NBA · resolved market
Pelicans vs. Clippers: O/U 224.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x56c91278edd8ffd34dc197321b5795c4a2e7d15f110c55d46b0ec034625c6dbe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,255
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,730
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,255 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Under | 49c | 10,037$4,945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,945.01 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Over | 51c | 8,105$4,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,985.77 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Under | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 1,759 | 61.7%1,085 W · 674 L | +127.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 50c | 2,373$1,186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,186.6 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 51c | 2,073$1,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,055.15 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Over | 49c | 1,929$954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$975.44 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Over | 47c | 1,554$723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$831.08 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34cd…9675backed Over | 50c | 1,501$751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750.5 | 226 | 48.2%109 W · 117 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec4…6529backed Over | 50c | 1,380$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690 | 87 | 51.7%45 W · 42 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 49c | 1,074$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.02 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…6ccfbacked Under | 56c | 999.99$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 390 | 51.5%201 W · 189 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 47c | 842.81$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.43 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 49c | 714$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.14 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Under | 52c | 572.3$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.59 | 646 | 51.7%334 W · 312 L | -14.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 52c | 551.53$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.38 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 46c | 507.89$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.03 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…94e9backed Over | 50c | 300$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151 | 227 | 46.3%105 W · 122 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Over | 50c | 292.58$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.29 | 911 | 48.1%438 W · 473 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under | 50c | 220$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 807 | 37.7%304 W · 503 L | -33.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Over | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 714 | 49.3%352 W · 362 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5425…f968backed Under | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -7.0wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 53c | 173.32$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.16 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 52c | 114.84$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.82 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda21…8646backed Over | 44c | 110.39$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.82 | 625 | 41.9%262 W · 363 L | -32.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83ea…c2efbacked Under | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 89 | 42.7%38 W · 51 L | -8.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe47b…1b4bbacked Over | 50c | 94$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 357 | 39.8%142 W · 215 L | -25.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 52c | 93.51$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.85 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Under | 50c | 89.2$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.6 | 920 | 58%534 W · 386 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 56c | 61.76$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.38 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 603 | 46.4%280 W · 323 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0642…8c68backed Over | 44c | 56.82$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.82 | 270 | 50%135 W · 135 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40ec…f6e4backed Under | 53c | 50.15$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.53 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebb1…e7afbacked Under | 55c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 368 | 54.1%199 W · 169 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 50c | 44$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 656 | 30.2%198 W · 458 L | -86.7wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3d…b56cbacked Over | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 373 | 44.2%165 W · 208 L | -19.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Over | 48c | 42$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.84 | 464 | 47.8%222 W · 242 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcca0…a858backed Under | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.9wins | -0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x06fc…4fb6backed Over | 50c | 36$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 321 | 48.3%155 W · 166 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Under | 53c | 32.16$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.9 | 969 | 56.3%546 W · 423 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c05…639ebacked Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 84 | 52.4%44 W · 40 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47cd…1f8bbacked Under | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 89 | 58.4%52 W · 37 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Over | 49c | 28.76$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.57 | 1,003 | 51%512 W · 491 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 44c | 24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.44 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 48c | 23.61$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.28 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7253…9190backed Over | 50c | 23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 128 | 41.4%53 W · 75 L | -7.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xabbf…0758backed Over | 45c | 22.88$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.52 | 390 | 47.7%186 W · 204 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b3…091cbacked Over | 49c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.22 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea1c…b810backed Under | 51c | 21.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.21 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e4a…7045backed Under | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 227 | 48.9%111 W · 116 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pelicans vs. Clippers: O/U 224.5this page
- Brook Lopez: Points O/U 9.5Yes won
- Dejounte Murray: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Dejounte Murray: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Dejounte Murray: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Derik Queen: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- John Collins: Points O/U 15.5No won
- John Collins: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Kawhi Leonard: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Pelicans vs. ClippersClippers won
- Pelicans vs. Clippers: 1H O/U 114.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. Clippers: 1H O/U 116.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. Clippers: O/U 222.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. Clippers: O/U 223.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. Clippers: O/U 225.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. Clippers: O/U 226.5Over won
- Spread: Clippers (-6.5)Clippers won
- Spread: Clippers (-7.5)Clippers won
- Spread: Clippers (-8.5)Clippers won
- Spread: Clippers (-9.5)Clippers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.