NBA · resolved market
Spread: Pistons (-8.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x48b5130ff5ded6601f225f3deee59c771b97893874fb27654941a2edb00e19e5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Thunderof Pistons, Thunder
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $84,903
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $85,319
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $84,903 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2643…39aebacked Pistons | 60c | 55,279$33,076 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,075.95 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Thunder | 41c | 33,313$13,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,712.88 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Thunder | 40c | 20,841$8,336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,504.38 | 262 | 53.8%141 W · 121 L | +10.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Pistons | 54c | 4,301$2,308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,307.55 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05c4…a4f2backed Thunder | 43c | 2,433$1,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,387.02 | 120 | 45%54 W · 66 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Pistons | 50c | 1,888$946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$946.21 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x221d…e800backed Thunder | 43c | 1,854$797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,056.81 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed8f…5aa7backed Pistons | 58c | 1,760$1,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,013.51 | 171 | 44.4%76 W · 95 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Thunder | 50c | 1,634$817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$817 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Pistons | 57c | 1,630$929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$929.11 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…5c6cbacked Thunder | 45c | 1,559$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$859.44 | 266 | 40.2%107 W · 159 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked Thunder | 44c | 1,500$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 956 | 41.7%399 W · 557 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Thunder | 47c | 1,367$639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$727.35 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Pistons | 53c | 1,252$665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$665.45 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Thunder | 49c | 1,019$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.19 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…69ebbacked Pistons | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 629 | 48.6%306 W · 323 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Pistons | 55c | 751.94$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.85 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa25d…2227backed Thunder | 42c | 712.92$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.49 | 106 | 41.5%44 W · 62 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Thunder | 42c | 400$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.92 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Thunder | 49c | 288.89$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.57 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc25…4fa8backed Thunder | 45c | 246.34$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.34 | 108 | 49.1%53 W · 55 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Thunder | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 359 | 42.1%151 W · 208 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28be…03fcbacked Thunder | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Pistons | 56c | 218.63$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.03 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6135…efa0backed Pistons | 57c | 205$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.85 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b8…01eebacked Thunder | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +72.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c01…d612backed Pistons | 55c | 199.99$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.99 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Pistons | 56c | 180$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 786 | 52.4%412 W · 374 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed57…83f4backed Pistons | 57c | 174$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.18 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x78fa…d5c3backed Thunder | 43c | 163$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.91 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…8848backed Thunder | 54c | 159.72$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.47 | 722 | 50.6%365 W · 357 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb871…9f15backed Pistons | 57c | 149.99$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.5 | 591 | 44.5%263 W · 328 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Thunder | 48c | 149.99$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 686 | 45.5%312 W · 374 L | -22.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Thunder | 49c | 146$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.46 | 543 | 51.6%280 W · 263 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5425…f968backed Pistons | 57c | 140.35$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -7.0wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x011b…fcc3backed Thunder | 52c | 134.62$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.62 | 217 | 43.8%95 W · 122 L | -9.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2942…a018backed Thunder | 54c | 125.93$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.93 | 231 | 43.3%100 W · 131 L | -13.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb0…8ababacked Thunder | 44c | 125$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2886…9bb2backed Pistons | 59c | 120$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.8 | 109 | 45%49 W · 60 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bbc…32ebbacked Thunder | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Thunder | 49c | 110.5$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.36 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…bc4abacked Pistons | 56c | 110$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.6 | 378 | 50.3%190 W · 188 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd454…b47fbacked Thunder | 45c | 102.78$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.53 | 272 | 51.1%139 W · 133 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1a…bf0abacked Thunder | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 125 | 54.4%68 W · 57 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9325…adafbacked Thunder | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 117 | 54.7%64 W · 53 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Thunder | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe02f…3d4cbacked Thunder | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Pistons | 57c | 99$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.43 | 1,634 | 48.1%786 W · 848 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca4b…88a9backed Thunder | 45c | 93.23$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +123.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Pistons | 56c | 89.