NBA · resolved market
Thunder vs. Pistons
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x70d9dd2498471e4e31e280f832207dc8ba20eaede2762cca42b74f101675250e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pistonsof Thunder, Pistons
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,663,478
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,898,315
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,663,478 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,492 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Thunder | 22c | 898,976$201,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201,259.7 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Pistons | 79c | 416,331$326,821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89,509.64 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Thunder | 21c | 355,555$74,666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74,666.47 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07b8…8e25backed Pistons | 78c | 322,044$250,899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71,144.74 | 232 | 57.8%134 W · 98 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x183d…1270backed Thunder | 22c | 220,760$48,567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48,567.13 | 46 | 19.6%9 W · 37 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Thunder | 28c | 203,538$56,836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56,836.49 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85e5…6056backed Pistons | 79c | 169,638$134,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,623.89 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -3.5wins | -0.14per pick | 70cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Pistons | 71c | 100,001$71,183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,817.67 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa491…3177backed Pistons | 78c | 100,000$78,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,999.9 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Pistons | 72c | 99,999$71,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,499.83 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Pistons | 77c | 92,669$71,674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,995.41 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Pistons | 75c | 90,780$67,927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,852.86 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Thunder | 20c | 82,993$17,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,003.34 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Thunder | 29c | 81,581$23,667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,666.94 | 513 | 54.2%278 W · 235 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Pistons | 70c | 75,578$52,595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,983.34 | 344 | 56.7%195 W · 149 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x419b…0944backed Pistons | 78c | 59,869$46,698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,171.14 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb915…8da5backed Pistons | 72c | 58,036$41,786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,250.05 | 104 | 59.6%62 W · 42 L | +8.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +23%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Thunder | 27c | 51,638$14,192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,192.09 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Pistons | 68c | 50,000$33,979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,020.67 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Pistons | 72c | 50,000$36,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,999.87 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Pistons | 75c | 48,465$36,418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,047.15 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed Thunder | 24c | 48,195$11,567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,566.8 | 308 | 45.8%141 W · 167 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf668…5c69backed Pistons | 74c | 47,311$34,818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,493.2 | 363 | 59.8%217 W · 146 L | +23.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Pistons | 76c | 46,348$35,454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,894.28 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Thunder | 19c | 45,073$8,429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,429.18 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa21…1438backed Pistons | 78c | 44,053$34,546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,506.63 | 168 | 48.2%81 W · 87 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Pistons | 78c | 40,000$31,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,800 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked Pistons | 77c | 32,963$25,237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,725.74 | 285 | 54%154 W · 131 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…3c9cbacked Pistons | 80c | 32,500$26,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,500 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f2f…be86backed Pistons | 78c | 32,200$25,116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,084 | 133 | 57.9%77 W · 56 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27cb…169ebacked Thunder | 32c | 30,000$9,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,500 | 274 | 24.5%67 W · 207 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Thunder | 24c | 29,145$6,953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,952.78 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Pistons | 77c | 28,892$22,148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,743.71 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Thunder | 6c | 25,014$1,598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,597.81 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11db…841fbacked Thunder | 0c | 25,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 227 | 0%0 W · 227 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e07…5838backed Thunder | 40c | 24,000$9,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,600 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8743…3494backed Pistons | 60c | 23,983$14,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,593.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61e0…4b62backed Thunder | 30c | 23,413$7,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,089.74 | 527 | 60%316 W · 211 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked Pistons | 72c | 23,180$16,690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,490.38 | 290 | 55.5%161 W · 129 L | +15.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…cad6backed Thunder | 22c | 22,727$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +3.0wins | +0.16per pick | 42cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa07c…11a0backed Thunder | 29c | 21,483$6,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,230 | 181 | 40.3%73 W · 108 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Thunder | 28c | 21,474$6,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,097.9 | 619 | 39.6%245 W · 374 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4762…ba70backed Pistons | 79c | 20,500$16,195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,305 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…5c6cbacked Thunder | 25c | 20,370$5,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,120.41 | 266 | 40.2%107 W · 159 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd857…c092backed Thunder | 28c | 20,000$5,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,600 | 71 | 42.3%30 W · 41 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdab4…a27abacked Thunder | 22c | 20,000$4,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,399.99 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Pistons | 78c | 20,000$15,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,399.99 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Thunder | 28c | 19,849$5,606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,606.35 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ff3…1aa9backed Pistons | 73c | 19,285$14,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,206.95 | 196 | 45.9%90 W · 106 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f3b…0cf9backed Pistons | 75c | 17,763$13,373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,390.89 | 221 | 59.7%132 W · 89 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Thunder | 22c | 17,500$3,765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,764.99 | 662 | 50.8%336 W · 326 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Thunder | 27c | 17,252$4,713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,712.86 | 385 | 40.3%155 W · 230 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd38c…1128backed Thunder | 23c | 17,000$3,914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,914.38 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Thunder | 19c | 16,417$3,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,135.26 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26f8…3452backed Pistons | 69c | 16,150$11,143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,006.38 | 99 | 38.4%38 W · 61 L | -8.4wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -26%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…88b4backed Pistons | 74c | 15,894$11,761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,132.32 | 224 | 53.1%119 W · 105 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…4f55backed Thunder | 31c | 15,554$4,822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,821.74 | 367 | 41.4%152 W · 215 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8716…bd57backed Pistons | 73c | 15,467$11,291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,176.2 | 418 | 32.8%137 W · 281 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65d6…6d6bbacked Thunder | 20c | 15,000$3,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,036.58 | 128 | 44.5%57 W · 71 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Pistons | 78c | 14,980$11,641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,339.05 | 489 | 56.4%276 W · 213 L | +31.