NBA · resolved market
Thunder vs. Pistons: O/U 217.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1e13cd69c6a1f911c6a34da0dfc5b59d1401a08b31cee04e00f1ad309a0ebd74
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,338
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,465
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,338 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xeead…1087backed Under | 45c | 7,333$3,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,299.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8843…c7adbacked Over | 55c | 4,000$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,800 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91d6…4b02backed Over | 55c | 3,000$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,350 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 45c | 1,534$696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$695.91 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a45…f628backed Over | 55c | 910$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.56 | 348 | 55.2%192 W · 156 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 43c | 740$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.2 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 44c | 596.6$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.57 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 67c | 545.66$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.21 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 43c | 490.25$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.23 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Over | 26c | 416.98$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.19 | 146 | 34.9%51 W · 95 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7100…b346backed Over | 57c | 363.16$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.16 | 201 | 47.8%96 W · 105 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff5…f136backed Over | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.88 | 260 | 48.1%125 W · 135 L | -15.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x463e…fa00backed Over | 55c | 333.32$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 57c | 315.37$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.61 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Under | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.93 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd92d…e560backed Over | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 46c | 296.34$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.86 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 54c | 277.78$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.78 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked Under | 45c | 266.13$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.6 | 456 | 46.7%213 W · 243 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x227c…ee3fbacked Over | 56c | 261.64$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.74 | 112 | 45.5%51 W · 61 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e70…7214backed Over | 55c | 252.4$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.4 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe55d…2335backed Under | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dc…ec43backed Over | 55c | 182$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.9 | 690 | 49.4%341 W · 349 L | -30.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Over | 55c | 172.71$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.08 | 155 | 34.2%53 W · 102 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3644…671abacked Over | 71c | 150.7$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.7 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 29c | 150.35$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.6 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Under | 45c | 134$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.3 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 45c | 111.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae94…7efbbacked Over | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 587 | 54.7%321 W · 266 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadd3…74bcbacked Over | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd10e…18dfbacked Over | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Under | 53c | 97.77$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.82 | 543 | 51.6%280 W · 263 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf36f…e5b8backed Over | 57c | 96.49$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.49 | 162 | 61.7%100 W · 62 L | +15.6wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…ce87backed Over | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 151 | 49%74 W · 77 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e9c…e966backed Over | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 145 | 47.6%69 W · 76 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc76…d308backed Over | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 124 | 64.5%80 W · 44 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62da…2fdabacked Over | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 44c | 79.87$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.14 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72f5…4b0dbacked Over | 56c | 71.87$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.87 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 62cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Over | 47c | 63.97$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.97 | 454 | 45.4%206 W · 248 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Under | 45c | 61.64$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.74 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda6b…1fbebacked Over | 67c | 56.72$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6436…aa37backed Over | 46c | 51.29$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.7 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93e3…e590backed Over | 46c | 51.29$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.7 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Over | 48c | 50.83$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.33 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa33c…1b33backed Over | 48c | 50.82$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.63 | 628 | 44.9%282 W · 346 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Under | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 686 | 45.5%312 W · 374 L | -22.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee60…6902backed Over | 51c | 48.48$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.76 | 376 | 65.4%246 W · 130 L | +62.0wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 55c | 43.82$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.72 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x859d…3cecbacked Under | 42c | 40.9$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.18 | 508 | 41.7%212 W · 296 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3d…b56cbacked Over | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 373 | 44.2%165 W · 208 L | -19.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 52c | 32.65$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.98 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d8…19c5backed Over | 64c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.12 | 243 | 58%141 W · 102 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0c…b90abacked Under | 46c | 26.22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 174 | 44.3%77 W · 97 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec3…9aa3backed Over | 54c | 25.93$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.93 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 55c | 25.56$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02f4…4effbacked Over | 58c | 25.34$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.64 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabfb…12e5backed Under | 46c | 23.81$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.87 | 118 | 26.3%31 W · 87 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed57…83f4backed Over | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Thunder vs. Pistons: O/U 217.5this page
- 1H Spread: Pistons (-4.5)Pistons won
- Ausar Thompson: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Cade Cunningham: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Cason Wallace: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
- Chet Holmgren: Assists O/U 1.5No won
- Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Chet Holmgren: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
- Duncan Robinson: Points O/U 10.5Yes won
- Isaiah Hartenstein: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Isaiah Hartenstein: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Isaiah Hartenstein: Rebounds O/U 9.5No won
- Jalen Duren: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Luguentz Dort: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Spread: Pistons (-10.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Pistons (-5.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-6.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-7.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-8.5)Thunder won
- Thunder vs. PistonsPistons won
- Thunder vs. Pistons: 1H MoneylinePistons won
- Thunder vs. Pistons: 1H O/U 106.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Pistons: 1H O/U 108.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Pistons: O/U 218.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Pistons: O/U 219.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Pistons: O/U 220.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.