NBA · resolved market
Spread: Pistons (-10.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x323ab00bc1de059b9c918088de745e03d0dc8d346af89f469e9c7763d523fe43
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Thunderof Pistons, Thunder
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $685,891
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $692,041
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $685,891 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 195 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Pistons | 51c | 305,520$155,815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155,814.98 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Thunder | 49c | 137,543$67,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70,067.6 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Thunder | 49c | 129,412$63,478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65,933.44 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Thunder | 50c | 123,908$62,252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61,655.98 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Pistons | 50c | 50,000$25,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,000 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Pistons | 50c | 50,000$25,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,000 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Thunder | 50c | 39,904$19,855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,048.83 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Pistons | 50c | 25,115$12,558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,557.5 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed Thunder | 49c | 23,000$11,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,699.99 | 458 | 50.4%231 W · 227 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x163e…dc5bbacked Pistons | 51c | 19,608$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 207 | 58%120 W · 87 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4d…e246backed Thunder | 50c | 19,352$9,676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,675.85 | 296 | 50.3%149 W · 147 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Thunder | 50c | 17,280$8,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,639.87 | 277 | 47.7%132 W · 145 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Thunder | 49c | 16,331$8,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,328.66 | 593 | 47%279 W · 314 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Pistons | 50c | 15,183$7,592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,592.09 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…9401backed Pistons | 49c | 10,955$5,368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,367.95 | 403 | 50.1%202 W · 201 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Pistons | 50c | 9,000$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,500 | 348 | 54%188 W · 160 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05c4…a4f2backed Thunder | 50c | 8,600$4,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,300 | 120 | 45%54 W · 66 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Thunder | 51c | 7,614$3,883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,730.85 | 328 | 46.6%153 W · 175 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae0f…f647backed Thunder | 50c | 7,596$3,798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,798 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Pistons | 50c | 6,752$3,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,400 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1196…fe97backed Pistons | 49c | 6,630$3,249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,248.67 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Thunder | 51c | 6,223$3,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,053.07 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67b6…00bcbacked Pistons | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 242 | 52.5%127 W · 115 L | +18.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Thunder | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 824 | 42.2%348 W · 476 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf57e…bbd6backed Pistons | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 105 | 53.3%56 W · 49 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Thunder | 49c | 4,253$2,084 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,168.88 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…55e8backed Pistons | 50c | 4,206$2,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,103 | 237 | 47.7%113 W · 124 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Thunder | 49c | 4,010$1,965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,044.99 | 795 | 49.7%395 W · 400 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Pistons | 49c | 4,000$1,971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,970.68 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3280…ea74backed Thunder | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 95 | 31.6%30 W · 65 L | -11.6wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Thunder | 49c | 3,333$1,633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,699.83 | 147 | 53.1%78 W · 69 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Pistons | 50c | 3,148$1,574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,574 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Thunder | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500.01 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Pistons | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 259 | 45.6%118 W · 141 L | -11.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Pistons | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Pistons | 50c | 2,951$1,476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,475.5 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Thunder | 51c | 2,941$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,441.18 | 419 | 54.4%228 W · 191 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a91…1769backed Pistons | 50c | 2,848$1,411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,411.29 | 321 | 50.8%163 W · 158 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69ff…0d1dbacked Thunder | 50c | 2,200$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100 | 331 | 46.2%153 W · 178 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1064…f153backed Pistons | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 133 | 39.1%52 W · 81 L | -11.8wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Thunder | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 480 | 54.2%260 W · 220 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Thunder | 51c | 1,594$813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$781.13 | 488 | 45.3%221 W · 267 L | +18.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cb…8f46backed Pistons | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 144 | 48.6%70 W · 74 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Pistons | 50c | 1,386$691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$691.03 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Thunder | 43c | 1,231$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$698.33 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb0…4488backed Thunder | 49c | 1,224$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.49 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -7.4wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca5…73bcbacked Thunder | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 404 | 51.5%208 W · 196 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae2…20a3backed Pistons | 50c | 1,101$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.37 | 139 | 51.1%71 W · 68 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Thunder | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 261 | 49.4%129 W · 132 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5623…6930backed Pistons | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 239 | 38.1%91 W · 148 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbec5…8f77backed Pistons | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 211 | 39.8%84 W · 127 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf630…7e65backed Thunder | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 291 | 49.5%144 W · 147 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Thunder | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 289 | 29.4%85 W · 204 L | -13.