TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Clippers (-7.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Clippersof Clippers, Pelicans
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$250,724
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$257,308

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $250,724 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 122 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd106…c79cbacked Clippers53c43,344$22,943 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,401.34,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a3a…eb9abacked Pelicans49c40,816$20,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,00011457.9%66 W · 48 L+6.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb784…61d0backed Clippers54c39,777$21,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,297.4229351.5%151 W · 142 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93ab…9723backed Clippers52c29,967$15,583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,384.0260351.4%310 W · 293 L+16.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf668…5c69backed Clippers53c29,090$15,418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,672.336359.8%217 W · 146 L+23.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+14.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Pelicans47c19,493$9,168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,167.8559347%279 W · 314 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc94a…9401backed Pelicans48c10,395$4,990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,989.640350.1%202 W · 201 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4435…0840backed Pelicans48c10,187$4,890 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,89026648.5%129 W · 137 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ff3…1aa9backed Clippers54c10,000$5,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,60019645.9%90 W · 106 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1bc0…4429backed Pelicans46c10,000$4,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,60048343.7%211 W · 272 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x351e…de8abacked Pelicans48c8,243$3,957 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,956.837747.5%179 W · 198 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Pelicans48c6,564$3,152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,152.1270246.4%326 W · 376 L-20.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Pelicans47c5,276$2,457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,457.092,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5e1…5ad0backed Clippers54c4,000$2,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,84029748.1%143 W · 154 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Clippers51c3,999$2,031 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,967.731,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Pelicans48c3,616$1,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,749.632,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Clippers51c3,000$1,530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,470.081,21248.3%586 W · 626 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x57b1…4b99backed Pelicans46c2,174$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00010847.2%51 W · 57 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Pelicans46c2,117$971 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$971.44,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked Pelicans48c2,083$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00038946%179 W · 210 L-13.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4899…c212backed Pelicans49c2,025$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001060%6 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+23.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5330…0bfabacked Clippers53c1,886$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$886.4213142.7%56 W · 75 L-8.3wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-15.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Pelicans50c1,729$864 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$864.3882442.2%348 W · 476 L-3.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e47…a9a9backed Clippers75c1,559$1,171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.4134852.3%182 W · 166 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x498c…42bfbacked Pelicans46c1,365$626 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$625.5415349%75 W · 78 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc63…f1c7backed Clippers56c1,315$737 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$578.8950653.2%269 W · 237 L+8.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Clippers54c1,193$643 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$549.682,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Pelicans48c1,070$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$510.056,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb22…808abacked Pelicans51c1,000$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51095641.7%399 W · 557 L+1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Clippers51c992.21$507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$485.0140243.8%176 W · 226 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Clippers54c925.89$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.9164944.7%290 W · 359 L-9.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Clippers52c865.4$454 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$411.5926638.7%103 W · 163 L-9.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-20.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed Pelicans46c810$373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$372.654443%234 W · 310 L-18.0wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe071…2d1abacked Clippers56c800$448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35248957.5%281 W · 208 L+2.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid+2.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Clippers53c775.63$408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367.873,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Clippers53c712.43$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332.053,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Clippers52c685$359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.4951354.2%278 W · 235 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Pelicans44c647.73$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28587453.3%466 W · 408 L+19.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3920…23e7backed Pelicans48c630$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.430452.6%160 W · 144 L-7.6wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-2.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xabde…d41fbacked Clippers53c597.74$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.6741947.7%200 W · 219 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Pelicans46c420.13$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.642,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Pelicans47c399.98$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.992,65749.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L+42.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdcc0…6872backed Pelicans38c379.81$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.3321743.8%95 W · 122 L-14.2wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-11.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Pelicans38c356.9$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.233,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f52…c525backed Clippers60c334.14$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.1414152.5%74 W · 67 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2639…a9b6backed Pelicans33c332.87$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.7524147.7%115 W · 126 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Clippers68c260.97$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.6288057.5%506 W · 374 L+34.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+2.