NBA · resolved market

Bucks vs. Heat

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x874919c535cdc6c2f8408efd85b6d6cc8b851fc3e9b61cf1a433bbf161468fad

Rebuilt 15 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Heatof Bucks, Heat
Resolved: Mar 13, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $2,056,789

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,056,789 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,461 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x1bc0…4429backed Bucks	32c	157,429$50,949 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50,949.45	483	43.7%211 W · 272 L	+9.2wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x68ca…9f73backed Bucks	32c	134,759$43,544 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43,544.1	325	40.3%131 W · 194 L	-10.2wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Heat	67c	69,499$46,623 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22,876.6	662	48.5%321 W · 341 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe790…eadcbacked Heat	75c	67,787$51,156 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16,631.1	207	44%91 W · 116 L	-2.7wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Bucks	32c	47,178$15,090 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15,090.02	1,915	49.3%944 W · 971 L	+19.7wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f5e…e7dbbacked Heat	68c	44,258$30,095 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14,162.4	286	49.7%142 W · 144 L	-8.0wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Heat	69c	43,471$30,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13,471.01	1,374	50.1%689 W · 685 L	+34.9wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Bucks	14c	42,585$5,933 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,933	1,190	32%381 W · 809 L	-58.1wins	-0.05per pick	37cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb87b…3d0cbacked Bucks	0c	41,370$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.37	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Bucks	21c	40,124$8,346 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,346.37	1,341	29.9%401 W · 940 L	-53.8wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-35.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Heat	69c	39,511$27,142 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12,368.98	348	51.7%180 W · 168 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Bucks	19c	32,220$6,071 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,070.99	1,003	34.7%348 W · 655 L	-44.7wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-35.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Heat	75c	22,386$16,760 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,625.93	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd36…6ec9backed Heat	67c	20,000$13,400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,600.15	50	44%22 W · 28 L	-2.2wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-18%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Heat	70c	19,784$13,881 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,903.44	2,045	48.4%990 W · 1,055 L	-30.3wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Bucks	32c	19,402$6,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,199.98	1,908	54.5%1,040 W · 868 L	+53.7wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x62f2…07f8backed Heat	69c	19,057$13,149 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,907.71	20	60%12 W · 8 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	58cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe7a2…ae70backed Heat	67c	15,765$10,626 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,138.66	215	49.8%107 W · 108 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Bucks	31c	15,655$4,869 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,868.65	2,153	51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L	+76.7wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xebc0…fa41backed Heat	77c	15,133$11,652 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,480.54	524	60.1%315 W · 209 L	+35.6wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	+32.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Bucks	32c	15,000$4,800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,800	1,124	48.6%546 W · 578 L	+13.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Bucks	31c	15,000$4,650 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,649.87	1,269	44.5%565 W · 704 L	+32.4wins	+0.03per pick	42cpaid	+4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Bucks	12c	14,899$1,745 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,745.23	596	46.1%275 W · 321 L	-16.2wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Heat	67c	14,826$9,990 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,836.44	3,902	47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L	-17.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Heat	76c	13,907$10,598 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,309.12	4,878	48%2,341 W · 2,537 L	+61.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Bucks	20c	13,831$2,780 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,779.54	894	44.4%397 W · 497 L	+8.6wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Heat	72c	13,650$9,765 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,885.21	1,384	39.4%545 W · 839 L	+4.8wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-21.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Heat	68c	13,236$9,021 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,215.46	4,325	47%2,031 W · 2,294 L	-69.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed Bucks	29c	12,898$3,740 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,740.07	398	42.5%169 W · 229 L	-9.6wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7517…0353backed Heat	78c	12,797$10,012 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,785.09	278	65.8%183 W · 95 L	+25.4wins	+0.09per pick	57cpaid	+10.2%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6a7e…1cc7backed Bucks	17c	12,652$2,158 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,157.62	84	29.8%25 W · 59 L	-6.5wins	-0.08per pick	38cpaid	-36.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0009…1e59backed Heat	69c	10,988$7,582 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,406.46	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.3wins	+0.31per pick	69cpaid	+44.