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3d34…3406backed Thunder | 24c | 14,008$3,419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,419.16 | 161 | 62.7%101 W · 60 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4534…f867backed Thunder | 20c | 13,576$2,736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,735.95 | 136 | 25.7%35 W · 101 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Pistons | 78c | 12,388$9,663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,725.36 | 483 | 52%251 W · 232 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Thunder | 22c | 12,000$2,610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,610 | 433 | 48.5%210 W · 223 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Pistons | 72c | 12,000$8,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,419.97 | 453 | 48.1%218 W · 235 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3280…ea74backed Thunder | 22c | 11,364$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 95 | 31.6%30 W · 65 L | -11.6wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Pistons | 72c | 11,187$8,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,114.37 | 375 | 57.6%216 W · 159 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5625…0644backed Pistons | 73c | 11,130$8,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,005.1 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67e7…52cabacked Pistons | 78c | 10,923$8,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,403.08 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -4.1wins | -0.14per pick | 59cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Pistons | 78c | 10,461$8,176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,285.51 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Thunder | 30c | 10,152$3,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,093.57 | 469 | 40.3%189 W · 280 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ff…805cbacked Thunder | 28c | 10,071$2,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,820 | 428 | 27.3%117 W · 311 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Thunder | 4c | 10,045$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.57 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd568…a35abacked Pistons | 55c | 10,020$5,511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,509.13 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xceb5…3fbfbacked Pistons | 78c | 10,019$7,815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,204.19 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Thunder | 27c | 10,000$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700 | 354 | 50.8%180 W · 174 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x646e…3b1dbacked Pistons | 78c | 10,000$7,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,200 | 60 | 23.3%14 W · 46 L | -9.4wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Pistons | 77c | 9,333$7,186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,146.61 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34fc…050cbacked Pistons | 72c | 9,000$6,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,520 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc480…0caabacked Thunder | 28c | 9,000$2,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,519.93 | 132 | 49.2%65 W · 67 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c75…b299backed Thunder | 22c | 8,868$1,951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,951 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Thunder | 19c | 8,783$1,649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,648.9 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdac…f7e2backed Thunder | 47c | 8,778$4,123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,123.27 | 191 | 36.1%69 W · 122 L | -15.3wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc44d…935cbacked Pistons | 79c | 8,695$6,838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,857.1 | 171 | 62.6%107 W · 64 L | +10.1wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c10…8977backed Thunder | 31c | 8,562$2,639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,638.91 | 623 | 47.7%297 W · 326 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7702…9791backed Thunder | 25c | 8,542$2,144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,143.52 | 241 | 51.9%125 W · 116 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5aa…9134backed Pistons | 73c | 8,431$6,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,276.37 | 199 | 57.8%115 W · 84 L | +18.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Thunder | 29c | 8,188$2,371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,370.88 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa2…3170backed Thunder | 45c | 8,000$3,625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,624.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Thunder | 1c | 7,834$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.08 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca1…ddcdbacked Pistons | 55c | 7,726$4,249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,476.68 | 76 | 38.2%29 W · 47 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Pistons | 76c | 7,365$5,619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,745.82 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49fa…f904backed Thunder | 19c | 7,322$1,423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,423.22 | 174 | 36.2%63 W · 111 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe0a…4a63backed Pistons | 67c | 7,045$4,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,324.69 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Thunder | 18c | 6,889$1,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,222.14 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77d3…f4d6backed Pistons | 64c | 6,885$4,438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,447.18 | 292 | 50%146 W · 146 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x128f…db9dbacked Thunder | 15c | 6,548$1,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,010 | 206 | 51.5%106 W · 100 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f5…1079backed Thunder | 17c | 6,451$1,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,098.44 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f4b…bb93backed Pistons | 63c | 6,435$4,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,373.08 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed Pistons | 79c | 6,424$5,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,346.27 | 502 | 41.2%207 W · 295 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Thunder vs. Pistonsthis page
- 1H Spread: Pistons (-4.5)Pistons won
- Ausar Thompson: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Cade Cunningham: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Cason Wallace: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
- Chet Holmgren: Assists O/U 1.5No won
- Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Chet Holmgren: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
- Duncan Robinson: Points O/U 10.5Yes won
- Isaiah Hartenstein: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Isaiah Hartenstein: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Isaiah Hartenstein: Rebounds O/U 9.5No won
- Jalen Duren: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Luguentz Dort: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Spread: Pistons (-10.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Pistons (-5.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-6.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-7.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-8.5)Thunder won
- Thunder vs. Pistons: 1H MoneylinePistons won
- Thunder vs. Pistons: 1H O/U 106.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Pistons: 1H O/U 108.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Pistons: O/U 217.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Pistons: O/U 218.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Pistons: O/U 219.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Pistons: O/U 220.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.