NBA · resolved market
Spread: Heat (-6.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x834f4743f471762ae3d754a6354cddfc5043ec4d8446153717c4c941d2872953
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Heatof Heat, Bucks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,080,356
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,080,356 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 297 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Heat | 48c | 575,743$276,298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299,444.31 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Bucks | 52c | 358,575$186,403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186,402.68 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Bucks | 52c | 127,679$66,393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66,392.95 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Heat | 49c | 52,607$25,788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,819.4 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Bucks | 50c | 29,107$14,602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,601.99 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Bucks | 53c | 26,249$13,912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,911.81 | 382 | 53.4%204 W · 178 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e9…4044backed Bucks | 53c | 25,580$13,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,430.4 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Bucks | 44c | 23,000$10,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,120 | 404 | 46.8%189 W · 215 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Bucks | 51c | 20,000$10,256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,256.22 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Bucks | 51c | 15,812$8,047 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,047.07 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc0…4429backed Bucks | 52c | 15,000$7,798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,798.23 | 483 | 43.7%211 W · 272 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Heat | 48c | 10,471$5,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,444.88 | 398 | 42.5%169 W · 229 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Bucks | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,999.69 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aec…b4cebacked Heat | 53c | 9,523$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,523.26 | 88 | 38.6%34 W · 54 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Bucks | 53c | 9,386$4,963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,963.22 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Bucks | 51c | 8,682$4,416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,416.12 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47a6…69e0backed Heat | 50c | 8,000$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,000 | 387 | 50.4%195 W · 192 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Heat | 49c | 6,956$3,404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,552.24 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b4…75a0backed Bucks | 53c | 6,796$3,602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,601.9 | 81 | 54.3%44 W · 37 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Heat | 47c | 6,154$2,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,264.06 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Bucks | 52c | 6,000$3,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,120 | 433 | 48.5%210 W · 223 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Bucks | 48c | 5,953$2,856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,855.92 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Bucks | 48c | 5,514$2,647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,646.72 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Heat | 50c | 5,000$2,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500.57 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Bucks | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,599.98 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Heat | 49c | 4,082$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,081.67 | 266 | 37.2%99 W · 167 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Bucks | 50c | 4,025$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Bucks | 53c | 4,000$2,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,102.81 | 646 | 51.7%334 W · 312 L | -14.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x351e…de8abacked Heat | 50c | 3,882$1,941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,941 | 377 | 47.5%179 W · 198 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8861…4c2ebacked Heat | 52c | 3,815$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,815.29 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Bucks | 52c | 3,804$1,978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,977.86 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Heat | 49c | 3,559$1,742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,816.38 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Bucks | 52c | 3,333$1,733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,733.16 | 147 | 53.1%78 W · 69 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Heat | 47c | 3,219$1,522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,696.41 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05c4…a4f2backed Bucks | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 120 | 45%54 W · 66 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Heat | 49c | 2,871$1,411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,459.41 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Bucks | 54c | 2,660$1,436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,436.14 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Bucks | 51c | 2,500$1,281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,281.36 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Heat | 51c | 2,500$1,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,225 | 691 | 49.1%339 W · 352 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Heat | 49c | 2,449$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,249.13 | 492 | 46.3%228 W · 264 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…afa6backed Heat | 65c | 2,317$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$817.18 | 111 | 42.3%47 W · 64 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ac…2a18backed Bucks | 49c | 2,057$1,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,007.3 | 178 | 50%89 W · 89 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ede…6c27backed Bucks | 48c | 2,044$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990.2 | 451 | 51.4%232 W · 219 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Bucks | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 348 | 54%188 W · 160 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57b1…4b99backed Heat | 50c | 2,000$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,001.39 | 108 | 47.2%51 W · 57 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Heat | 50c | 1,885$945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940.2 | 348 | 51.7%180 W · 168 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c9…974fbacked Heat | 51c | 1,742$888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$853.88 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +98.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc533…6ae2backed Heat | 51c | 1,699$866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$832.81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc5…330abacked Bucks | 49c | 1,655$811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810.95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Bucks | 50c | 1,645$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$824.67 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x253d…aa62backed Bucks | 49c | 1,617$792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$791.84 | 583 | 47%274 W · 309 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…6f9abacked Heat | 51c | 1,500$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735.38 | 86 | 57%49 W · 37 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ef2…8bd7backed Bucks | 49c | 1,420$696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$695.