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked Bucks	15c	10,318$1,590 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,590.08	483	52%251 W · 232 L	+10.2wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x646e…3b1dbacked Bucks	33c	10,000$3,250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,250	60	23.3%14 W · 46 L	-9.4wins	-0.16per pick	39cpaid	-46.9%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0xceb5…3fbfbacked Heat	68c	10,000$6,800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,200	64	45.3%29 W · 35 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Bucks	17c	9,883$1,666 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,666.37	853	44%375 W · 478 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6aee…fad4backed Bucks	23c	9,778$2,290 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,289.79	37	29.7%11 W · 26 L	+1.8wins	+0.05per pick	25cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Bucks	31c	9,693$2,967 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,966.68	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Bucks	15c	8,870$1,370 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,369.84	2,949	51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L	+119.4wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x61e0…4b62backed Heat	78c	8,373$6,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,872.72	527	60%316 W · 211 L	+9.8wins	+0.02per pick	58cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x92fe…99bdbacked Bucks	30c	8,337$2,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,500	24	41.7%10 W · 14 L	-1.2wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-21.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3bcf…dc5cbacked Bucks	23c	8,200$1,895 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,895.39	96	29.2%28 W · 68 L	-2.4wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-35.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac0a…f89ebacked Bucks	32c	8,183$2,619 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,618.7	382	51%195 W · 187 L	+8.1wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd09…a188backed Bucks	31c	8,000$2,479 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,479.02	320	39.4%126 W · 194 L	-1.3wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa5aa…9134backed Bucks	32c	7,540$2,413 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,412.8	199	57.8%115 W · 84 L	+18.2wins	+0.09per pick	49cpaid	+19.1%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x507a…9ddbbacked Bucks	30c	7,000$2,100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,099.97	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.9wins	-0.43per pick	43cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7f1b…e748backed Bucks	30c	6,667$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	23	52.2%12 W · 11 L	+1.1wins	+0.05per pick	47cpaid	+29.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f4b…bb93backed Heat	77c	6,652$5,149 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,502.59	93	54.8%51 W · 42 L	-3.4wins	-0.04per pick	59cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf819…d410backed Bucks	35c	6,359$2,219 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,219.17	264	44.7%118 W · 146 L	-15.8wins	-0.06per pick	51cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x77d3…f4d6backed Heat	72c	5,859$4,205 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,654.01	292	50%146 W · 146 L	+9.2wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Bucks	32c	5,558$1,778 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,777.73	593	47%279 W · 314 L	-7.3wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26f8…3452backed Bucks	21c	5,555$1,160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,159.74	99	38.4%38 W · 61 L	-8.4wins	-0.09per pick	47cpaid	-26%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x59f4…c1f1backed Bucks	30c	5,524$1,654 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,654.3	98	38.8%38 W · 60 L	-2.4wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd052…19f3backed Heat	70c	5,500$3,850 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,649.98	16	50%8 W · 8 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Bucks	30c	5,492$1,644 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,644.02	2,736	46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L	-67.4wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Bucks	19c	5,418$1,040 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,039.87	815	29.4%240 W · 575 L	-37.0wins	-0.05per pick	34cpaid	-43%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7312…df72backed Bucks	19c	5,263$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	105	23.8%25 W · 80 L	-8.2wins	-0.08per pick	32cpaid	-38.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa491…3177backed Bucks	30c	5,246$1,574 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,573.64	59	59.3%35 W · 24 L	+3.1wins	+0.05per pick	54cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xada7…8dbcbacked Heat	68c	5,216$3,545 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,671.23	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+0.2wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5fe0…d994backed Bucks	30c	5,000$1,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,500	374	48.7%182 W · 192 L	+11.8wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x18bb…e5cdbacked Bucks	31c	5,000$1,550 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,550	90	18.9%17 W · 73 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	20cpaid	-21.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5cea…2c92backed Bucks	31c	5,000$1,550 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,549.99	48	39.6%19 W · 29 L	-2.2wins	-0.05per pick	44cpaid	-28%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8436…4c19backed Heat	70c	5,000$3,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,499.99	33	66.7%22 W · 11 L	+5.7wins	+0.17per pick	49cpaid	+55.9%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x184f…389ebacked Heat	70c	4,500$3,150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,350	31	58.1%18 W · 13 L	+4.8wins	+0.16per pick	43cpaid	+25.8%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Heat	78c	4,456$3,471 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$985.48	3,591	50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L	+21.6wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6368…6dc8backed Heat	76c	4,439$3,369 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,070.59	103	52.4%54 W · 49 L	-7.7wins	-0.07per pick	60cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3d34…3406backed Heat	76c	4,268$3,239 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,028.79	161	62.7%101 W · 60 L	+5.3wins	+0.03per pick	59cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x41cf…57d5backed Heat	70c	4,200$2,940 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,260	10	60%6 W · 4 L	+1.1wins	+0.11per pick	49cpaid	+40.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ba9…0516backed Bucks	12c	4,189$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500.25	74	12.2%9 W · 65 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Bucks	16c	4,086$666 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$665.62	621	44%273 W · 348 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Bucks	29c	4,014$1,184 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,183.81	1,332	51.2%682 W · 650 L	+7.9wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30c2…7414backed Bucks	31c	4,000$1,240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,240	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-1.3wins	-0.15per pick	37cpaid	+40.