NBA · resolved market
Spread: Clippers (-9.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x66ce6ae41f9e88fd275b2893f2ce92170b6858a281c46790e22641d41ed734de
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Clippersof Clippers, Pelicans
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $85,895
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $86,593
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $85,895 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Clippers | 47c | 49,992$23,496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,495.85 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Pelicans | 53c | 36,021$19,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,051.15 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…3782backed Clippers | 47c | 21,743$10,313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,429.58 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Pelicans | 53c | 16,936$8,993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,992.82 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed Pelicans | 53c | 8,888$4,711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,710.63 | 458 | 50.4%231 W · 227 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Pelicans | 52c | 7,658$3,994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,993.77 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Clippers | 48c | 2,087$997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,089.44 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Clippers | 63c | 1,669$1,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625.01 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Clippers | 46c | 1,110$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.44 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Pelicans | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 261 | 49.4%129 W · 132 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf630…7e65backed Pelicans | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 291 | 49.5%144 W · 147 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Pelicans | 52c | 947.47$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.68 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Clippers | 50c | 944.59$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.29 | 282 | 41.1%116 W · 166 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e2c…d5cdbacked Pelicans | 41c | 899.99$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372 | 52 | 63.5%33 W · 19 L | +4.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x054b…afd5backed Pelicans | 50c | 743.98$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.99 | 205 | 52.2%107 W · 98 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95b5…3f5ebacked Pelicans | 61c | 657.21$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.6 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -5.5wins | -0.20per pick | 61cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb295…e601backed Pelicans | 61c | 494.59$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Pelicans | 17c | 400$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 289 | 29.4%85 W · 204 L | -13.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Pelicans | 52c | 366.22$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.44 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd72f…2806backed Clippers | 57c | 336.25$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.59 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Pelicans | 52c | 319.23$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.66 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ff3…1aa9backed Clippers | 49c | 274$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.74 | 196 | 45.9%90 W · 106 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50ab…70a2backed Clippers | 49c | 218.94$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.46 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac1…a0f2backed Clippers | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 110 | 51.8%57 W · 53 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Pelicans | 35c | 200$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 448 | 21.4%96 W · 352 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Pelicans | 53c | 200$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeea8…0412backed Pelicans | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 162 | 51.9%84 W · 78 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b43…fae9backed Pelicans | 51c | 196.61$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 311 | 51.1%159 W · 152 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb870…5a8abacked Clippers | 39c | 181.06$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.08 | 918 | 46.2%424 W · 494 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Pelicans | 51c | 180.25$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.93 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Clippers | 42c | 162.9$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.71 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Pelicans | 54c | 143.19$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.89 | 911 | 48.1%438 W · 473 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb975…e19abacked Clippers | 47c | 126.67$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.18per pick | 47cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe235…aba2backed Pelicans | 58c | 117.69$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.99 | 183 | 45.9%84 W · 99 L | -16.4wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…4a2cbacked Pelicans | 59c | 110$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.9 | 319 | 47.6%152 W · 167 L | -18.8wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Clippers | 48c | 108.18$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.32 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7738backed Pelicans | 51c | 106.49$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.04 | 86 | 57%49 W · 37 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee1…268bbacked Clippers | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 534 | 53.4%285 W · 249 L | +19.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bb6…8de2backed Clippers | 47c | 93.09$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.09 | 62 | 58.1%36 W · 26 L | +5.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b15…f827backed Pelicans | 54c | 92.76$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcc…031ebacked Pelicans | 53c | 92.59$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.07 | 233 | 49.4%115 W · 118 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x159f…4043backed Pelicans | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 92 | 26.1%24 W · 68 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96a4…fc81backed Pelicans | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Pelicans | 48c | 86.27$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.08 | 1,573 | 53.4%840 W · 733 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c21…5b0bbacked Pelicans | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 39cpaid | -68.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x310b…98a7backed Clippers | 47c | 73.24$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.82 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72b5…8b54backed Clippers | 47c | 70$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.1 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9307…8910backed Pelicans | 55c | 67.27$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3101…0518backed Pelicans | 54c | 66.67$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6149…80dfbacked Pelicans | 54c | 64.81$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 37cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Pelicans | 51c | 60$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 1,661 | 50.3%836 W · 825 L | -14.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…c938backed Clippers | 47c | 55.6$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.47 | 745 | 47.2%352 W · 393 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48cf…c7dfbacked Pelicans | 50c | 49.55$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 364 | 53%193 W · 171 L | -17.0wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…a8e5backed Pelicans | 35c | 45$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 117 | 32.5%38 W · 79 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e3…c0bbbacked Pelicans | 54c | 44.44$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Pelicans | 54c | 41.53$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.28 | 927 | 50.6%469 W · 458 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee60…6902backed Clippers | 50c | 40.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.28 | 376 | 65.4%246 W · 130 L | +62.0wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x171e…9ec6backed Clippers | 47c | 39.15$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5dd…5a9fbacked Pelicans | 61c | 35.57$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.7 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed8…0e99backed Pelicans | 49c | 31.28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.33 | 456 | 53.5%244 W · 212 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9698…de01backed Pelicans | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 267 | 57.3%153 W · 114 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Pelicans | 53c | 28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.84 | 620 | 49%304 W · 316 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Pelicans | 54c | 25.83$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.85 | 1,197 | 48.9%585 W · 612 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Pelicans | 53c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd155…8250backed Pelicans | 54c | 23.28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 488 | 52%254 W · 234 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52fe…effdbacked Pelicans | 55c | 22.51$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.38 | 88 | 40.9%36 W · 52 L | -7.0wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d0…1a0fbacked Clippers | 68c | 18.88$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.04 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa33c…1b33backed Pelicans | 54c | 18.64$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 628 | 44.9%282 W · 346 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Clippers (-9.5)this page
- Brook Lopez: Points O/U 9.5Yes won
- Dejounte Murray: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Dejounte Murray: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Dejounte Murray: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Derik Queen: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- John Collins: Points O/U 15.5No won
- John Collins: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Kawhi Leonard: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Pelicans vs. ClippersClippers won
- Pelicans vs. Clippers: 1H O/U 114.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. Clippers: 1H O/U 116.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. Clippers: O/U 222.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. Clippers: O/U 223.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. Clippers: O/U 224.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. Clippers: O/U 225.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. Clippers: O/U 226.5Over won
- Spread: Clippers (-6.5)Clippers won
- Spread: Clippers (-7.5)Clippers won
- Spread: Clippers (-8.5)Clippers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.