NBA · resolved market
Spread: Pistons (-5.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8543e30cc0d1474fdb12bce17e96ad91f51e397a827ef585dddf9e6ba7ceb623
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pistonsof Pistons, Thunder
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $104,751
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $109,809
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $104,751 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf668…5c69backed Pistons | 62c | 37,146$22,902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,243.62 | 363 | 59.8%217 W · 146 L | +23.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Thunder | 40c | 18,249$7,221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,221 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed8…0e99backed Thunder | 43c | 12,780$5,472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,472.2 | 456 | 53.5%244 W · 212 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Pistons | 62c | 6,408$3,954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,453.75 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Thunder | 40c | 3,809$1,523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,523.23 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Pistons | 54c | 3,737$2,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,718.98 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Thunder | 51c | 1,972$1,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,007.45 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Pistons | 64c | 1,825$1,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$657.36 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f72…0841backed Pistons | 69c | 1,617$1,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.38 | 102 | 55.9%57 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Pistons | 52c | 1,503$787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$716.68 | 807 | 37.7%304 W · 503 L | -33.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Thunder | 40c | 1,324$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.73 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Thunder | 38c | 1,270$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.25 | 715 | 47.7%341 W · 374 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Thunder | 48c | 1,227$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.8 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Pistons | 64c | 1,028$656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.08 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Thunder | 38c | 849.43$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.03 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Thunder | 46c | 818.83$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.66 | 160 | 42.5%68 W · 92 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Thunder | 41c | 522.78$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.34 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Pistons | 64c | 475.37$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.13 | 874 | 53.3%466 W · 408 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Thunder | 47c | 445.91$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.58 | 714 | 49.3%352 W · 362 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Pistons | 61c | 328.2$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.2 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Thunder | 46c | 306.05$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.63 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Pistons | 63c | 296.42$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.07 | 880 | 57.5%506 W · 374 L | +34.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Thunder | 37c | 266.08$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.75 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05c4…a4f2backed Pistons | 57c | 218.12$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.79 | 120 | 45%54 W · 66 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Pistons | 61c | 217.92$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.97 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Thunder | 43c | 199.72$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.55 | 1,198 | 38.8%465 W · 733 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Pistons | 62c | 182.66$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.04 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Thunder | 43c | 167.35$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.84 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Pistons | 58c | 165.03$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.31 | 1,573 | 53.4%840 W · 733 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Thunder | 47c | 142.53$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.99 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa307…8ea3backed Pistons | 63c | 140.87$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.12 | 203 | 52.2%106 W · 97 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bf…511dbacked Pistons | 58c | 140.48$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ac8…9e67backed Pistons | 52c | 140$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.8 | 185 | 43.2%80 W · 105 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e0…4d8fbacked Pistons | 53c | 128.35$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.53 | 659 | 50.8%335 W · 324 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Thunder | 38c | 127.56$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.92 | 686 | 45.5%312 W · 374 L | -22.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed Thunder | 48c | 126$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.48 | 502 | 41.2%207 W · 295 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Thunder | 39c | 105.93$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.56 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Thunder | 36c | 105.11$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.03 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc998…f060backed Thunder | 60c | 105$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.75 | 124 | 58.9%73 W · 51 L | +8.5wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x814d…5c93backed Pistons | 59c | 101.69$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.69 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x622b…5a4abacked Thunder | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 109 | 40.4%44 W · 65 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Pistons | 63c | 97.14$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.29 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd8…5cdbbacked Thunder | 40c | 91.99$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.8 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +5.