NBA · resolved market
Spread: Pistons (-7.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0789bcfe451f03c541c84328016ac4e9f534711a2ac6b22cf81a4617d78ece37
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pistonsof Pistons, Thunder
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $269,198
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $269,334
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $269,198 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 171 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Thunder | 41c | 97,682$40,137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,136.82 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Pistons | 56c | 50,142$28,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,121.4 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Pistons | 59c | 31,260$18,374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,886.01 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Pistons | 53c | 20,617$10,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,617.29 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca1…ddcdbacked Pistons | 60c | 17,410$10,446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,964 | 76 | 38.2%29 W · 47 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89bd…3f72backed Thunder | 44c | 14,088$6,173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,172.95 | 112 | 43.8%49 W · 63 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Thunder | 50c | 13,630$6,815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,814.9 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Thunder | 43c | 13,333$5,733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,733.33 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3a…eb9abacked Pistons | 59c | 12,712$7,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,211.86 | 114 | 57.9%66 W · 48 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd359…6007backed Thunder | 42c | 11,790$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf668…5c69backed Pistons | 55c | 10,749$5,912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,836.94 | 363 | 59.8%217 W · 146 L | +23.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc29e…a2cabacked Thunder | 48c | 10,738$5,154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,154.43 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Pistons | 54c | 10,062$5,428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,633.97 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05c4…a4f2backed Pistons | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 120 | 45%54 W · 66 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Thunder | 41c | 8,290$3,382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,381.97 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9852…111abacked Pistons | 60c | 8,118$4,871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,247.2 | 89 | 53.9%48 W · 41 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Thunder | 47c | 7,758$3,664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,664.13 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Thunder | 49c | 7,000$3,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,449.99 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Thunder | 43c | 6,211$2,686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,686.48 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b37…3b3ebacked Pistons | 51c | 5,423$2,766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,657.23 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0979…8d9bbacked Pistons | 60c | 5,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 203 | 52.7%107 W · 96 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32c4…4e39backed Pistons | 56c | 4,194$2,349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,845.49 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Pistons | 53c | 3,598$1,896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,701.28 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Thunder | 40c | 3,500$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 136 | 42.6%58 W · 78 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ef5…1907backed Thunder | 49c | 3,255$1,595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,594.95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f87…b48dbacked Pistons | 51c | 2,955$1,507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,447.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59f7…c302backed Pistons | 51c | 2,922$1,490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,431.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e0…c461backed Thunder | 49c | 2,455$1,203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,202.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfe7…1412backed Thunder | 49c | 2,422$1,187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,186.78 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6924…c07cbacked Pistons | 51c | 2,122$1,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,039.78 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x498c…42bfbacked Thunder | 40c | 2,011$804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$804.5 | 153 | 49%75 W · 78 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…ff12backed Pistons | 51c | 1,988$1,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$974.12 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Thunder | 45c | 1,973$890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$890.27 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Thunder | 42c | 1,952$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820 | 657 | 50.1%329 W · 328 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5330…0bfabacked Pistons | 53c | 1,886$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.42 | 131 | 42.7%56 W · 75 L | -8.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50ac…4ebebacked Thunder | 49c | 1,855$909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$908.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Pistons | 57c | 1,779$1,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$756.98 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…2d1abacked Pistons | 55c | 1,638$899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.04 | 489 | 57.5%281 W · 208 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd47f…997bbacked Thunder | 50c | 1,404$708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$707.96 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Pistons | 52c | 1,250$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 348 | 54%188 W · 160 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2579…9d48backed Pistons | 52c | 1,173$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.08 | 193 | 59.6%115 W · 78 L | +14.1wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Thunder | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 672 | 52.7%354 W · 318 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79b0…ea3bbacked Pistons | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 151 | 54.3%82 W · 69 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Thunder | 45c | 900$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa61f…7993backed Pistons | 51c | 862.91$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.83 | 617 | 47.8%295 W · 322 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Thunder | 46c | 847.6$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.7 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x962e…1d75backed Pistons | 60c | 833.33$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.33 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e58…a7c3backed Pistons | 51c | 799.98$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.99 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf09f…8049backed Thunder | 50c | 700$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 666 | 45.9%306 W · 360 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5966…af5dbacked Thunder | 50c | 700$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 313 | 54.3%170 W · 143 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d8d…b442backed Pistons | 52c | 700$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Thunder | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Pistons | 57c | 509.89$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.11 | 146 | 34.9%51 W · 95 