NBA · resolved market

Spread: Heat (-5.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9bd628be3591b0e0272fee09733c70598ae7fbcba9c98630a4cc9821511debb2

Rebuilt 3 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Heatof Heat, Bucks
Resolved: Mar 13, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $498,472

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $498,472 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 184 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x93ab…9723backed Heat	52c	100,000$51,999 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48,000.79	603	51.4%310 W · 293 L	+16.3wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4924…3782backed Heat	52c	86,032$44,684 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41,348.76	874	51.5%450 W · 424 L	+15.8wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Heat	51c	79,433$40,511 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38,922.68	662	48.5%321 W · 341 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Heat	52c	70,000$36,400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33,599.98	1,044	47.5%496 W · 548 L	-12.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed Bucks	49c	64,299$31,256 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31,255.62	398	42.5%169 W · 229 L	-9.6wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf19d…276fbacked Bucks	48c	60,000$28,799 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28,799.11	231	47.6%110 W · 121 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Bucks	48c	59,814$28,710 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28,710.5	4,682	49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L	+27.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x08c5…43edbacked Bucks	48c	50,000$23,999 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23,998.96	443	52.4%232 W · 211 L	+10.3wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x079e…8254backed Heat	57c	27,000$15,368 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,632.55	57	50.9%29 W · 28 L	+1.4wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xebc0…fa41backed Bucks	49c	22,845$11,194 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,194.03	524	60.1%315 W · 209 L	+35.6wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	+32.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbb15…0f02backed Bucks	48c	14,582$7,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,000	166	40.4%67 W · 99 L	-14.6wins	-0.09per pick	49cpaid	-18.7%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x2148…3f30backed Bucks	43c	13,953$6,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,000	12	75%9 W · 3 L	+2.9wins	+0.24per pick	51cpaid	+50.7%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Bucks	48c	11,825$5,682 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,682.43	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbd36…6ec9backed Bucks	48c	11,754$5,639 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,639.02	50	44%22 W · 28 L	-2.2wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-18%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Bucks	49c	10,205$5,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,000.37	2,361	48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L	-41.8wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Bucks	48c	8,590$4,086 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,086.19	4,325	47%2,031 W · 2,294 L	-69.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xed8f…5aa7backed Bucks	49c	7,919$3,880 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,880.45	171	44.4%76 W · 95 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Bucks	47c	7,542$3,552 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,551.83	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Bucks	48c	7,500$3,600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,600	2,153	51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L	+76.7wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Bucks	48c	4,320$2,054 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,054.47	2,346	48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L	-14.3wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x48e2…2a5fbacked Bucks	50c	3,858$1,928 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,928.46	175	50.9%89 W · 86 L	+3.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Bucks	48c	3,255$1,578 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,578.04	3,902	47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L	-17.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Bucks	47c	3,124$1,466 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,466.34	702	46.4%326 W · 376 L	-20.4wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d1c…a6c5backed Bucks	49c	2,757$1,351 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,351	50	46%23 W · 27 L	-2.3wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x76b4…ca9bbacked Heat	61c	2,700$1,647 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,053	442	52.3%231 W · 211 L	+12.1wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbca…b7b7backed Bucks	43c	2,610$1,122 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,122.3	250	49.2%123 W · 127 L	-2.7wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc51a…a0d9backed Heat	52c	2,320$1,206 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,113.6	274	55.5%152 W · 122 L	+15.2wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb44f…8c20backed Heat	53c	2,192$1,160 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,031.61	24	50%12 W · 12 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Bucks	45c	1,950$879 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$878.93	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked Bucks	48c	1,910$915 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$915.17	357	44.3%158 W · 199 L	+1.5wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf05d…ac5ebacked Heat	52c	1,907$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$907.27	251	55%138 W · 113 L	+9.4wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Bucks	49c	1,838$900 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$899.93	2,435	49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L	+30.3wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa0dc…586cbacked Bucks	46c	1,822$838 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$838	288	38.2%110 W · 178 L	-17.6wins	-0.06per pick	44cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc991…abd4backed Heat	53c	1,812$959 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$852.24	487	51.7%252 W · 235 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Bucks	49c	