TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Thunder vs. Pistons: O/U 219.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$117,167
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$123,534

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $117,167 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 113 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x56be…57eebacked Over52c34,996$18,277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,719.3221143.1%91 W · 120 L-6.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Over50c19,079$9,590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,489.641,04651.1%534 W · 512 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Under47c10,000$4,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,699.971,12448.6%546 W · 578 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4435…0840backed Under50c8,000$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,00026648.5%129 W · 137 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under49c6,816$3,352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,351.864,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x34cd…9675backed Under50c5,001$2,501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,500.522648.2%109 W · 117 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa25d…2227backed Under48c5,000$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,40010641.5%44 W · 62 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x351e…de8abacked Under49c4,751$2,328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,328.1437747.5%179 W · 198 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Under48c3,801$1,829 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,829.371547.7%341 W · 374 L-26.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1e29…9e66backed Over53c3,040$1,611 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,428.850241.2%207 W · 295 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac1a…f708backed Under49c2,795$1,370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,369.5419445.4%88 W · 106 L-7.5wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under48c2,563$1,238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,238.53,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf1a…74a8backed Under49c2,444$1,198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,197.5620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfa1a…c55bbacked Over51c2,366$1,207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,159.34250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under49c2,289$1,113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,113.059,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under48c2,200$1,056 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0561,47551.3%756 W · 719 L+35.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xebba…383cbacked Under47c2,128$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.9924050.8%122 W · 118 L+0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Under47c2,128$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.9864944.7%290 W · 359 L-9.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ec4…6529backed Over52c2,115$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,015.388751.7%45 W · 42 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b60…9c7ebacked Under48c2,051$985 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$984.5622643.8%99 W · 127 L-8.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9405…c071backed Over50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,00012547.2%59 W · 66 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf9ee…351cbacked Over51c1,877$957 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$919.73250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba06…6606backed Under48c1,855$890 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$890.420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over48c1,818$882 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$936.294,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c16…8e89backed Under49c1,799$882 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$881.51425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick48cpaid-40.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd2a4…fa63backed Over52c1,793$932 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$860.64250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x75bb…d789backed Under49c1,722$844 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$843.78250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb102…1a06backed Over51c1,658$846 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$812.422100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+102.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf67a…8dcabacked Over51c1,625$829 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$796.252100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+102.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa53e…a701backed Over52c1,625$845 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$780250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5810…e435backed Under48c1,563$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$750.2420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd178…574fbacked Under49c1,561$765 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$764.89250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a29…c5c9backed Over52c1,525$793 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7322100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over65c1,465$949 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$516.048,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e91…65a3backed Under48c1,425$684 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$684250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b06…269ebacked Under48c1,423$683 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$683.04250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x19e2…ecc8backed Over52c1,323$688 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$635.042100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Under52c1,227$639 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$638.92,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Under48c1,040$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.22,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x69ca…9ef8backed Over69c1,014$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.4928554.7%156 W · 129 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+0.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Under31c1,002$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310.683,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7430…3af2backed Under48c1,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48026149.4%129 W · 132 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Under50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50067252.7%354 W · 318 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf630…7e65backed Under48c999.98$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.9929149.5%144 W · 147 L+1.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Under20c798.81$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.693,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Over48c745.87$358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$387.492,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under49c512.7$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.862,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33a7…e607backed Under50c500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25052951.2%271 W · 258 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc0e3…c09fbacked Over51c492.8$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.476953.6%37 W · 32 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0eca…6a15backed Under51c400$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2049742.3%41 W · 56 L-10.0wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-19%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0126…e11abacked Under50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa42a…d91fbacked Over52c384.62$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.6262347.5%296 W · 327 L-17.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under48c376.03$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.253,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5ad5…37b9backed Under4c355.21$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.2514438.9%56 W · 88 L+32.5wins+0.23per pick16cpaid+228.3%equal weight71+0.19 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Under48c333.95$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.2922752%118 W · 109 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over58c317.8$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.253,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed Under48c300.45$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.2545850.4%231 W · 227 L+11.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed Over51c300$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14753951.6%278 W · 261 L+20.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2fa4…9a4cbacked Over51c300$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14716148.4%78 W · 83 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5124…91bbbacked Under44c300$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13235444.6%158 W · 196 L+1.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbec4…637fbacked Under42c262.4$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.1153149.3%262 W · 269 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda75…bbf9backed Over51c260$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.426553.2%141 W · 124 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under47c209.2$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.341,42547.7%680 W · 745 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdcaf…6405backed Under49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001566.7%10 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Under50c204$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10191148.1%438 W · 473 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Over49c200$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10245146.1%208 W · 243 L-10.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x82f6…1848backed Under50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012152.1%63 W · 58 L+0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ef7…51abbacked Over52c200$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$961136.4%4 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick36cpaid-35.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a0c…0852backed Over57c199.99$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$864468.2%30 W · 14 L+4.1wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+18.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x37de…f512backed Under16c199.88$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.981,39026%361 W · 1,029 L-5.6wins0.00per pick26cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7895…896cbacked Over51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.084250%21 W · 21 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Under48c185.59$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9087453.3%466 W · 408 L+19.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ee1…377abacked Over51c176.16$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.323342.4%14 W · 19 L-3.4wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-16.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over50c112$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$566,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0044…cb2cbacked Under25c111$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.412227%33 W · 89 L-0.5wins0.00per pick27cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc036…30d4backed Under49c102.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5051946.8%243 W · 276 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under49c102.03$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Over53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4795548.5%463 W · 492 L-3.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9696…2bc3backed Over51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4933949.9%169 W · 170 L-1.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd80f…92febacked Over50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5055533.5%186 W · 369 L-15.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x47c8…f30abacked Over55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4510149.5%50 W · 51 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d14…1eb4backed Over51c98.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.0437352%194 W · 179 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x87ae…811bbacked Over51c98.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.0417545.7%80 W · 95 L-9.2wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-10.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3938…c6cbbacked Under50c90$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$459960.6%60 W · 39 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe4a3…bce8backed Over53c84$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.4812538.4%48 W · 77 L-9.6wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-17%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7f1e…5a2abacked Under48c64.16$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.87949.4%39 W · 40 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked Under47c63$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.8262049%304 W · 316 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4512…5d41backed Under55c57.33$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.5321637.5%81 W · 135 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Under49c56.56$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.622,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x360c…3117backed Under53c56.3$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3030%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over51c51.13$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.052,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb107…a3f8backed Over51c51$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.991,01851.6%525 W · 493 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbbd9…aea9backed Over51c49.02$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.0210156.4%57 W · 44 L+5.8wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xabbf…0758backed Under42c47.42$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.8639047.7%186 W · 204 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa33c…1b33backed Under50c43.01$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.6162844.9%282 W · 346 L-21.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbbcf…20aebacked Over58c41$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.1928943.3%125 W · 164 L-0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Over61c39.18$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.463,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbff7…554fbacked Over65c39.02$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.6116369.9%114 W · 49 L+18.6wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+19.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under42c38$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.965,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc1c…782bbacked Over51c37.78$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.515433.3%18 W · 36 L-8.8wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-34.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.