NBA · resolved market
Bucks vs. Heat: O/U 231.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6d4eb47d927e65a223ec90f70d1cfbffc98274850a582340b74e24a107ec4da0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $597,167
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $597,167 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 683 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4502…d898backed Over | 51c | 19,466$9,928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,927.66 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f84…add3backed Over | 51c | 19,302$9,844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,844.02 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8f…f1b3backed Over | 51c | 18,743$9,559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,558.93 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +62.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0647…9151backed Over | 51c | 18,339$9,353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,352.89 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5574…fd49backed Over | 51c | 18,283$9,324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,324.33 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +34%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9223…c94dbacked Over | 51c | 17,162$8,753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,752.62 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5695…9808backed Over | 51c | 17,058$8,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,699.58 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.37per pick | 49cpaid | +77.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x220c…cc0cbacked Over | 51c | 16,590$8,461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,460.9 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +62.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd855…7b98backed Over | 51c | 16,404$8,366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,366.04 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61c1…9fa7backed Over | 51c | 14,185$7,234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,234.35 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x527c…a134backed Over | 51c | 12,255$6,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,250.05 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8392…470abacked Over | 51c | 11,553$5,892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,892.03 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dc2…e4c3backed Over | 51c | 11,549$5,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,889.99 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e16…d3a6backed Over | 51c | 11,457$5,843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,843.07 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +21%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5146…d204backed Over | 51c | 11,322$5,774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,774.22 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8393…3d4dbacked Over | 51c | 11,084$5,653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,652.84 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc1…9af5backed Over | 51c | 10,707$5,461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,460.57 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6099…723cbacked Over | 51c | 10,669$5,441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,441.19 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd953…d186backed Over | 51c | 10,500$5,355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,355 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67a0…2a37backed Over | 51c | 10,139$5,171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,170.89 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc94…544cbacked Over | 51c | 9,604$4,898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,898.04 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42f3…1898backed Over | 51c | 9,527$4,859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,858.77 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…d080backed Over | 51c | 9,523$4,857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,856.73 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed30…d580backed Over | 51c | 9,453$4,821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,821.03 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e64…13e1backed Over | 51c | 9,306$4,746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,746.06 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f56…a757backed Over | 51c | 9,110$4,646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,646.1 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa4b…4160backed Over | 51c | 8,643$4,408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,407.93 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +21%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x043a…bb7cbacked Over | 51c | 8,573$4,372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,372.23 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba98…80b0backed Over | 51c | 8,327$4,247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,246.77 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc8…3b50backed Over | 51c | 8,255$4,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,210.05 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20aa…46edbacked Over | 51c | 8,128$4,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,145.28 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23b6…3eeebacked Over | 51c | 7,398$3,773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,773.21 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ba1…a270backed Over | 51c | 7,161$3,652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,652.11 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c8e…c042backed Over | 51c | 6,645$3,389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,388.95 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb74…fc5abacked Over | 51c | 6,635$3,384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,383.85 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ac3…5584backed Over | 51c | 6,343$3,235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,234.93 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf32f…5b2ebacked Over | 51c | 6,286$3,206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,205.86 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd76a…4d12backed Over | 51c | 6,194$3,159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,158.94 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e11…e658backed Over | 51c | 5,906$3,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,012.06 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ba6…4640backed Over | 51c | 5,522$2,816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,816.22 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22e8…e66dbacked Over | 51c | 5,490$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,799.9 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf01c…d0c7backed Over | 51c | 4,920$2,509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,509.2 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58e7…8740backed Over | 51c | 4,914$2,506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,506.14 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e15…00f3backed Over | 51c | 4,910$2,504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,504.1 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0577…188abacked Over | 51c | 4,818$2,457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,457.18 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb098…e974backed Over | 51c | 4,358$2,223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,222.58 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd09c…12c9backed Over | 51c | 3,949$2,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,013.99 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb0…8991backed Under | 49c | 3,241$1,588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,652.91 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d2b…f78abacked Under | 49c | 3,212$1,574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,638.12 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53b4…71d9backed Under | 49c | 3,188$1,562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,625.88 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafd0…dff8backed Under | 49c | 3,176$1,556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,619.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6f…b5f6backed Under | 49c | 3,167$1,552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,615.17 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e3…d86abacked Over | 51c | 3,110$1,586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,586.1 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…b19bbacked Under | 49c | 3,080$1,509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,570.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15fb…83e1backed Under | 49c | 3,077$1,508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,569.27 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +101.