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Pistons | 59c | 498$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.18 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf26…6fe2backed Thunder | 50c | 434$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217 | 324 | 50.6%164 W · 160 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c4…ab18backed Thunder | 49c | 373.99$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Pistons | 49c | 351.01$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.29 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a2…9e84backed Thunder | 48c | 302$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbb…acb2backed Pistons | 54c | 300$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 890 | 50.4%449 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26b1…c3ddbacked Thunder | 41c | 300$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc63…f1c7backed Pistons | 54c | 300$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 506 | 53.2%269 W · 237 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Pistons | 52c | 297$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.57 | 1,634 | 48.1%786 W · 848 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41d7…7c97backed Pistons | 60c | 295.46$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.18 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked Thunder | 42c | 287.46$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.54 | 456 | 46.7%213 W · 243 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Thunder | 47c | 280.81$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.36 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Thunder | 44c | 255.38$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.12 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Thunder | 50c | 255.33$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.67 | 911 | 48.1%438 W · 473 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe86…6763backed Thunder | 42c | 251.13$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.66 | 102 | 43.1%44 W · 58 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb0…8ababacked Thunder | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0599…3c6abacked Pistons | 54c | 238.28$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.52 | 235 | 46.8%110 W · 125 L | -18.7wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e0…d084backed Thunder | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 224 | 47.8%107 W · 117 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65d8…bac6backed Thunder | 44c | 225.78$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.9 | 383 | 50.4%193 W · 190 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Thunder | 45c | 221$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.22 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b73…45d9backed Thunder | 42c | 220.13$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.86 | 343 | 42.9%147 W · 196 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf10b…2041backed Pistons | 59c | 215.25$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.25 | 195 | 48.7%95 W · 100 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec5…9fe0backed Thunder | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 168 | 53%89 W · 79 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bb2…1320backed Thunder | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed Pistons | 56c | 203.95$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.74 | 1,018 | 51.6%525 W · 493 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Thunder | 52c | 201.12$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.93 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…6ccfbacked Thunder | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 390 | 51.5%201 W · 189 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Thunder | 46c | 186.65$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.86 | 874 | 53.3%466 W · 408 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x054b…afd5backed Pistons | 54c | 184.91$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.91 | 205 | 52.2%107 W · 98 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02ea…220cbacked Thunder | 41c | 182.93$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 88 | 26.1%23 W · 65 L | -12.5wins | -0.14per pick | 40cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Pistons | 60c | 176.61$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.64 | 877 | 44.7%392 W · 485 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43e0…132abacked Thunder | 42c | 170.64$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.47 | 136 | 39.7%54 W · 82 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…a569backed Thunder | 50c | 160$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 238 | 47.1%112 W · 126 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf73e…43f1backed Thunder | 43c | 153$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.79 | 160 | 52.5%84 W · 76 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Thunder | 45c | 150$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Thunder | 41c | 147$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.27 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Pistons | 47c | 145.09$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.81 | 1,425 | 47.7%680 W · 745 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf158…aa4bbacked Pistons | 60c | 140.48$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.19 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Thunder | 43c | 129.96$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.52 | 686 | 45.5%312 W · 374 L | -22.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa26f…4b98backed Thunder | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfda…20c0backed Pistons | 60c | 125$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3f0…024dbacked Pistons | 60c | 125$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…bc4abacked Pistons | 59c | 119.99$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.19 | 378 | 50.3%190 W · 188 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f90…2381backed Pistons | 52c | 110$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.8 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.25per pick | 46cpaid | +50%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x97a7…ac24backed Thunder | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 46 | 32.6%15 W · 31 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd73b…70adbacked Pistons | 59c | 107.58$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.11 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1aaa…0c04backed Thunder | 42c | 107.14$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 136 | 44.1%60 W · 76 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Pistons (-7.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Pistons (-4.5)Pistons won
- Ausar Thompson: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Cade Cunningham: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Cason Wallace: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
- Chet Holmgren: Assists O/U 1.5No won
- Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Chet Holmgren: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
- Duncan Robinson: Points O/U 10.5Yes won
- Isaiah Hartenstein: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Isaiah Hartenstein: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Isaiah Hartenstein: Rebounds O/U 9.5No won
- Jalen Duren: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Luguentz Dort: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Spread: Pistons (-10.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Pistons (-5.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-6.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-8.5)Thunder won
- Thunder vs. PistonsPistons won
- Thunder vs. Pistons: 1H MoneylinePistons won
- Thunder vs. Pistons: 1H O/U 106.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Pistons: 1H O/U 108.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Pistons: O/U 217.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Pistons: O/U 218.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Pistons: O/U 219.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Pistons: O/U 220.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.