | 249.7$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.47 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82f6…1848backed Over | 52c | 240.6$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.11 | 121 | 52.1%63 W · 58 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93a4…6bdbbacked Over | 48c | 230.54$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.16 | 59 | 32.2%19 W · 40 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…4856backed Over | 50c | 203$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.5 | 241 | 51%123 W · 118 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb227…8809backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 111 | 57.7%64 W · 47 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…c20dbacked Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 170 | 35.9%61 W · 109 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 50c | 190.31$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.16 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 56c | 174.22$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.62 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 49c | 172.59$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.25 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Over | 52c | 157.12$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.7 | 1,003 | 51%512 W · 491 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee1…377abacked Over | 48c | 155.51$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed Over | 50c | 146$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 382 | 42.9%164 W · 218 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa33c…1b33backed Under | 50c | 125.88$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.4 | 628 | 44.9%282 W · 346 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Over | 22c | 124.58$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.55 | 903 | 57%515 W · 388 L | +40.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Under | 47c | 115.79$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.52 | 911 | 48.1%438 W · 473 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad31…1c1dbacked Over | 52c | 115.38$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Under | 68c | 115.13$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.08 | 655 | 42.9%281 W · 374 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dc…ab58backed Over | 50c | 112$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 102 | 51%52 W · 50 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 14c | 112$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.37 | 1,170 | 50.3%588 W · 582 L | +46.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba3…8cb2backed Over | 51c | 110$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.1 | 97 | 58.8%57 W · 40 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed Under | 50c | 102$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.51 | 1,018 | 51.6%525 W · 493 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Under | 78c | 100.95$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.21 | 658 | 72.8%479 W · 179 L | +46.1wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x43f9…2c69backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35fa…2bd4backed Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…fa73backed Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 86 | 51.2%44 W · 42 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b49…1f54backed Over | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.5 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 51c | 99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.49 | 1,634 | 48.1%786 W · 848 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3af5…caebbacked Under | 50c | 98.04$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.02 | 118 | 50%59 W · 59 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92cf…8b35backed Over | 52c | 96.35$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,110 | 52%577 W · 533 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Over | 49c | 92.98$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.13 | 221 | 40.7%90 W · 131 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x434e…a62ebacked Over | 52c | 92.19$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.94 | 217 | 48.4%105 W · 112 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fa…222bbacked Under | 50c | 81.94$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.13 | 182 | 50%91 W · 91 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 52c | 81.3$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.27 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56b3…2c42backed Over | 50c | 81.2$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.6 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb231…0363backed Over | 23c | 73.27$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Under | 45c | 66.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.67 | 554 | 44.4%246 W · 308 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Under | 48c | 61.3$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.62 | 1,322 | 49.9%660 W · 662 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Under | 50c | 56.49$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.41 | 927 | 50.6%469 W · 458 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Under | 77c | 56$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 666 | 46.8%312 W · 354 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbcf…20aebacked Under | 51c | 55$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.95 | 289 | 43.3%125 W · 164 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9310…5e55backed Over | 52c | 53.85$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 625 | 46.9%293 W · 332 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd774…82cdbacked Under | 50c | 52$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 355 | 51.3%182 W · 173 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59d0…a871backed Under | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Celtics vs. Nuggets: O/U 228.5this page
- 1H Spread: Nuggets (-2.5)Celtics won
- Celtics vs. NuggetsNuggets won
- Celtics vs. Nuggets: 1H MoneylineCeltics won
- Celtics vs. Nuggets: 1H O/U 117.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Nuggets: 1H O/U 118.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Nuggets: O/U 227.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Nuggets: O/U 229.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Nuggets: O/U 230.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Nuggets: O/U 231.5Under won
- Christian Braun: Points O/U 10.5No won
- Derrick White: Points O/U 17.5Yes won
- Jaylen Brown: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Jaylen Brown: Points O/U 28.5No won
- Jaylen Brown: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Julian Strawther: Points O/U 10.5Yes won
- Neemias Queta: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- Nikola Jokić: Points O/U 27.5Yes won
- Nikola Vučević: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Nikola Vučević: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Spread: Nuggets (-3.5)Nuggets won
- Spread: Nuggets (-4.5)Nuggets won
- Tim Hardaway Jr.: Points O/U 10.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.