Music · resolved market
Will SZA release a new song in 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7b033419a28464e1fababbfe57a6ac63e27add41444192dafd3b8ead700e01a0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,192,326
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,183,990
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,192,326 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 271 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Music | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0aae…251cbacked No | 8c | 54,275$4,382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,382.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…8bfabacked No | 0c | 50,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 14cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac0c…739cbacked No | 3c | 34,250$1,116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,115.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e2…b8f5backed No | 2c | 32,622$676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$676.39 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b4…64edbacked No | 0c | 29,999$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa140…70a5backed No | 29c | 29,539$8,443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,443.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f8…ac7bbacked No | 2c | 26,995$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.74 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 11cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x829b…0473backed No | 0c | 21,667$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf55e…0c66backed No | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x927c…b5c3backed No | 1c | 18,437$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbacd…ab35backed Yes | 73c | 18,064$13,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,967.3 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73c4…ba3bbacked No | 6c | 18,059$1,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,063.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1832…2abfbacked No | 3c | 15,806$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12b5…22f0backed No | 0c | 15,667$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x791d…d914backed No | 3c | 14,133$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa95e…75fcbacked No | 0c | 13,713$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a6…644bbacked No | 1c | 13,380$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.7 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1942…96edbacked No | 1c | 12,956$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe25b…0f1bbacked No | 27c | 12,699$3,402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,401.6 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27f0…3803backed No | 1c | 11,400$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x438e…e08ebacked Yes | 29c | 10,837$3,163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,673.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +71.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefc1…dfcdbacked No | 43c | 10,370$4,419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,418.64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06fd…c0bebacked Yes | 29c | 9,937$2,931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,006.56 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked No | 5c | 9,574$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.49 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79ad…a9f1backed Yes | 33c | 8,733$2,909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,824.09 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +6.2wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ca…e8d0backed No | 10c | 7,083$707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$707.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Yes | 53c | 6,712$3,557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,154.62 | 46 | 26.1%12 W · 34 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed No | 1c | 6,617$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.13 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +67.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4aae…d563backed No | 47c | 6,444$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,999.67 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d12…bdf6backed No | 35c | 6,408$2,249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,248.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb96c…35c9backed No | 0c | 6,090$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 72c | 6,000$4,314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,314.3 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58c0…1c8ebacked Yes | 65c | 5,455$3,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,929.9 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed No | 7c | 5,000$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.12 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd94a…fd69backed No | 0c | 5,000$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe598…a0a8backed No | 36c | 4,918$1,782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,782.25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c66…fcc1backed No | 0c | 4,517$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e9a…f3bbbacked No | 15c | 4,514$697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$697.38 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 20cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12e6…ea33backed No | 49c | 4,274$2,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,102.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x585d…ff6dbacked No | 0c | 4,167$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf82e…5b63backed No | 42c | 4,092$1,725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,725.19 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +66.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x603e…43febacked No | 1c | 4,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked No | 69c | 3,888$2,676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,676.07 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5df1…2da7backed No | 2c | 3,850$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 15cpaid | +71.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb01…02e5backed No | 27c | 3,698$1,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,015.38 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f34…8d5cbacked No | 59c | 3,650$2,137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,136.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0d…1407backed No | 0c | 3,446$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5682…97afbacked Yes | 78c | 3,388$2,655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$733.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f1f…94aabacked No | 4c | 3,245$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.62 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5927…7cacbacked Yes | 32c | 3,073$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,083.56 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 21cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…72bebacked Yes | 39c | 3,037$1,178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,858.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +157.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f0…63e0backed No | 1c | 3,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +92.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa75…81f2backed No | 0c | 3,000$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd5…ac33backed No | 68c | 2,721$1,863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,862.69 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0952…a44bbacked No | 9c | 2,646$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.5 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x088f…c9e7backed No | 21c | 2,549$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8f…162cbacked No | 35c | 2,520$881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880.81 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +79.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed No | 8c | 2,516$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.9 | 26 | 7.7%2 W · 24 L | -5.2wins | -0.20per pick | 28cpaid | -88.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xad2a…69d8backed No | 0c | 2,500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked No | 8c | 2,332$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.45 | 41 | 4.9%2 W · 39 L | -6.7wins | -0.16per pick | 21cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x82cf…0998backed No | 8c | 2,300$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.2 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.30per pick | 3cpaid | +897.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c4…9d55backed No | 58c | 2,264$1,318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,317.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc7c…4ce2backed No | 4c | 2,229$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.53 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf08…9f3fbacked No | 8c | 2,182$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbeb9…3870backed Yes | 75c | 2,130$1,596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x011b…e44dbacked No | 70c | 2,110$1,486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,485.69 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf66c…4ab1backed No | 1c | 2,085$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03e3…10e9backed No | 69c | 2,007$1,394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,394.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0562…9d66backed No | 70c | 2,000$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,399.65 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc406…07d9backed No | 3c | 2,000$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xff72…cdaabacked Yes | 43c | 1,938$841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,096.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +130.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e8f…99d2backed Yes | 53c | 1,883$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$881.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85b9…906dbacked No | 48c | 1,800$862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$861.9 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x416b…bad6backed No | 60c | 1,793$1,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,078.55 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d26…a7d1backed No | 3c | 1,742$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3546…c697backed No | 77c | 1,712$1,324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,323.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f93…bffabacked Yes | 76c | 1,670$1,267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.58 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8da5…25edbacked No | 73c | 1,470$1,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,066.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f1…bdc6backed No | 9c | 1,361$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.91 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x575f…9287backed Yes | 25c | 1,350$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,010.88 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 25cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe85f…7f69backed No | 51c | 1,349$682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$682.15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa7ac…592fbacked No | 70c | 1,300$910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$910 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7d1…8749backed No | 72c | 1,253$906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$905.87 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -44%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Yes | 71c | 1,218$861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.54 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -24%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec3a…a709backed Yes | 79c | 1,176$931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.59 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18f3…91b2backed No | 70c | 1,129$794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$793.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf245…1df4backed No | 43c | 1,077$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.68 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94f8…3ec6backed No | 4c | 1,053$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b63…51a8backed No | 4c | 1,051$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0729…4e62backed No | 13c | 1,024$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.68 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb89…46f1backed Yes | 71c | 1,016$723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a08…f60bbacked No | 4c | 1,014$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…783dbacked Yes | 22c | 1,010$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$787.8 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +4.3wins | +0.16per pick | 43cpaid | +24%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6978…08d8backed Yes | 27c | 1,000$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$730.26 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 70c | 943.37$663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.28 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0619…d801backed No | 8c | 899.99$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.2 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | -3.3wins | -0.16per pick | 25cpaid | -85.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d4a…6cb1backed No | 7c | 850$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.9 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x038b…afc4backed Yes | 45c | 829.83$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.8 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44c1…ebc1backed No | 69c | 814.22$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564.45 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2939…90c9backed No | 2c | 772.96$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will SZA release a new song in 2025?this page
- Will A$AP Rocky release a new song in 2025?No won
- Will BTS release a new song in 2025?No won
- Will Beyoncé release a new song in 2025?No won
- Will Frank Ocean release a new song before 2026?No won
- Will JAY-Z release a new song in 2025?No won
- Will Kanye West release a new song in 2025?No won
- Will Kendrick Lamar release a new song in 2025?No won
- Will Nicki Minaj release a new song in 2025?No won
- Will Olivia Rodrigo release a new song in 2025?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.