NBA · resolved market
Thunder vs. Pistons: O/U 220.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf1ca6928a5f4a0932ccb1a07974f402a46fd53b7cf088003dd91b9505285187d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $57,882
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $60,243
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,882 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed Under | 52c | 11,898$6,212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,212.43 | 458 | 50.4%231 W · 227 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x724a…e2c0backed Under | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Under | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,199.98 | 662 | 50.8%336 W · 326 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Over | 48c | 5,034$2,416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,617.53 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34cd…9675backed Over | 48c | 5,001$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,600.52 | 226 | 48.2%109 W · 117 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed Over | 51c | 3,630$1,851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,778.69 | 502 | 41.2%207 W · 295 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 53c | 3,206$1,684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,522.55 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Over | 48c | 2,798$1,351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,446.98 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 49c | 2,797$1,366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,431.27 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Over | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040 | 480 | 54.2%260 W · 220 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Under | 51c | 1,633$833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$832.82 | 646 | 51.7%334 W · 312 L | -14.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 47c | 1,383$654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$729.19 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66cc…7135backed Under | 50c | 1,189$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.55 | 212 | 50.5%107 W · 105 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Under | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 261 | 49.4%129 W · 132 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 48c | 806$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.12 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 47c | 769.61$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.91 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5966…af5dbacked Under | 49c | 715$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.35 | 313 | 54.3%170 W · 143 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 59c | 622.95$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.41 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbde6…e8b5backed Under | 53c | 600$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318 | 102 | 51%52 W · 50 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Over | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Over | 48c | 521.14$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.99 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 51c | 518.21$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.47 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8052…1124backed Under | 51c | 500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 53c | 373$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.69 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 47c | 304.53$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.4 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a0c…0852backed Over | 52c | 300$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 44 | 68.2%30 W · 14 L | +4.1wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked Under | 46c | 299.98$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.99 | 354 | 44.6%158 W · 196 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Over | 48c | 248.08$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129 | 911 | 48.1%438 W · 473 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Under | 53c | 227.58$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.57 | 158 | 46.8%74 W · 84 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 47c | 196.11$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.94 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 40c | 179.57$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.07 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 48c | 168.23$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.3 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 47c | 163.13$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.5 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66e1…8720backed Under | 68c | 160.17$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.45 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 65cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 52c | 127.29$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.14 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Over | 48c | 116.98$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.85 | 1,425 | 47.7%680 W · 745 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 51c | 108.58$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.31 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 49c | 99$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.49 | 1,634 | 48.1%786 W · 848 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3938…c6cbbacked Under | 52c | 95$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.4 | 99 | 60.6%60 W · 39 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Over | 53c | 95$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.65 | 666 | 46.8%312 W · 354 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 53c | 94.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Under | 52c | 93$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.36 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Over | 48c | 85$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.2 | 155 | 34.2%53 W · 102 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…6da3backed Under | 47c | 71.36$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf8b…bff8backed Under | 51c | 70$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.7 | 99 | 58.6%58 W · 41 L | +7.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 55c | 65$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.32 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb870…5a8abacked Over | 51c | 64.7$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.7 | 918 | 46.2%424 W · 494 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Over | 48c | 60.8$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.62 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9013…e7e0backed Over | 71c | 58.62$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 403 | 44.4%179 W · 224 L | -23.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x814d…5c93backed Under | 52c | 57.79$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed Under | 52c | 50.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.52 | 1,018 | 51.6%525 W · 493 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9572…ea8ebacked Over | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 79 | 60.8%48 W · 31 L | +8.2wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b3…091cbacked Under | 53c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Over | 47c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 686 | 45.5%312 W · 374 L | -22.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbcf…47ddbacked Under | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 49 | 65.3%32 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf14…5d95backed Under | 31c | 47.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 100 | 28%28 W · 72 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x859d…3cecbacked Under | 47c | 47.51$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.33 | 508 | 41.7%212 W · 296 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Under | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 348 | 49.7%173 W · 175 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x471a…6bf0backed Under | 46c | 43.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Over | 48c | 41.98$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.71 | 1,003 | 51%512 W · 491 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf16…65a6backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 257 | 53.7%138 W · 119 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfffb…5f95backed Under | 51c | 38.87$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 241 | 50.2%121 W · 120 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e8…3a5dbacked Over | 49c | 36.73$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.73 | 548 | 54.2%297 W · 251 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e3…c09fbacked Over | 49c | 35.02$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.92 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48cf…c7dfbacked Under | 58c | 34.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 364 | 53%193 W · 171 L | -17.0wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed Over | 45c | 33.47$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.29 | 194 | 35.1%68 W · 126 L | -13.2wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b54…ea13backed Under | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 379 | 59.4%225 W · 154 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabbf…0758backed Under | 39c | 29.38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.53 | 390 | 47.7%186 W · 204 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7253…9190backed Over | 48c | 27$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.97 | 128 | 41.4%53 W · 75 L | -7.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Over | 50c | 26.37$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.07 | 301 | 51.8%156 W · 145 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf630…7e65backed Under | 52c | 26.26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.66 | 291 | 49.5%144 W · 147 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x239b…f8bfbacked Under | 58c | 23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.34 | 323 | 52.6%170 W · 153 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Under | 59c | 21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.39 | 1,573 | 53.4%840 W · 733 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0684…d593backed Under | 51c | 20.55$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 879 | 50.6%445 W · 434 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked Over | 57c | 18.03$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.69 | 163 | 69.9%114 W · 49 L | +18.6wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Thunder vs. Pistons: O/U 220.5this page
- 1H Spread: Pistons (-4.5)Pistons won
- Ausar Thompson: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Cade Cunningham: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Cason Wallace: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
- Chet Holmgren: Assists O/U 1.5No won
- Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Chet Holmgren: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
- Duncan Robinson: Points O/U 10.5Yes won
- Isaiah Hartenstein: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Isaiah Hartenstein: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Isaiah Hartenstein: Rebounds O/U 9.5No won
- Jalen Duren: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Luguentz Dort: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Spread: Pistons (-10.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Pistons (-5.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-6.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-7.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-8.5)Thunder won
- Thunder vs. PistonsPistons won
- Thunder vs. Pistons: 1H MoneylinePistons won
- Thunder vs. Pistons: 1H O/U 106.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Pistons: 1H O/U 108.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Pistons: O/U 217.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Pistons: O/U 218.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Pistons: O/U 219.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.