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa6f7…4b8cbacked Under | 49c | 3,071$1,505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,566.21 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33b2…0e5bbacked Under | 49c | 3,062$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,561.62 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +52%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5285…2c18backed Over | 51c | 2,910$1,484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,484.1 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b37…3b3ebacked Over | 53c | 2,843$1,507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,506.76 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bdf…dd70backed Over | 51c | 2,833$1,445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,444.83 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8b…57f2backed Over | 51c | 2,805$1,431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,430.55 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82bb…4b3ebacked Over | 51c | 2,765$1,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,410.15 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fb5…f987backed Over | 51c | 2,652$1,353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,352.52 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Under | 44c | 2,458$1,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,376.45 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x342f…dbc0backed Under | 49c | 2,445$1,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,246.95 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x474a…edb8backed Under | 49c | 2,436$1,194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,242.36 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1bd…52f5backed Under | 49c | 2,434$1,193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,241.34 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +26%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e45…9844backed Under | 49c | 2,434$1,193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,241.34 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb57…8da6backed Under | 49c | 2,419$1,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,233.69 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x945f…5786backed Under | 49c | 2,417$1,184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,232.67 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +64.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x760e…7617backed Under | 49c | 2,410$1,181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,229.1 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +55.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3611…36b8backed Under | 49c | 2,408$1,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,228.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25dc…9c57backed Under | 49c | 2,405$1,178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,226.55 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -32%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a3d…d9ebbacked Under | 49c | 2,395$1,174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,221.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb98d…9189backed Under | 49c | 2,394$1,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,220.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b6c…4856backed Under | 49c | 2,392$1,172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,219.92 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33c7…e985backed Under | 49c | 2,391$1,172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,219.41 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07fb…80ddbacked Under | 49c | 2,384$1,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,215.84 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e1c…d45ebacked Under | 49c | 2,383$1,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,215.33 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd23…a3e4backed Under | 49c | 2,381$1,167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,214.31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef65…4d15backed Under | 49c | 2,374$1,163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,210.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34de…16b0backed Under | 49c | 2,370$1,161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,208.7 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5204…8fdbbacked Over | 51c | 2,369$1,208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,208.19 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33a6…54b6backed Under | 49c | 2,369$1,161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,208.19 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57f7…cc90backed Under | 49c | 2,367$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,207.17 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -49%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9489…6bb9backed Under | 49c | 2,365$1,159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,206.15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43de…4448backed Under | 49c | 2,363$1,158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,205.13 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.4wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +94.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc30e…1656backed Under | 49c | 2,360$1,156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,203.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x300f…af83backed Under | 49c | 2,356$1,154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,201.56 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6327…d96abacked Under | 49c | 2,355$1,154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,201.05 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b8…ec53backed Under | 49c | 2,351$1,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,199.01 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -49%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d21…9440backed Under | 49c | 2,345$1,149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,195.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4d…4a64backed Under | 49c | 2,345$1,149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,195.95 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +54.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21dc…e78bbacked Under | 49c | 2,344$1,149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,195.44 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x968f…c0a2backed Under | 49c | 2,342$1,148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,194.42 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8212…e86ebacked Under | 49c | 2,342$1,148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,194.42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc42f…9152backed Under | 49c | 2,342$1,148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,194.42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8860…2964backed Under | 49c | 2,336$1,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,191.36 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2acb…0fd6backed Under | 49c | 2,334$1,144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,190.34 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff14…3253backed Under | 49c | 2,331$1,142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,188.81 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bucks vs. Heat: O/U 231.5this page
- 1H Spread: Heat (-3.5)Heat won
- Bam Adebayo: Points O/U 22.5No won
- Bucks vs. HeatHeat won
- Bucks vs. Heat: 1H MoneylineHeat won
- Bucks vs. Heat: 1H O/U 119.5Under won
- Bucks vs. Heat: O/U 215.5Over won
- Bucks vs. Heat: O/U 217.5Under won
- Bucks vs. Heat: O/U 218.5Under won
- Bucks vs. Heat: O/U 220.5Under won
- Bucks vs. Heat: O/U 221.5Under won
- Bucks vs. Heat: O/U 224.5Under won
- Bucks vs. Heat: O/U 225.5Under won
- Bucks vs. Heat: O/U 226.5Under won
- Bucks vs. Heat: O/U 227.5Under won
- Bucks vs. Heat: O/U 228.5Under won
- Bucks vs. Heat: O/U 229.5Under won
- Bucks vs. Heat: O/U 230.5Under won
- Bucks vs. Heat: O/U 232.5Under won
- Bucks vs. Heat: O/U 233.5Under won
- Bucks vs. Heat: O/U 234.5Under won
- Bucks vs. Heat: O/U 235.5Under won
- Davion Mitchell: Points O/U 9.5Yes won
- Giannis Antetokounmpo: Points O/U 24.5Yes won
- Giannis Antetokounmpo: Rebounds O/U 9.5No won
- Kevin Porter Jr.: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Kevin Porter Jr.: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Kevin Porter Jr.: Points O/U 15.5No won
- Kevin Porter Jr.: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Ousmane Dieng: Points O/U 9.5No won
- Spread: Heat (-10.5)Bucks won
- Spread: Heat (-4.5)Heat won
- Spread: Heat (-5.5)Heat won
- Spread: Heat (-6.5)Heat won
- Spread: Heat (-7.5)Bucks won
- Spread: Heat (-8.5)Bucks won
- Spread: Heat (-9.5)Bucks won
- Tyler Herro: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Tyler Herro: Points O/U 23.5No won
- Tyler Herro: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.