TailMyPicks
Market

NBA · resolved market

Pelicans vs. Clippers: O/U 222.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$37,406
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$39,560

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,406 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 116 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xae82…faf0backed Over53c6,099$3,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,878.815849.4%78 W · 80 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under47c4,948$2,345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,345.23,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6f95…b08bbacked Over52c2,200$1,144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,056.243250%16 W · 16 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a45…f628backed Over52c2,030$1,053 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$977.6434855.2%192 W · 156 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under48c1,674$797 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$797.114,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over51c1,595$809 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$785.614,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Over50c1,258$633 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$625.1784150.3%423 W · 418 L+0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under39c1,227$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$480.368,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x605d…cec3backed Under50c1,196$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60015450.6%78 W · 76 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under49c1,023$503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502.8680737.7%304 W · 503 L-33.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under48c894.85$427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$426.735,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under48c813.25$388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387.892,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2fa4…9a4cbacked Under49c800$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39216148.4%78 W · 83 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b46…121dbacked Under50c800$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40031551.7%163 W · 152 L-1.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe962…663abacked Over50c800$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40084342.9%362 W · 481 L-39.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe0a2…40d5backed Under49c726.53$356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35621943.4%95 W · 124 L-12.7wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-11.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd6b7…0f12backed Over50c696$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3481100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3704…0e84backed Under49c690$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338.125951.4%133 W · 126 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5013…5a6bbacked Under50c686$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc203…fcb0backed Over50c680$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3401100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb36a…c8e4backed Under50c668$334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x93cd…3872backed Over50c662$331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3311100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e37…bcc6backed Under50c660$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d37…1047backed Under50c660$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7719…bbdbbacked Over50c658$329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3291100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb0fc…c91dbacked Over50c656$328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$328633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-35.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f69…a95dbacked Over50c648$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-35.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xceaa…bb78backed Under50c642$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf4d6…3435backed Over50c638$319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3191100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5320…500fbacked Under50c632$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0de3…83b8backed Under50c622$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf47…6a00backed Over50c614$307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a83…69e3backed Under50c610$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x06e5…5a5ebacked Over50c608$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+36.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe5f…c17cbacked Under50c604$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde65…755bbacked Under50c596$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb4a…fd96backed Under50c592$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb55…9cf1backed Over50c580$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2901100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a5e…5064backed Over50c580$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2901100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f58…26a7backed Under50c574$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-25.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa2e9…a86ebacked Over51c562.76$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.5310254.9%56 W · 46 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-1.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbafb…c814backed Over50c560$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2801100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x48bc…323dbacked Under50c560$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2781…8a11backed Over50c556$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2783100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0241…e24dbacked Under50c554$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x11cf…d170backed Under50c554$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4904…2e79backed Over50c542$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2712100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x380f…4d7cbacked Over50c538$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6bea…9678backed Under50c522$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26130%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7110…8416backed Over50c514$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc6ca…c51abacked Over50c512$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2561100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xebdd…9c1abacked Under50c506$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c52…ba66backed Under50c502$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xebac…41c6backed Over50c502$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2511100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Under48c500$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24087453.3%466 W · 408 L+19.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under50c496.73$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.23,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Over52c485$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.972,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Over52c430.43$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.611,33251.2%682 W · 650 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Under48c426.92$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.9277348.5%375 W · 398 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6dd…7af9backed Under48c400$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19227246.7%127 W · 145 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Under48c399.96$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.9845146.1%208 W · 243 L-10.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa5dc…ec43backed Over52c384.62$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.6269049.4%341 W · 349 L-30.0wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Under49c331$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.6326638.7%103 W · 163 L-9.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-20.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Over48c311.75$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.083,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Over51c298.11$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.0791148.1%438 W · 473 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Under48c288.75$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.152,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under49c250.12$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.563,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed Under48c221.99$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.5647748.8%233 W · 244 L+1.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61ad…915dbacked Over53c209.09$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.094850%24 W · 24 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Under49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10034854%188 W · 160 L+15.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9c39…20eebacked Under49c176.08$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.2835843.6%156 W · 202 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under47c156.51$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.561,42547.7%680 W · 745 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Over53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4739435.3%139 W · 255 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick32cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x450b…11d7backed Under47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4752146.6%243 W · 278 L-14.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f3e…e4a3backed Over51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4941052%213 W · 197 L-1.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93a4…6bdbbacked Over52c96.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.155932.2%19 W · 40 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-16.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x62da…2fdabacked Over52c96.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.154557.8%26 W · 19 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6684…2985backed Over53c95.07$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.077545.3%34 W · 41 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Under50c92.82$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.3887744.7%392 W · 485 L-1.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0dcc…031ebacked Over54c92.59$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.6623349.4%115 W · 118 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x292e…172cbacked Under49c81.63$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4043447.5%206 W · 228 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Over52c80$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.888057.5%506 W · 374 L+34.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+2.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe4d8…19c5backed Over54c74.07$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.0724358%141 W · 102 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Over50c70.21$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.782,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x47e5…9b73backed Over51c60$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.442551.3%218 W · 207 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x41c8…424fbacked Under50c51.46$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.7321459.3%127 W · 87 L+12.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+9.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Over52c51.18$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.571,63448.1%786 W · 848 L+5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb83d…3aa2backed Under50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2524042.9%103 W · 137 L-9.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-8.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7492…6568backed Over52c48.08$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.0831955.2%176 W · 143 L+13.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb870…5a8abacked Over47c41.45$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.9791846.2%424 W · 494 L+1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb5e8…3a5dbacked Over51c41.18$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.1854854.2%297 W · 251 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbbf2…31f0backed Over52c40.38$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.387741.6%32 W · 45 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1963…8122backed Over52c40$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.26465.6%42 W · 22 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x35b8…898abacked Under50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208754%47 W · 40 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0273…1867backed Under51c39.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2029040.3%117 W · 173 L-7.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x819a…4b03backed Over49c39.22$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2014151.8%73 W · 68 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e3d…b56cbacked Over52c38.46$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.4637344.2%165 W · 208 L-19.1wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-8.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdfc0…3acebacked Over53c38.03$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.0319848.5%96 W · 102 L-8.9wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-5.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under47c38$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.865,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03f5…3047backed Over56c35.71$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.7112661.1%77 W · 49 L-0.1wins0.00per pick61cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.