TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Pistons (-6.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Pistonsof Pistons, Thunder
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$59,250
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$60,737

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $59,250 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xabc6…cb90backed Thunder45c11,600$5,220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,220366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+45.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2644…3734backed Pistons55c11,500$6,325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,1751100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Pistons50c9,158$4,572 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,586.021,26944.5%565 W · 704 L+32.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Thunder43c5,692$2,436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,435.94,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Pistons58c5,635$3,285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,349.5451354.2%278 W · 235 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Thunder52c5,580$2,924 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,924.263,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Pistons47c5,184$2,436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,747.324,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x596b…c1ecbacked Thunder50c4,020$2,010 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,010850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Thunder49c2,271$1,110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,109.979,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Thunder46c2,239$1,030 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,030.062,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Pistons57c2,099$1,204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$894.258,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked Pistons58c1,877$1,089 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$788.341,20455.3%666 W · 538 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x69ca…9ef8backed Pistons57c1,742$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$742.2528554.7%156 W · 129 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+0.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Thunder26c1,543$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.351,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Pistons59c1,309$769 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$539.624,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05c4…a4f2backed Pistons54c1,130$610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$519.9912045%54 W · 66 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xed8f…5aa7backed Thunder46c1,060$487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$487.517144.4%76 W · 95 L+0.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Thunder44c1,058$466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$465.954,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Thunder39c847.28$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$328.446,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Thunder50c800$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4001,47551.3%756 W · 719 L+35.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Thunder29c741.85$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.143,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Pistons54c500$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2301,15747.9%554 W · 603 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Thunder38c500$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1901,91145.4%868 W · 1,043 L+22.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Pistons54c500$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2303,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Thunder49c482.78$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.513,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Thunder36c399.72$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.431,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1346…0448backed Thunder21c385$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.8515534.2%53 W · 102 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb0cb…85babacked Thunder45c300$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13552242.7%223 W · 299 L-1.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Thunder42c275.34$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.913,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xae45…96b9backed Thunder49c270.1$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.3540546.9%190 W · 215 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Thunder45c257$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.0288057.5%506 W · 374 L+34.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+2.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ed8…0e99backed Thunder44c248.99$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.345653.5%244 W · 212 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked Pistons61c240.94$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.0814634.9%51 W · 95 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Thunder36c215.71$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.461,09640.9%448 W · 648 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Thunder48c209.46$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.425,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Pistons41c209.34$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.5452230.3%158 W · 364 L+20.4wins+0.04per pick26cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Thunder59c205.97$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.411,20051.6%619 W · 581 L+66.5wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+4.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2cec…5326backed Thunder42c202.17$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.4168645.5%312 W · 374 L-22.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Thunder40c186.6$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.153,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Thunder36c183.99$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.2487453.3%466 W · 408 L+19.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0e0…4d8fbacked Pistons52c162.58$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.0465950.8%335 W · 324 L+15.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Thunder45c135.91$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.165,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Thunder48c129$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.52,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Thunder45c115.11$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.871449.3%352 W · 362 L+2.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0644…05debacked Thunder38c110.04$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.3617844.4%79 W · 99 L+0.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae94…7efbbacked Thunder45c100$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4558754.7%321 W · 266 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc6dc…022bbacked Thunder38c100$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-33%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc9b8…01eebacked Pistons60c100$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+72.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e29…9e66backed Pistons45c99.99$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.9950241.2%207 W · 295 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe4a3…bce8backed Thunder50c96.5$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.2512538.4%48 W · 77 L-9.6wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-17%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbe05…b5a5backed Pistons56c89.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.2933246.1%153 W · 179 L-12.1wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1bb2…1320backed Pistons57c88.4$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.4560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Thunder38c84.19$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Pistons63c79.35$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.362,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b43…fae9backed Pistons68c73$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.3631151.1%159 W · 152 L+0.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72b5…8b54backed Thunder39c71.35$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.933040%12 W · 18 L-3.5wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-23%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Thunder45c71$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.271,16352.8%614 W · 549 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f53…d57bbacked Pistons55c70.27$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.476735.8%24 W · 43 L-7.8wins-0.12per pick47cpaid-25.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa0c5…4291backed Pistons61c63.55$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.5496956.3%546 W · 423 L+26.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Pistons62c63$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.8261939.6%245 W · 374 L-17.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-18.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Thunder58c61$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.6546940.3%189 W · 280 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Thunder56c60.5$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.961,05549.9%526 W · 529 L+29.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x504d…9ef9backed Pistons55c60$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc998…f060backed Thunder56c58.89$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.7812458.9%73 W · 51 L+8.5wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbbcf…20aebacked Thunder35c58$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.2228943.3%125 W · 164 L-0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d23…b5a2backed Thunder44c56.82$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258946.1%41 W · 48 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d22…040cbacked Thunder46c55.04$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.32837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x31a4…7bfabacked Pistons55c54.74$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.742955.2%16 W · 13 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+13.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa6b8…4bdfbacked Thunder45c46.13$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.6210637.7%40 W · 66 L+9.3wins+0.09per pick29cpaid+47.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Thunder47c46$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.763,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Thunder37c45.02$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.671,28323.4%300 W · 983 L-178.2wins-0.14per pick37cpaid-40.2%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0x2a88…2bffbacked Thunder41c45$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.2837949.3%187 W · 192 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x15d5…ef7bbacked Thunder40c44.4$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.761,19838.8%465 W · 733 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b41…01c7backed Thunder46c43$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7853839.4%212 W · 326 L-26.8wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0fbb…727fbacked Thunder46c41.68$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.0814448.6%70 W · 74 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2886…9bb2backed Thunder55c41$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.5510945%49 W · 60 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Thunder50c39.39$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.72,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaed4…4cc9backed Pistons63c37.14$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.919439.4%37 W · 57 L-9.8wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-26.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x223f…2050backed Thunder50c35.72$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.9119435.1%68 W · 126 L-13.2wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-18.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd454…b47fbacked Pistons51c35.29$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.2927251.1%139 W · 133 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Thunder59c33.44$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.8240243.8%176 W · 226 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe315…3911backed Thunder38c33.06$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.6457657.8%333 W · 243 L+13.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed Thunder54c32.98$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.8145542.4%193 W · 262 L-0.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x75dc…4f82backed Thunder55c31.91$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.5555751.9%289 W · 268 L+1.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd25c…fe19backed Thunder48c31.25$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1517652.3%92 W · 84 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0040…9eb8backed Thunder67c30.03$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202544%11 W · 14 L-3.0wins-0.12per pick56cpaid-26.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x133a…f9d1backed Thunder36c30$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.895260.2%573 W · 379 L+37.0wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7db0…f397backed Pistons65c30$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.414348.8%21 W · 22 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e6f…8ceabacked Thunder45c29.99$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.5540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa7ec…49abbacked Thunder45c29.99$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.5560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+8.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe9aa…089dbacked Pistons51c29.63$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.52966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+25.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3cc9…185bbacked Pistons55c27.27$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.2729247.9%140 W · 152 L-0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2754…1668backed Pistons45c26.36$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.6113950.4%70 W · 69 L-8.5wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-14.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6033…a300backed Thunder40c25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5337…222bbacked Thunder46c24.2$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.1312331.7%39 W · 84 L-17.0wins-0.14per pick46cpaid-39.5%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x197f…071cbacked Thunder64c23.44$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15475%3 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick71cpaid+1.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xabdd…2d96backed Pistons55c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$960267.3%405 W · 197 L+46.2wins+0.08per pick60cpaid+11.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe9d3…246cbacked Pistons60c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$814346.9%67 W · 76 L-7.6wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-16.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.