1,779$863 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$862.64	2,507	48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L	+19.8wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4112…5d9dbacked Bucks	47c	1,684$798 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$798.03	233	48.9%114 W · 119 L	+3.8wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Bucks	43c	1,500$645 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$645	1,332	51.2%682 W · 650 L	+7.9wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed Bucks	43c	1,300$558 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$558.48	241	38.6%93 W · 148 L	-5.2wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xabde…d41fbacked Heat	53c	1,287$681 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$606.06	419	47.7%200 W · 219 L	-4.1wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe550…2c8bbacked Heat	52c	1,283$666 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$617.24	357	49.6%177 W · 180 L	-2.8wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Heat	51c	1,200$616 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$583.99	3,285	49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L	+5.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Bucks	47c	1,145$538 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$538.31	262	53.8%141 W · 121 L	+10.1wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9e16…0127backed Bucks	45c	1,110$499 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$499.22	221	43%95 W · 126 L	-12.0wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Bucks	48c	1,068$513 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$512.52	1,139	48.3%550 W · 589 L	+3.5wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Heat	62c	1,014$628 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$385.19	2,468	50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L	+38.4wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5623…6930backed Bucks	38c	1,000$380 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$380	239	38.1%91 W · 148 L	-4.6wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef46…b0eabacked Heat	51c	1,000$510 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$490	73	32.9%24 W · 49 L	-8.6wins	-0.12per pick	45cpaid	-26.2%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x128f…db9dbacked Heat	51c	1,000$509 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$491	206	51.5%106 W · 100 L	+3.3wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+9.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3100…9bc9backed Bucks	49c	990.93$485 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$484.56	180	43.3%78 W · 102 L	-9.4wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9510…16dfbacked Heat	53c	980.77$519 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$461.94	304	53.3%162 W · 142 L	+8.6wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Bucks	39c	957.34$376 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$376.44	4,878	48%2,341 W · 2,537 L	+61.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c74…4ef0backed Bucks	44c	947.73$417 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$417	187	49.2%92 W · 95 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa2e0…d084backed Heat	53c	945.18$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$445.18	224	47.8%107 W · 117 L	-5.7wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed Bucks	49c	898.99$441 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$440.51	544	43%234 W · 310 L	-18.0wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x34f9…ebf6backed Heat	52c	770.71$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$370.71	74	60.8%45 W · 29 L	+4.8wins	+0.07per pick	54cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed Heat	53c	741.21$392 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$349.11	576	50%288 W · 288 L	+1.3wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Bucks	49c	738$362 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$361.62	5,053	50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L	+110.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ede…6c27backed Bucks	45c	703.37$318 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$317.73	451	51.4%232 W · 219 L	+10.4wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed Bucks	49c	612.24$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	1,389	54.9%762 W · 627 L	+16.7wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4630…1968backed Heat	53c	483.35$256 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$227.66	126	50%63 W · 63 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Bucks	43c	465.04$202 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$202.21	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Heat	53c	421.32$223 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$198.56	898	53.1%477 W · 421 L	+21.4wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e37…cfbdbacked Heat	55c	419.94$231 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$188.97	15	60%9 W · 6 L	+1.5wins	+0.10per pick	50cpaid	+23.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf668…5c69backed Bucks	48c	407$195 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$195.36	363	59.8%217 W · 146 L	+23.7wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	+14.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2a67…ef6bbacked Heat	52c	397.69$207 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$190.89	267	56.2%150 W · 117 L	+12.6wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc308…c3b9backed Heat	53c	394.01$209 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$185.34	313	54.6%171 W · 142 L	+10.2wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfcd8…9908backed Heat	52c	391.61$204 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$187.97	225	52.4%118 W · 107 L	+5.5wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdae4…f1fcbacked Heat	53c	378.07$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$178.07	190	54.7%104 W · 86 L	+7.6wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Bucks	39c	372.83$145 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$145.09	3,120	44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L	-7.6wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7dd0…ee95backed Bucks	48c	365.34$175 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$175	61	37.7%23 W · 38 L	-5.3wins	-0.09per pick	46cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcf10…691bbacked Bucks	5c	329.19$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	137	51.1%70 W · 67 L	+2.8wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe393…f016backed Heat	62c	322.58$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$122.58	140	59.3%83 W · 57 L	+8.7wins	+0.06per pick	53cpaid	+8.