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa89c…398fbacked Bucks	33c	3,999$1,323 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,323.48	125	24.8%31 W · 94 L	-5.6wins	-0.04per pick	29cpaid	-28.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked Bucks	33c	3,994$1,318 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,317.92	1,204	55.3%666 W · 538 L	+52.0wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+12.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9e7a…1eecbacked Bucks	31c	3,982$1,250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,250	314	53.5%168 W · 146 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4924…f328backed Bucks	33c	3,822$1,260 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,259.91	381	43%164 W · 217 L	+13.4wins	+0.04per pick	40cpaid	+8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Heat	67c	3,690$2,490 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,199.27	4,682	49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L	+27.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20e5…d3bcbacked Bucks	29c	3,608$1,046 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,046.22	226	37.2%84 W · 142 L	-5.1wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	+2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Bucks	0c	3,605$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.6	882	0%0 W · 882 L	-6.7wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe29e…fa35backed Bucks	21c	3,445$713 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$712.55	341	36.1%123 W · 218 L	-3.1wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-23.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9adf…55e8backed Bucks	9c	3,144$299 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$298.65	237	47.7%113 W · 124 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Bucks	32c	3,125$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	649	44.7%290 W · 359 L	-9.5wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3fbd…c4e4backed Heat	67c	3,090$2,070 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,019.7	176	53.4%94 W · 82 L	+8.7wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd3fa…a26cbacked Bucks	33c	3,031$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000.23	245	49%120 W · 125 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Heat	71c	3,000$2,127 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$872.95	691	49.1%339 W · 352 L	-8.6wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8ae…f471backed Heat	71c	3,000$2,136 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$864.1	142	51.4%73 W · 69 L	-5.3wins	-0.04per pick	55cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb624…afffbacked Heat	69c	2,915$2,011 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$903.65	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	+0.5wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1fa3…ab9cbacked Heat	69c	2,901$2,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$900.79	172	46.5%80 W · 92 L	-2.9wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x57c7…b2cabacked Bucks	9c	2,832$247 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$246.88	12	25%3 W · 9 L	-0.7wins	-0.06per pick	31cpaid	-30.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x051b…cac8backed Heat	70c	2,800$1,960 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$840.22	5	80%4 W · 1 L	+1.5wins	+0.29per pick	51cpaid	+44.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7a3d…4d49backed Bucks	19c	2,779$516 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$516.03	40	25%10 W · 30 L	-4.7wins	-0.12per pick	37cpaid	-52.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8150…e7f1backed Bucks	19c	2,706$503 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$502.67	56	32.1%18 W · 38 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-24.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Heat	69c	2,618$1,806 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$811.57	724	50.7%367 W · 357 L	+13.1wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf679…16acbacked Heat	70c	2,550$1,790 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$760.12	107	43%46 W · 61 L	-3.2wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-18%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe1a6…afa6backed Heat	73c	2,459$1,800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$658.73	111	42.3%47 W · 64 L	-3.6wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Bucks	28c	2,457$680 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$680.42	514	38.7%199 W · 315 L	-29.6wins	-0.06per pick	44cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Bucks	29c	2,430$700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$700	367	18.5%68 W · 299 L	-36.8wins	-0.10per pick	29cpaid	-38%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Heat	75c	2,368$1,769 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$598.78	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Heat	77c	2,256$1,739 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$517.33	545	49.5%270 W · 275 L	-5.3wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9438…ad81backed Bucks	2c	2,200$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36	317	9.5%30 W · 287 L	-4.0wins	-0.01per pick	11cpaid	-59.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Bucks vs. Heatthis page
1H Spread: Heat (-3.5)Heat won
Bam Adebayo: Points O/U 22.5No won
Bucks vs. Heat: 1H MoneylineHeat won
Bucks vs. Heat: 1H O/U 119.5Under won
Bucks vs. Heat: O/U 215.5Over won
Bucks vs. Heat: O/U 217.5Under won
Bucks vs. Heat: O/U 218.5Under won
Bucks vs. Heat: O/U 220.5Under won
Bucks vs. Heat: O/U 221.5Under won
Bucks vs. Heat: O/U 224.5Under won
Bucks vs. Heat: O/U 225.5Under won
Bucks vs. Heat: O/U 226.5Under won
Bucks vs. Heat: O/U 227.5Under won
Bucks vs. Heat: O/U 228.5Under won
Bucks vs. Heat: O/U 229.5Under won
Bucks vs. Heat: O/U 230.5Under won
Bucks vs. Heat: O/U 231.5Under won
Bucks vs. Heat: O/U 232.5Under won
Bucks vs. Heat: O/U 233.5Under won
Bucks vs. Heat: O/U 234.5Under won
Bucks vs. Heat: O/U 235.5Under won
Davion Mitchell: Points O/U 9.5Yes won
Giannis Antetokounmpo: Points O/U 24.5Yes won
Giannis Antetokounmpo: Rebounds O/U 9.5No won
Kevin Porter Jr.: Assists O/U 5.5No won
Kevin Porter Jr.: Assists O/U 6.5No won
Kevin Porter Jr.: Points O/U 15.5No won
Kevin Porter Jr.: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
Ousmane Dieng: Points O/U 9.5No won
Spread: Heat (-10.5)Bucks won
Spread: Heat (-4.5)Heat won
Spread: Heat (-5.5)Heat won
Spread: Heat (-6.5)Heat won
Spread: Heat (-7.5)Bucks won
Spread: Heat (-8.5)Bucks won
Spread: Heat (-9.5)Bucks won
Tyler Herro: Assists O/U 3.5No won
Tyler Herro: Points O/U 23.5No won
Tyler Herro: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Bucks vs. Heat

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event