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76b4…ca9bbacked Thunder | 51c | 999.74$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.87 | 442 | 52.3%231 W · 211 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Thunder | 55c | 987.23$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.57 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x128f…db9dbacked Thunder | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.39 | 206 | 51.5%106 W · 100 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Thunder | 51c | 803.92$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.92 | 672 | 52.7%354 W · 318 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…3c89backed Thunder | 50c | 800$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 656 | 49.2%323 W · 333 L | +9.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc443…359bbacked Thunder | 52c | 787.84$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.84 | 238 | 45%107 W · 131 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e5…697abacked Thunder | 51c | 586.35$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.35 | 206 | 50%103 W · 103 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Thunder | 48c | 552.98$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.55 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb5…f5ecbacked Pistons | 51c | 505.05$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.57 | 220 | 48.6%107 W · 113 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccbd…f1b7backed Pistons | 50c | 503.55$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.43 | 46 | 69.6%32 W · 14 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbff9…009dbacked Thunder | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 270 | 52.6%142 W · 128 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea4b…dedebacked Thunder | 51c | 490.52$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.48 | 80 | 55%44 W · 36 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54a2…1d43backed Thunder | 26c | 452.82$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.09 | 188 | 35.1%66 W · 122 L | +24.5wins | +0.13per pick | 22cpaid | +116.5%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x307d…9163backed Pistons | 50c | 424$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212 | 273 | 57.1%156 W · 117 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc998…f060backed Thunder | 50c | 420$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 124 | 58.9%73 W · 51 L | +8.5wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…4856backed Pistons | 50c | 409.02$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.51 | 241 | 51%123 W · 118 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe500…4b37backed Thunder | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 197 | 56.3%111 W · 86 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf09f…8049backed Thunder | 51c | 400$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 666 | 45.9%306 W · 360 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68a9…e73abacked Thunder | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 210 | 45.2%95 W · 115 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb0…8ababacked Thunder | 51c | 326.08$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.08 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8de5…e8bbbacked Thunder | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 131 | 54.2%71 W · 60 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Thunder | 50c | 299.99$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 911 | 48.1%438 W · 473 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…96b9backed Pistons | 49c | 270.1$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.35 | 405 | 46.9%190 W · 215 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9031…5265backed Thunder | 50c | 232.16$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.08 | 94 | 51.1%48 W · 46 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd5…26ccbacked Thunder | 61c | 224.2$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.31 | 516 | 51%263 W · 253 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabde…d41fbacked Pistons | 51c | 213.88$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.08 | 419 | 47.7%200 W · 219 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bcc…4324backed Thunder | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 528 | 44.7%236 W · 292 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb6…25eabacked Pistons | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…b906backed Thunder | 47c | 200$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107 | 263 | 39.5%104 W · 159 L | -13.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd92d…e560backed Thunder | 63c | 200$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdced…8a25backed Thunder | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83c5…c3ffbacked Thunder | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.35per pick | 50cpaid | +70.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Pistons | 50c | 198$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 1,634 | 48.1%786 W · 848 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Thunder | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 359 | 42.1%151 W · 208 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5df4…4eacbacked Pistons | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 151 | 54.3%82 W · 69 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57e5…e51ebacked Pistons | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 333 | 60.4%201 W · 132 L | +17.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae84…fd9dbacked Pistons | 50c | 181.73$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.87 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b7a…bc22backed Thunder | 34c | 177.6$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.27 | 261 | 31%81 W · 180 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47c8…f30abacked Thunder | 49c | 172.5$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.5 | 101 | 49.5%50 W · 51 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1243…2a64backed Thunder | 50c | 168.26$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.13 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd00…7a45backed Thunder | 49c | 153.06$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.06 | 380 | 50.8%193 W · 187 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc5…ee5abacked Thunder | 51c | 147.06$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.06 | 125 | 42.4%53 W · 72 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0339…1394backed Pistons | 49c | 146.57$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 130 | 45.4%59 W · 71 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb95…a5ccbacked Thunder | 50c | 140$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 244 | 42.6%104 W · 140 L | -17.8wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd155…8250backed Thunder | 50c | 139.28$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 488 | 52%254 W · 234 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83ea…c2efbacked Pistons | 51c | 137.25$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 89 | 42.7%38 W · 51 L | -8.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Thunder | 50c | 133$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.5 | 522 | 40%209 W · 313 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Pistons (-10.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Pistons (-4.5)Pistons won
- Ausar Thompson: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Cade Cunningham: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Cason Wallace: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
- Chet Holmgren: Assists O/U 1.5No won
- Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Chet Holmgren: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
- Duncan Robinson: Points O/U 10.5Yes won
- Isaiah Hartenstein: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Isaiah Hartenstein: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Isaiah Hartenstein: Rebounds O/U 9.5No won
- Jalen Duren: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Luguentz Dort: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Spread: Pistons (-5.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-6.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-7.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-8.5)Thunder won
- Thunder vs. PistonsPistons won
- Thunder vs. Pistons: 1H MoneylinePistons won
- Thunder vs. Pistons: 1H O/U 106.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Pistons: 1H O/U 108.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Pistons: O/U 217.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Pistons: O/U 218.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Pistons: O/U 219.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Pistons: O/U 220.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.