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x44ca…907cbacked Bucks	47c	303.72$142 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$142.45	456	46.7%213 W · 243 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x190f…01f3backed Heat	53c	302.31$160 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$142.39	91	50.5%46 W · 45 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xefb9…e74fbacked Heat	55c	300.39$166 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$134.88	140	46.4%65 W · 75 L	-2.1wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x02a9…642dbacked Bucks	48c	300$144 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$144	181	43.1%78 W · 103 L	-12.3wins	-0.07per pick	50cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3b5f…7b99backed Bucks	49c	299.99$147 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$146.99	382	42.9%164 W · 218 L	-11.5wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Heat	59c	268.29$158 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$110	1,522	49.6%755 W · 767 L	+27.6wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x383d…87eabacked Bucks	48c	255.88$123 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$122.57	478	52.9%253 W · 225 L	+13.6wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Bucks	48c	250$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	2,657	49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L	+42.1wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb7c…3a5bbacked Heat	53c	246.92$131 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$116.3	140	53.6%75 W · 65 L	+6.0wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcc00…79f8backed Bucks	47c	224.99$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105.74	152	40.8%62 W · 90 L	-12.1wins	-0.08per pick	49cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Bucks	42c	210.64$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.2	2,400	43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L	-82.9wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0152…b455backed Bucks	48c	208.77$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	660	46.4%306 W · 354 L	-21.9wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd47a…4e85backed Heat	56c	202$113 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$88.88	22	31.8%7 W · 15 L	-2.1wins	-0.09per pick	41cpaid	-38.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Heat	53c	201.38$107 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$94.86	1,633	41.2%672 W · 961 L	+26.3wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f5e…94e9backed Bucks	48c	200$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96	227	46.3%105 W · 122 L	-8.8wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaf0e…3197backed Heat	56c	200$112 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$88	619	57.5%356 W · 263 L	+21.6wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd420…df90backed Bucks	50c	200$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	514	51.9%267 W · 247 L	+5.0wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93f1…b99dbacked Heat	53c	194.17$103 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$91.44	144	66%95 W · 49 L	+17.1wins	+0.12per pick	54cpaid	+20.3%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x9094…dcabbacked Heat	53c	188.36$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$88.72	236	55.5%131 W · 105 L	+12.4wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x322f…65a5backed Bucks	44c	179.55$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79	119	43.7%52 W · 67 L	-4.4wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x72a1…1950backed Heat	56c	178.57$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$78.57	381	52.8%201 W · 180 L	+18.2wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1480…6e8dbacked Heat	51c	177.65$91 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$87.05	584	50.2%293 W · 291 L	+6.8wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc23…8283backed Heat	57c	176.3$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$76.3	295	54.6%161 W · 134 L	-4.0wins	-0.01per pick	56cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Heat	52c	175.25$91 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$84.12	514	38.7%199 W · 315 L	-29.6wins	-0.06per pick	44cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Heat	58c	171.24$99 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$72.35	3,551	46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0707…310abacked Heat	52c	168.31$87 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81.2	67	46.3%31 W · 36 L	-1.8wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d4d…f103backed Bucks	45c	166.32$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.84	15	26.7%4 W · 11 L	-3.1wins	-0.20per pick	47cpaid	-35.6%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0xa028…0031backed Heat	53c	163.84$87 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$77.17	306	54.6%167 W · 139 L	+9.6wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Heat (-5.5)this page
1H Spread: Heat (-3.5)Heat won
Bam Adebayo: Points O/U 22.5No won
Bucks vs. HeatHeat won
Bucks vs. Heat: 1H MoneylineHeat won
Bucks vs. Heat: 1H O/U 119.5Under won
Bucks vs. Heat: O/U 215.5Over won
Bucks vs. Heat: O/U 217.5Under won
Bucks vs. Heat: O/U 218.5Under won
Bucks vs. Heat: O/U 220.5Under won
Bucks vs. Heat: O/U 221.5Under won
Bucks vs. Heat: O/U 224.5Under won
Bucks vs. Heat: O/U 225.5Under won
Bucks vs. Heat: O/U 226.5Under won
Bucks vs. Heat: O/U 227.5Under won
Bucks vs. Heat: O/U 228.5Under won
Bucks vs. Heat: O/U 229.5Under won
Bucks vs. Heat: O/U 230.5Under won
Bucks vs. Heat: O/U 231.5Under won
Bucks vs. Heat: O/U 232.5Under won
Bucks vs. Heat: O/U 233.5Under won
Bucks vs. Heat: O/U 234.5Under won
Bucks vs. Heat: O/U 235.5Under won
Davion Mitchell: Points O/U 9.5Yes won
Giannis Antetokounmpo: Points O/U 24.5Yes won
Giannis Antetokounmpo: Rebounds O/U 9.5No won
Kevin Porter Jr.: Assists O/U 5.5No won
Kevin Porter Jr.: Assists O/U 6.5No won
Kevin Porter Jr.: Points O/U 15.5No won
Kevin Porter Jr.: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
Ousmane Dieng: Points O/U 9.5No won
Spread: Heat (-10.5)Bucks won
Spread: Heat (-4.5)Heat won
Spread: Heat (-6.5)Heat won
Spread: Heat (-7.5)Bucks won
Spread: Heat (-8.5)Bucks won
Spread: Heat (-9.5)Bucks won
Tyler Herro: Assists O/U 3.5No won
Tyler Herro: Points O/U 23.5No won
Tyler Herro: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Heat (-5.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event