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Heat | 57c | 1,290$737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.1 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b78…9992backed Bucks | 46c | 1,288$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.46 | 200 | 51.5%103 W · 97 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7a…235bbacked Heat | 51c | 1,158$591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567.42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Heat | 51c | 1,088$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.11 | 206 | 47.6%98 W · 108 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0707…310abacked Bucks | 53c | 1,073$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564.57 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4112…5d9dbacked Bucks | 51c | 1,056$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.33 | 233 | 48.9%114 W · 119 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac0a…f89ebacked Heat | 46c | 1,056$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570.24 | 382 | 51%195 W · 187 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Heat | 49c | 1,046$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.94 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5886…fe3bbacked Bucks | 2c | 1,042$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.84 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Heat | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.66 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa307…8ea3backed Bucks | 52c | 1,014$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.25 | 203 | 52.2%106 W · 97 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b13…94d2backed Bucks | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.73 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea1…f17ebacked Bucks | 1c | 1,000$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 25 | 0%0 W · 25 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1db7…bf70backed Heat | 51c | 970$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…976abacked Bucks | 53c | 943.4$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 209 | 63.2%132 W · 77 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c74…4ef0backed Bucks | 48c | 933.33$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448 | 187 | 49.2%92 W · 95 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x231c…948ebacked Heat | 51c | 930$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Heat | 47c | 914.89$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.89 | 813 | 49.4%402 W · 411 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa00a…a360backed Bucks | 50c | 900$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1bf…f357backed Bucks | 48c | 900$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432 | 169 | 53.3%90 W · 79 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x324c…93d9backed Bucks | 2c | 900$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 98 | 1%1 W · 97 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -49%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x310e…2455backed Bucks | 49c | 900$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Heat | 50c | 784$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95fe…3896backed Bucks | 51c | 778.81$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 170 | 46.5%79 W · 91 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Heat | 47c | 756$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.68 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0aa…9b99backed Bucks | 49c | 647$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Bucks | 54c | 621.44$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.51 | 806 | 53.6%432 W · 374 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Heat | 49c | 619.42$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.93 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0020…4610backed Heat | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.24 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Bucks | 36c | 579.6$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.99 | 241 | 38.6%93 W · 148 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Bucks | 29c | 552.7$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.12 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3100…9bc9backed Heat | 48c | 523.54$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.24 | 180 | 43.3%78 W · 102 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf630…7e65backed Bucks | 52c | 500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 291 | 49.5%144 W · 147 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Bucks | 52c | 480.77$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 591 | 40.8%241 W · 350 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…dbc6backed Bucks | 50c | 468.21$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234 | 476 | 51.7%246 W · 230 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Heat | 47c | 457.18$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.31 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…da9ebacked Heat | 56c | 447.29$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.29 | 358 | 49.7%178 W · 180 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Heat | 47c | 427.22$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.44 | 229 | 45.9%105 W · 124 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf405…9df2backed Heat | 71c | 425.41$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.41 | 432 | 69.2%299 W · 133 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e95…7db1backed Bucks | 49c | 420.3$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.95 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Bucks | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 485 | 46.4%225 W · 260 L | -14.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Bucks | 50c | 400.73$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2271…8170backed Bucks | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.95 | 181 | 47%85 W · 96 L | -8.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae35…5dd3backed Bucks | 53c | 378.07$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 138 | 37%51 W · 87 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd32…2914backed Bucks | 49c | 376$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b48…bb6ebacked Heat | 51c | 368$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd947…9b61backed Heat | 51c | 329.99$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.69 | 287 | 51.9%149 W · 138 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Heat (-6.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Heat (-3.5)Heat won
- Bam Adebayo: Points O/U 22.5No won
- Bucks vs. HeatHeat won
- Bucks vs. Heat: 1H MoneylineHeat won
- Bucks vs. Heat: 1H O/U 119.5Under won
- Bucks vs. Heat: O/U 215.5Over won
- Bucks vs. Heat: O/U 217.5Under won
- Bucks vs. Heat: O/U 218.5Under won
- Bucks vs. Heat: O/U 220.5Under won
- Bucks vs. Heat: O/U 221.5Under won
- Bucks vs. Heat: O/U 224.5Under won
- Bucks vs. Heat: O/U 225.5Under won
- Bucks vs. Heat: O/U 226.5Under won
- Bucks vs. Heat: O/U 227.5Under won
- Bucks vs. Heat: O/U 228.5Under won
- Bucks vs. Heat: O/U 229.5Under won
- Bucks vs. Heat: O/U 230.5Under won
- Bucks vs. Heat: O/U 231.5Under won
- Bucks vs. Heat: O/U 232.5Under won
- Bucks vs. Heat: O/U 233.5Under won
- Bucks vs. Heat: O/U 234.5Under won
- Bucks vs. Heat: O/U 235.5Under won
- Davion Mitchell: Points O/U 9.5Yes won
- Giannis Antetokounmpo: Points O/U 24.5Yes won
- Giannis Antetokounmpo: Rebounds O/U 9.5No won
- Kevin Porter Jr.: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Kevin Porter Jr.: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Kevin Porter Jr.: Points O/U 15.5No won
- Kevin Porter Jr.: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Ousmane Dieng: Points O/U 9.5No won
- Spread: Heat (-10.5)Bucks won
- Spread: Heat (-4.5)Heat won
- Spread: Heat (-5.5)Heat won
- Spread: Heat (-7.5)Bucks won
- Spread: Heat (-8.5)Bucks won
- Spread: Heat (-9.5)Bucks won
- Tyler Herro: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Tyler Herro: Points O/U 23.5No won
- Tyler Herro: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.