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf498…3d66backed Thunder | 51c | 80.49$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.49 | 118 | 55.1%65 W · 53 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf10…691bbacked Thunder | 42c | 80.38$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.38 | 137 | 51.1%70 W · 67 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Pistons | 59c | 80.24$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 1,573 | 53.4%840 W · 733 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31f1…39bbbacked Thunder | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.47 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Thunder | 51c | 73.27$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.9 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe975…9d22backed Thunder | 53c | 71.94$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.94 | 180 | 55%99 W · 81 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95fe…3896backed Thunder | 77c | 71.53$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.53 | 170 | 46.5%79 W · 91 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Pistons | 47c | 68.85$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.42 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Thunder | 43c | 68.81$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.22 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbeef…5667backed Thunder | 38c | 67.74$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.74 | 152 | 53.3%81 W · 71 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9973…cc32backed Thunder | 45c | 66.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.67 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x664b…00b3backed Thunder | 45c | 66.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.63 | 94 | 55.3%52 W · 42 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd11a…09eebacked Thunder | 38c | 65.84$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.84 | 106 | 56.6%60 W · 46 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5079…0f50backed Thunder | 41c | 63.41$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.41 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc1b…3b5bbacked Thunder | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.9 | 249 | 46.6%116 W · 133 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1a…26c0backed Thunder | 44c | 56.82$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.82 | 219 | 48.9%107 W · 112 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb227…8809backed Pistons | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 111 | 57.7%64 W · 47 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd62d…5992backed Pistons | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 378 | 52.9%200 W · 178 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Thunder | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Pistons | 56c | 49.42$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.62 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68d8…4cc6backed Thunder | 55c | 49.32$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.32 | 144 | 55.6%80 W · 64 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf922…48d9backed Thunder | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -49%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Thunder | 44c | 44.21$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.61 | 927 | 50.6%469 W · 458 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41bd…4797backed Thunder | 44c | 43.2$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.98 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75a4…c55fbacked Thunder | 44c | 34.09$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.09 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e0…4d8fbacked Thunder | 53c | 33.96$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.96 | 659 | 50.8%335 W · 324 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd155…8250backed Thunder | 44c | 33.58$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.71 | 488 | 52%254 W · 234 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1024…831abacked Thunder | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba69…b2debacked Thunder | 45c | 31.06$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.08 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +4.3wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9cc6…31d3backed Thunder | 45c | 30.64$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.94 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Pistons | 48c | 30.12$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.46 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa33c…1b33backed Thunder | 41c | 29.87$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.62 | 628 | 44.9%282 W · 346 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6df…dda7backed Pistons | 49c | 29.41$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.41 | 242 | 47.1%114 W · 128 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcaf5…815bbacked Thunder | 59c | 28.64$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.64 | 154 | 53.2%82 W · 72 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xada4…1bfabacked Thunder | 45c | 27$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.85 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Thunder | 48c | 24.29$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.68 | 296 | 45.6%135 W · 161 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65b3…7fc9backed Thunder | 44c | 24.27$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.59 | 251 | 44.2%111 W · 140 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedc6…05dfbacked Pistons | 54c | 22.07$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.98 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.9wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Thunder | 48c | 21$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 620 | 49%304 W · 316 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x239b…f8bfbacked Pistons | 55c | 21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.59 | 323 | 52.6%170 W · 153 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Pistons (-8.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Pistons (-4.5)Pistons won
- Ausar Thompson: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Cade Cunningham: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Cason Wallace: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
- Chet Holmgren: Assists O/U 1.5No won
- Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Chet Holmgren: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
- Duncan Robinson: Points O/U 10.5Yes won
- Isaiah Hartenstein: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Isaiah Hartenstein: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Isaiah Hartenstein: Rebounds O/U 9.5No won
- Jalen Duren: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Luguentz Dort: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Spread: Pistons (-10.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Pistons (-5.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-6.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-7.5)Pistons won
- Thunder vs. PistonsPistons won
- Thunder vs. Pistons: 1H MoneylinePistons won
- Thunder vs. Pistons: 1H O/U 106.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Pistons: 1H O/U 108.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Pistons: O/U 217.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Pistons: O/U 218.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Pistons: O/U 219.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Pistons: O/U 220.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.