NBA · resolved market
Thunder vs. Pistons: O/U 218.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x89b9ec65089899fb2be1903eb871dedf5ee3c28d3dfa0224acc6d0f5f77580a1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,442
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,233
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,442 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Under | 33c | 10,953$3,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,659.58 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Over | 66c | 8,037$5,328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,708.56 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Over | 53c | 5,666$3,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,663.2 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Under | 45c | 5,000$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,249.99 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 47c | 4,141$1,926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,925.51 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…0840backed Under | 47c | 4,000$1,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,880 | 266 | 48.5%129 W · 137 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 54c | 3,184$1,709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,474.95 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed Over | 55c | 2,990$1,645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,345.5 | 502 | 41.2%207 W · 295 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Over | 67c | 2,478$1,654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$823.48 | 402 | 43.8%176 W · 226 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Over | 53c | 2,289$1,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,078.98 | 513 | 54.2%278 W · 235 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 53c | 1,351$719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$632.42 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Under | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 348 | 54%188 W · 160 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 54c | 833.34$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.34 | 462 | 58.2%269 W · 193 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c94…a43bbacked Under | 46c | 778.72$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.21 | 511 | 46.6%238 W · 273 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 47c | 757.11$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.24 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67d6…b04bbacked Over | 52c | 653.39$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.63 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +4.2wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Under | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 277 | 46.6%129 W · 148 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 52c | 510$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.8 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 68c | 436.33$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.78 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 46c | 411.21$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.33 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 55c | 381.65$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.74 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 47c | 380$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.6 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked Under | 40c | 300$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 354 | 44.6%158 W · 196 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Over | 68c | 285$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.3 | 766 | 53.5%410 W · 356 L | +65.5wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa924…b1b9backed Under | 18c | 211.36$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.03 | 146 | 36.3%53 W · 93 L | +16.4wins | +0.11per pick | 25cpaid | +58.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x18b2…9141backed Over | 57c | 204.4$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.4 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Under | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 224 | 53.1%119 W · 105 L | +29.4wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8c10…8977backed Under | 47c | 199.99$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 623 | 47.7%297 W · 326 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…4eb0backed Over | 55c | 198$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.1 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x948d…d6a8backed Over | 52c | 193.88$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.06 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9351…ef0fbacked Over | 54c | 186$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.56 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +4.7wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Over | 68c | 167.5$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 880 | 57.5%506 W · 374 L | +34.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bf…511dbacked Over | 55c | 136.36$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.36 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 47c | 136.25$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.04 | 1,425 | 47.7%680 W · 745 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda21…8646backed Under | 46c | 112.2$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.61 | 625 | 41.9%262 W · 363 L | -32.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfffb…5f95backed Over | 54c | 108.6$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.67 | 241 | 50.2%121 W · 120 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43e0…132abacked Under | 33c | 108.44$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.15 | 136 | 39.7%54 W · 82 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Over | 58c | 103.45$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.45 | 954 | 52.3%499 W · 455 L | -17.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 56c | 99$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.56 | 1,634 | 48.1%786 W · 848 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Over | 66c | 95.85$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.59 | 655 | 42.9%281 W · 374 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa4…9a4cbacked Over | 54c | 93.53$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.02 | 161 | 48.4%78 W · 83 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 56c | 87.98$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.14 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 62c | 79.08$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.31 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…fa34backed Under | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed Under | 47c | 51$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.97 | 1,018 | 51.6%525 W · 493 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Under | 31c | 50.2$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.39 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Under | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 686 | 45.5%312 W · 374 L | -22.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e9…6d8ebacked Under | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 154 | 46.1%71 W · 83 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b96…7701backed Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6313…a6bdbacked Over | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x859d…3cecbacked Under | 44c | 45.59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.06 | 508 | 41.7%212 W · 296 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x711a…9240backed Under | 38c | 39.34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 408 | 49%200 W · 208 L | -12.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93ae…ba41backed Over | 51c | 38.37$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3d…b56cbacked Over | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 373 | 44.2%165 W · 208 L | -19.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0814…144bbacked Over | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 43c | 37.17$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.02 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc0…3acebacked Over | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 198 | 48.5%96 W · 102 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0976…922bbacked Over | 53c | 31.63$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.87 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Over | 60c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 385 | 40.3%155 W · 230 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…348abacked Over | 79c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 172 | 43%74 W · 98 L | -12.4wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc00c…ddc2backed Over | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x95be…9968backed Over | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 335 | 52.8%177 W · 158 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74fe…8243backed Under | 49c | 24.49$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Under | 46c | 23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a5e…d8f4backed Over | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -4.0wins | -0.13per pick | 64cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf5…b8efbacked Over | 56c | 19.64$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.64 | 103 | 50.5%52 W · 51 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Thunder vs. Pistons: O/U 218.5this page
- 1H Spread: Pistons (-4.5)Pistons won
- Ausar Thompson: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Cade Cunningham: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Cason Wallace: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
- Chet Holmgren: Assists O/U 1.5No won
- Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Chet Holmgren: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
- Duncan Robinson: Points O/U 10.5Yes won
- Isaiah Hartenstein: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Isaiah Hartenstein: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Isaiah Hartenstein: Rebounds O/U 9.5No won
- Jalen Duren: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Luguentz Dort: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Spread: Pistons (-10.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Pistons (-5.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-6.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-7.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-8.5)Thunder won
- Thunder vs. PistonsPistons won
- Thunder vs. Pistons: 1H MoneylinePistons won
- Thunder vs. Pistons: 1H O/U 106.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Pistons: 1H O/U 108.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Pistons: O/U 217.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Pistons: O/U 219.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Pistons: O/U 220.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.