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Thunder | 46c | 91$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.86 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbcf…20aebacked Thunder | 36c | 90.86$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.26 | 289 | 43.3%125 W · 164 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6cd…e027backed Thunder | 33c | 83$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.39 | 303 | 48.2%146 W · 157 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45d2…22fbbacked Pistons | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 113 | 48.7%55 W · 58 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea33…ae06backed Pistons | 67c | 75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 117 | 59.8%70 W · 47 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Thunder | 47c | 70.28$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.92 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a88…2bffbacked Thunder | 38c | 66.26$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.24 | 379 | 49.3%187 W · 192 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Thunder | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 554 | 44.4%246 W · 308 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Pistons | 62c | 60$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.53 | 969 | 56.3%546 W · 423 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Pistons | 60c | 59.78$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.17 | 146 | 34.9%51 W · 95 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Pistons | 64c | 53.74$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.35 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41d7…7c97backed Thunder | 38c | 53.35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.27 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa537…e569backed Thunder | 42c | 52.95$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.31 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4147…902abacked Pistons | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 173 | 42.8%74 W · 99 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Thunder | 48c | 50.29$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.14 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Thunder | 38c | 50.26$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.1 | 648 | 44.8%290 W · 358 L | -32.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e9…6d8ebacked Pistons | 66c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 154 | 46.1%71 W · 83 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8eb7…d529backed Pistons | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 293 | 51.9%152 W · 141 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47c8…f30abacked Thunder | 43c | 48.71$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.77 | 101 | 49.5%50 W · 51 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Pistons | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 1,661 | 50.3%836 W · 825 L | -14.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Thunder | 49c | 47$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.25 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Pistons | 55c | 44.28$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.91 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77d8…849abacked Pistons | 60c | 41.67$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d8…19c5backed Pistons | 71c | 41.4$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.2 | 243 | 58%141 W · 102 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2c…dac5backed Pistons | 66c | 39.9$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.57 | 423 | 48.5%205 W · 218 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x471a…6bf0backed Thunder | 51c | 38.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe315…3911backed Thunder | 36c | 38.24$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.91 | 576 | 57.8%333 W · 243 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d22…040cbacked Thunder | 47c | 35.4$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.64 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec1…dd29backed Pistons | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 225 | 56.9%128 W · 97 L | +12.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Thunder | 40c | 34.16$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.54 | 1,197 | 48.9%585 W · 612 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa44d…bd1dbacked Pistons | 60c | 33.87$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.69 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Pistons | 58c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 667 | 32.4%216 W · 451 L | +41.8wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed Thunder | 41c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 952 | 60.2%573 W · 379 L | +37.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Thunder | 34c | 29.42$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,283 | 23.4%300 W · 983 L | -178.2wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xf84c…326dbacked Pistons | 60c | 28.23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.29 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9aa…089dbacked Pistons | 55c | 25.53$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.49 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…fd66backed Thunder | 80c | 25.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Thunder | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 620 | 49%304 W · 316 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Pistons | 46c | 23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.33 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5046…7676backed Pistons | 65c | 22.39$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.89 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e13…2ac4backed Pistons | 61c | 20.5$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 67 | 31.3%21 W · 46 L | -7.4wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x364b…f9bebacked Pistons | 57c | 20.48$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.81 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…f273backed Pistons | 54c | 20.36$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.37 | 195 | 55.4%108 W · 87 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe584…85d4backed Pistons | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Thunder | 62c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -3.0wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa08a…ad51backed Pistons | 52c | 19.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Pistons (-5.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Pistons (-4.5)Pistons won
- Ausar Thompson: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Cade Cunningham: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Cason Wallace: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
- Chet Holmgren: Assists O/U 1.5No won
- Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Chet Holmgren: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
- Duncan Robinson: Points O/U 10.5Yes won
- Isaiah Hartenstein: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Isaiah Hartenstein: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Isaiah Hartenstein: Rebounds O/U 9.5No won
- Jalen Duren: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Luguentz Dort: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Spread: Pistons (-10.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Pistons (-6.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-7.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-8.5)Thunder won
- Thunder vs. PistonsPistons won
- Thunder vs. Pistons: 1H MoneylinePistons won
- Thunder vs. Pistons: 1H O/U 106.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Pistons: 1H O/U 108.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Pistons: O/U 217.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Pistons: O/U 218.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Pistons: O/U 219.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Pistons: O/U 220.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.