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Pelicans32c227.22$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.383,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe4a3…bce8backed Clippers50c220.66$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.3312538.4%48 W · 77 L-9.6wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-17%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed Clippers53c207.55$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.551,44458.1%839 W · 605 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Pelicans45c205.01$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.2591148.1%438 W · 473 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Pelicans36c199.09$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.078,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Pelicans47c186$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.922,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f64…4b91backed Clippers55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.822564%16 W · 9 L+2.1wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+16.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1cb4…48e3backed Clippers56c180.02$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.0215547.1%73 W · 82 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Pelicans47c176.39$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.591,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Pelicans23c175.34$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.871,09640.9%448 W · 648 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6e7b…9716backed Pelicans58c171.83$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001650%8 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-15.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Pelicans30c167.43$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.233,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Pelicans50c165.56$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.6889853.1%477 W · 421 L+21.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3bbf…f4e6backed Clippers79c155$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.551250%6 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-19.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2be6…e054backed Pelicans19c143.81$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.878937.1%33 W · 56 L+7.9wins+0.09per pick28cpaid+12.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Pelicans27c141.51$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.113,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Pelicans47c139.38$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.512,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Pelicans29c133.41$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.2965542.9%281 W · 374 L+17.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-15.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Pelicans46c127.58$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.6955846.8%261 W · 297 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x03c7…22f2backed Clippers58c120.69$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.699552.6%50 W · 45 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b06…10a7backed Pelicans49c103.06$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508558.8%50 W · 35 L+8.1wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+17%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0152…b455backed Pelicans49c102.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5066046.4%306 W · 354 L-21.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb107…a3f8backed Clippers53c102$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.941,01851.6%525 W · 493 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0dcc…031ebacked Pelicans49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4923349.4%115 W · 118 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb95…a5ccbacked Pelicans50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5024442.6%104 W · 140 L-17.8wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-16.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xb1c0…427bbacked Pelicans46c100$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4618446.2%85 W · 99 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc02…f89cbacked Clippers80c100$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2013947.5%66 W · 73 L-11.2wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-16.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5558…f9c4backed Clippers50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5037549.6%186 W · 189 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa33c…1b33backed Pelicans45c99.69$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.0162844.9%282 W · 346 L-21.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Pelicans45c97.91$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.82,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb052…7adabacked Clippers56c89.38$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.3829046.9%136 W · 154 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Pelicans47c83$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.3365630.2%198 W · 458 L-86.7wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-42.7%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Pelicans46c80.25$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.843,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86d9…b214backed Clippers52c78.29$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.9421854.6%119 W · 99 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb870…5a8abacked Clippers41c74.92$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.291846.2%424 W · 494 L+1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5779…168dbacked Pelicans46c65.22$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3044844.2%198 W · 250 L-11.4wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked Pelicans46c65$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.8462049%304 W · 316 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90aa…5f6cbacked Clippers55c60$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2721849.5%108 W · 110 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x22af…399abacked Pelicans48c59.99$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.86333.3%21 W · 42 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-21.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2246…e958backed Pelicans32c54.41$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.19933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-35.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Pelicans39c53.46$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.831,28323.4%300 W · 983 L-178.2wins-0.14per pick37cpaid-40.2%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0x33a7…e607backed Pelicans49c51.02$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2552951.2%271 W · 258 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c77…55a4backed Pelicans48c51$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.483548.6%17 W · 18 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x432f…0b4cbacked Clippers52c51$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.483342.4%14 W · 19 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-15.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Pelicans46c50$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231,05353.5%563 W · 490 L-15.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0cf…6639backed Clippers52c50$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246440.6%26 W · 38 L-5.1wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-13.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x53cd…f23ebacked Pelicans46c50$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2343544.6%194 W · 241 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1adb…f12abacked Pelicans48c50$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245345.3%24 W · 29 L-3.6wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-15.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Clippers55c47$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.0176653.5%410 W · 356 L+65.5wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+15.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Clippers59c45$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.6730840.9%126 W · 182 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0273…1867backed Pelicans46c43.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2029040.3%117 W · 173 L-7.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa0c5…4291backed Clippers52c43.13$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.5196956.3%546 W · 423 L+26.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x92aa…0341backed Pelicans49c40.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2015949.7%79 W · 80 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.